Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 17, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(1/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8)-(1/5/4/6)-(4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/6)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/6)-(4/3/5)-(2/4/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/8/5)-(4/3/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/4/3/1)-(3/7/5/2/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/1)-(3/7/5/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/1)-(3/7/5/2/8)-(5/8/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/7/5/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/2/8)-(3/7/5/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/2/8)-(3/7/5/2/8)-(3/7/5/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/5/2/8)-(5/8/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/2/8)-(5/8/4/2)-(3/4/6/9/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (5/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/2)-(3/4/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/2)-(3/4/6/9/5)-(6/5/3/8/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (3/4/6/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/9/5)-(3/4/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/9/5)-(3/4/6/9/5)-(3/4/6/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/6/9/5)-(6/5/3/8/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/9/5)-(6/5/3/8/4)-(4/8/6/7/2) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (6/5/3/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/8/4)-(6/5/3/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/8/4)-(6/5/3/8/4)-(6/5/3/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/3/8/4)-(4/8/6/7/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/8/6/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/7/2)-(4/8/6/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/7/2)-(4/8/6/7/2)-(4/8/6/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/17/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADONCIA Apr04 Mar22       (richards renaldo)FERRER C 123 12.00    
2  RED HOT CATALINA Mar27 Mar14 Feb13 Jan25 May03 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 125 1.40 37% 1.70    
3  BLUE ICE Mar27 Mar13 Oct11 Jul30 Jul12 (gardea abraha)ROJAS MARTINA 125 4.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  TRANQUILA RUBY Apr04 Mar22 Mar13 Feb27 Feb15 (alanis franc)MENESES MARCOS 123 15.00    
5  FREE CHARGING Apr04 Mar14 Feb21 Jan28 Aug09 (curto beverl)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 15.00    
SCR  JENN SWEET JENN Feb27 Feb01 Jan11 Dec27 Dec10 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 125 4.50    
7  MISS VALENTINA (BRZ) Feb22 Jan10 Dec20     (orseno josep)GONZALEZ CESAR 118 5.00    
8  THAT THING YOU DO Mar13 Feb27 Feb13 Feb04 Oct21 (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 125 12.00 11% 7.70    
 
TAM-2   04/17/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VESPER CHICKS Apr01 Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Nov22 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 125 2.00 26% 2.80    
2  BARBSDREAMCOMETRUE Aug24 Jul30 Jul04 May31 Mar15 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 4.50    
3  FONTINA (ARG) Apr04 Mar06 Jan16 Dec11 Oct17 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 123 30.00    
4  MI BELLA GENIO Mar06 Jan24 Jan04 Dec20 Dec03 (mendieta ale)GONZALEZ CESAR 116 8.00 10% 9.10    
5  BAHA SECRET Mar21 Mar08 Feb14 Jan31 Jan10 (torres pab)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 113 5.00 25% 3.00    
6  STEADY FLO Apr04 Mar21 Feb14 Feb01 Jan11 (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  PADRINO'S GOLD Apr04 Mar06 Feb18 Feb05 Jan14 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 6.00    
SCR  GOLD STAMP Apr04 Mar06 Jan31 Jan09 Dec03 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.00    
 
TAM-3   04/17/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAFALGAR'S HERO Mar22 Mar04 Jan03 Nov19 Sep05 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 122 5.00    
2  SENOR MONEY Apr03 Mar08 Feb22 Feb13 Jan31 (harris keith)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 30.00    
3  IF I CAN DREAM Mar18 Feb20 Feb01 Jan09 Dec21 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 114 4.00 17% 4.90    
4  REPETITIVE Mar22 Mar04 Jan28     (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.50 53% 0.90    
5  NIGHT OF MAGIC Feb28 May03 Apr18 Apr05 Feb23 (gardea abraha)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY SATISFACTION Feb22 Jan31 Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 (morales guil)MENESES MARCOS 122 8.00    
7  WILLING ONE Mar28 Feb25 Jan11 Dec31 Nov26 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00    
8  PLAYING WITH FIRE Apr01 Feb07 Aug05 Jul08 Jun10 (braddy david)HO WESLEY 122 4.50 ★    
 
TAM-4   04/17/2026 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IKIGAI Apr01 Mar18 Feb25 Feb14 Jan24 (hernandez enri)COTTO L 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BANG A RANG Mar29 Mar04 Feb13 Jan25 Jan10 (rarick lynn)HO WESLEY 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
3  MEGAN'S HONOR Apr01 Feb25 Feb18 Jan24 Jan03 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
4  COALMINER'S KITTEN Apr03 Mar18 Feb18 Jan30 Dec24 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  SUMMER BEE Mar14 Apr05 Mar22 Jan25 Sep08 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
6  SANTOS TO WILSON Apr08 Mar28 Mar18 Mar04 Feb05 (yanez re)RODRIGUEZ O 122 1.60    
7  HUNTERS GHOST Jul18 Jun30 May30 Apr19 Mar02 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 118 5.00    
8  UNDALAY Mar11 Feb11 Dec31 Nov29 Oct09 (simone v)FERRER C 118 8.00    
 
TAM-5   04/17/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR SKINNY Apr08         (lopez rober)HESS SARA 118 20.00    
2  GOLD RULES Apr08 Mar08 Feb11 Sep26 Sep07 (smith g)CENTENO E 118 10.00 6% 16.40    
3  HOTTER THAN DEM Apr02 Feb21 Jan22 Dec19 Aug23 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
4  LEO Q Mar27 Feb05 Aug13     (kintz matt)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 8.00    
5  POWER WRENCH Apr01 Mar11 Feb28 Feb11 Jan25 (dye steven)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.50 6% 15.30    
6  JUSTE UN CHEVAL Mar28 Feb22       (braddy david)GIL CIPRIANO 118 12.00    
7  MAGNUS GOLD Apr01 Feb12 Jan23 Dec19 Nov26 (narvaez )RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
8  YOUREAWIZARD HARRY Apr08 Oct16 Oct07 Aug26   (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  GIMME ME BIT Apr01 Jan21 Jan02 Dec19 Oct25 (lusk r)ROJAS MARTINA 118 30.00    
10  MUSKET MAGIC Mar27 Feb25 Jan17 Dec06   (ward den)MARTINEZ A 118 5.00    
 
TAM-6   04/17/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) Apr03 Mar18 Feb12 Jan16 Jan03 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 118 4.00    
2  WOODCHUCK Jul07 Jun18 Jun09 Oct23 Oct10 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DR. PERRY Apr01 Feb18 Feb01 Jan04 Dec17 (arria)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50    
4  JOHNNYFRENCHFRI Mar11 Jan17 Dec27 Sep20 Aug30 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ A 118 15.00 8% 11.00    
5  ROLLING ON Apr01 Feb25 Jan11 Dec21 Nov09 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  DONTBESOOGROUCHY Mar29 Feb15 Jan17 Dec20 Sep13 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00    
7  GOT GHOSTED Mar29 Oct23 Oct09 Sep13 Aug24 (escobar ma)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 118 30.00    
8  SAYBROOK Mar29 Mar14 Mar04 Feb06 Jan11 (lusk r)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 15% 5.70    
 
TAM-7   04/17/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHABELITA Feb28 Dec24 Dec06 Nov22 Oct12 (dominguez huber)FERRER C 113 20.00    
2  LUCKCREST Mar27 Mar08 Jan25 Jan02 Dec14 (ochoa gerard)DELGADO DAVID 118 30.00    
3  RAGS TO LACE Mar28 Feb21 Feb04 Aug31   (lerman s)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  ORIGINAL SCORE Mar13 Feb13 Aug23 Jul30   (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  ULTRA SMART         (torres pabl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROBERT LEE Feb05 Jan08 Nov29 Oct26   (shaw chris)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 1.80 11% 8.30    
7  GIFT FROM HEAVEN Feb21 Jan17       (rarick lynn)HO WESLEY 118 30.00    
8  HENRY'S BUDDY Feb22 Jan31       (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
9  FRATELLONE Apr03 Mar25       (avila ca)MORALES ANGEL 118 10.00 10% 9.20    
10  FIFTEEN HUNDRED R Mar28 Jan04 Dec19 Nov26 Sep28 (garcia jr)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
SCR  TINSELTOWN Mar05 Feb11 Jan09 Dec10   (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 15.00    
 
TAM-8   04/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA MENDY Apr04 Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 Dec17 (goodwin nik)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 12.00    
2  MY CAJUN LADY Mar14 Feb25 Jan30 Jan03 Dec12 (feliciano r)SPIETH S 118 30.00    
3  KIP THE DISTANCE Mar25 Feb14 Feb04 Jan03 Nov15 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00 12% 7.40    
4  RITABOOK Jan23 Dec26 Dec13 Nov26 Oct08 (carrascojr vic)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ATHENA'S WISDOM Mar28 May04 Mar30 Mar09 Feb14 (simone v)HESS SARA 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  GLORIOUS LADY Mar25 Mar11 Feb04 Jan23 Jan04 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 118 3.00 25% 2.90    
7  BLOODY COLORS WAVE Mar25 Mar08 Feb15 Jan30 Jan09 (potts ro)RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.50    
8  CLOUD STORAGE Mar25 Mar11 Feb14 Jan18 Jan02 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 10.00 9% 10.40    
9  MONEY MAGNETTES Mar12 Feb11 Jan09 Nov22 Oct01 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
 
TAM-9   04/17/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORGS WORLD Apr03 Mar01 Feb12 Jan21 Jan09 (goodwin nik)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 8.00    
2  LA SCATTA Oct20 Sep17 Aug25 Jul15 Jun23 (alanis franci)ROJAS MARTINA 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  RUNWAY LIGHTS Apr03 Mar18 Mar01 Feb12 Dec26 (smith r)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 20.00    
4  LADY EMBRACE Apr03 Mar18 Feb21 Jan10 Oct15 (ryan s)LEON SONNY 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  PRINCESS GLADYS Mar22 Aug28 Aug17 Jul18 Jun29 (dini mike)GIL CIPRIANO 121 15.00    
6  SILENT MELODY Nov09 Oct11 Sep14 Aug15 Jul16 (moysey c)MARTINEZ A 121 5.00 12% 7.30    
7  CHILLING FACTOR Mar18 Mar01 Feb12 Dec19 Nov07 (ramos ben)HO WESLEY 121 4.50 10% 9.10    
8  SECRET VICTORY Apr03 Mar18 Mar01 Feb11 Jan09 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00 16% 5.30    
9  SMOOTH CLARET Apr04 Feb21 Feb12 Jan29 Jan08 (martinez jo)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 30.00    
10  EARLY DELIVERY Apr04 Mar15 Feb22 Jan24 Jan04 (lopez ra)LEON A 121 30.00    
SCR  FUSSY GIRL Mar21 Mar06 Jan31 Jul06 Jun13 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 121 6.00    
SCR  SARA'S ROSE Feb05 Jan08 Oct08 Aug16 Jul24 (tomlinson nich)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.