Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 10, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(5/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(1/4/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/6)-(1/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/6)-(1/4/5/2)-(2/5/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/2)-(2/5/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/2)-(2/5/4/3)-(6/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/3)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/3)-(6/3)-(4/1/8/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/10/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/10/5/4)-(6/3/10/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3)-(4/1/8/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(4/1/8/7)-(3/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/7)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/7)-(3/4/6)-(3/11/2/9/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(3/11/2/9/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(3/11/2/9/7)-(3/9/7/6/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/11/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/11/2/9/7)-(3/11/2/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/11/2/9/7)-(3/11/2/9/7)-(3/11/2/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/11/2/9/7)-(3/9/7/6/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/9/7/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/7/6/2)-(3/9/7/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/7/6/2)-(3/9/7/6/2)-(3/9/7/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/10/2026 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIFTYSHADESOFPINK Mar21         (bennett gerald)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.50    
  (by TONALIST out of PINK TRILLIUM by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CHIT CHAT Feb14 Jan10       (mott willia)KINGSLEY TAYLOR 112 1.40 59% 0.70    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SAY MOI by UNION RAGS)
SCR  GIVE YOUR BEST (IRE) Mar01 Jan25 Nov08 Sep18 Aug29 (joseph a)CENTENO E 119 2.00    
  (by TOO DARN HOT out of ZONDAQ by BERNARDINI)
CRAZY BLONDE Mar29 Mar07       (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00 12% 7.40    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of CONQUEST DYNASTY by COURT VISION)
PICK A PRIZE         (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00    
  (by PURE PRIZE out of DANGEREUX by RHYTHM)
COMPOSITION Sep22 Aug06 Jul03     (hamm timothy)LEON SONNY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
 
TAM-2   04/10/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY FREE BIRD Mar21 Mar06 Feb06 Jan30 Jan18 (aguayo ramon)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 4.50    
COUNTLESS DREAMS Feb11 Dec27 Nov10 Oct07 Sep26 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
QUEEN ATLAS Feb22 Jan18 Jan04 Dec19 Nov19 (bi)DA FAUSTO 120 8.00 14% 6.40    
MAMA DRAMA Mar21 Mar07 Feb27 Feb06 Jan09 (bennett gerald)GIL CIPRIANO 120 4.00    
THEE NEW BEGINNING Mar28 Feb25 Feb12 Jan30 Jan07 (yanez reynaldo)CENTENO E 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
CROSSATI Mar04 Feb18 Jan09 Dec20 Nov26 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
MAGNOLIA WIND Mar18 Feb08 Jan22 Aug18 Jul24 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
 
TAM-3   04/10/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOLLY THE GREAT Mar18         (vanwinkle david)HO WESLEY 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
VISCOUNTESS RED Mar21         (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
A ROSE FOR SKYLER Feb15 Jan14 Nov29 Sep12 Aug16 (spanabel r)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
CAJUN HOTTIE Apr01 Mar18 Feb27 Feb06 Jan24 (arnett g)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
NECK OF CAIRO Dec10 Oct11 Aug30     (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 119 3.50 16% 5.40    
LIZZY LIZ Mar21         (collins john)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
NIECEY Mar22 Mar01 Jan31 Jan09 Dec06 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 2.00    
APRIL SPUN Mar21 Feb12 Jan10 Oct11   (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 20.00    
 
TAM-4   04/10/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEE ANN'S WARRIOR Apr03 Mar25 Mar13 Feb18 Feb11 (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 122 20.00    
GOODIE GOOMER Aug26 Jul04 Jun09 May21 Oct24 (guciardo)RODRIGUEZ O 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Mar13 Feb18 Feb11 Nov22 Oct13 (dimmett james)HESS SARA 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY INSTEAD Mar25 Mar13 Feb18 Dec24 Oct14 (arriagada juan)LEON A 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
ESTILO MAGICO Mar25 Mar13 Feb27 Feb14 Jan24 (simone micha)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
MITHRIDATES Mar13 Feb13 Feb01 Jan11 Dec24 (mendieta ale)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 20.00    
STAR KANOO Mar25 Mar13 Feb27 Feb11 Jan28 (birdwell tena)LEON SONNY 122 3.50    
NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Mar13 Feb18 Jan28 Dec31 Jun18 (poole a)FELICIANO R 122 10.00    
 
TAM-5   04/10/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G ONE BOUND Mar15 Feb25 Feb05 Jan15 Dec10 (va)DA FAUSTO 118 30.00    
AUSPLEXITY Mar14 Feb05 Jan10     (pompay t)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00    
COPPER CREOLE Sep06 Aug30       (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
INTIMATE Oct20 Oct01 Sep08 Aug25   (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 118 30.00    
MONEY TRAIL Mar18 Feb22 Jan10 Dec20 Dec03 (vinson g)CENTENO E 126 2.50    
OPERA DE RAVEL (FR) Feb25 May18       (arria)DIAZ RAFAEL 126 1.20 70% 0.40    
THIRTYSEVEN RUBIES         (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
TOO MUCH FUN Feb20 Jan03 Dec03 Sep13 Aug15 (deaton w)RODRIGUEZ O 126 8.00    
MAGGIES BREW Mar15 Feb28 Jan17 Dec31 Jul12 (pimental joh)MENESES MARCOS 126 30.00    
10  TAKE DAT Mar15 Feb01 Dec20 Jan31   (bennett gerald)GIL CIPRIANO 126 10.00    
SCR  LIL MISS LOLLIPOP Mar18 Jan28 Jan04 Oct11 Sep22 (yanez reynal)GONZALEZ CESAR 117 15.00    
 
TAM-6   04/10/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTURE THE TIME Mar13 Jan21 Dec26 Dec12 Sep20 (vanwinkle david)HO WESLEY 118 5.00 21% 3.80    
CYBERBEAST Mar20 Mar01 Feb05 Jan14 Dec31 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00    
ESCAPE KEY Mar18 Mar06 Feb07 Dec17 Oct08 (aguayo ramon)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 15.00    
SWAGGISH Feb21 Jan31 Jan03 Nov28 Nov15 (gallegos a)CENTENO E 120 1.80 29% 2.40    
SCR  JOHNNYFRENCHFRI Mar11 Jan17 Dec27 Sep20 Aug30 (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
PAYNTED WARRIOR Mar11 Feb18 Jan23 Jan03 Nov29 (vargas j)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00    
ARROGANCY Mar28 Mar11 Jan07 Nov26 Aug23 (escobar mart)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
RUNNINGFORJOY Dec22 Dec11 Nov24 Oct30 Oct09 (cheeks k)MARTINEZ A 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
 
TAM-7   04/10/2026 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CON CAUTELA Feb28 Jan25 Dec24 Jul11 Apr12 (garcia rodolfo)GIL CIPRIANO 125 4.00    
MS. AVENTINA Mar15 Aug15 Aug30     (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 125 6.00    
SOUTHERN LADY Oct01         (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 118 2.50 64% 0.60    
MIND BOGGLING         (pompay t)RODRIGUEZ O 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
GALLANT RUNNER Feb28         (deaton willi)GONZALEZ CESAR 118 6.00    
SUNDAY SENSE         (nixon justin)ROJAS MARTINA 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
WHIRLAWAR Feb25 Aug10 Jul11 Jun14 May23 (gardea abraham)HESS SARA 125 4.00    
SEEKING SERENITY         (o'connell kath)COTTO L 125 6.00    
 
TAM-8   04/10/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACIOUS BEAUTY Feb04 Dec03 Jun26 Apr30 Mar28 (gardea abraha)ROJAS MARTINA 125 30.00    
BABY BUNNY         (fisher david)COTTO L 125 15.00 9% 9.50    
SKY OVER KINGSTON         (hemingway michel)LEON SONNY 125 4.00 35% 1.80    
BELLA COCO Apr01 Mar21 Feb21 Jan30 Dec24 (morales gui)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 10.00    
GO K J GO Mar25 Feb20 Feb01 Jan14 Dec27 (vanwinkle da)CASIQUE UBARDO 125 1.40    
CLOUD KISSES Mar14 Feb27       (ellebracht )QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00    
DIAMOND DANCER         (vanwinkle david)HO WESLEY 125 10.00 9% 9.90    
FLORIDA GAL Mar21 Feb12 Jun06     (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 118 4.00    
WESTERN LILLY         (spanabel r)HESS SARA 125 15.00 9% 9.50    
10  QUEENS DIPLOMAT Feb27 Jan11 Dec19 Nov29 Oct05 (gardea abraha)MORALES ANGEL 125 30.00    
11  THE QUEENS REVENGE         (fisher david)FELICIANO R 125 20.00 11% 8.00    
 
TAM-9   04/10/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JASSAI Mar06 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Dec20 (guciardo kathy)CENTENO E 117 10.00    
TRUE MYTH Mar21 Mar04 Feb08 Jan17 Dec26 (vanwinkle da)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
OLGA Mar25 Mar06 Feb18 Jan25 Jan11 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
KIKILOVE Mar20 Mar01 Jan02 Dec19 Nov30 (richards ren)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.50    
UTOPIA ROSE Mar20 Feb18 Jan28 Jan09 Dec20 (moysey c)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
EROS'S GIRL Mar01 Feb12 Jul22 Jun25 May19 (ferraro a)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00 7% 13.30    
ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Feb22 Feb06 Jan07 Dec05 Oct09 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 3.50 8% 12.30    
SING SCAT Mar25 Mar04 Feb18 Feb05 Jan09 (mendieta)RODRIGUEZ O 119 15.00    
CALISUE Mar25 Mar01 Feb05 Dec20 Dec03 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 23% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.