Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - December 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(4/6)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(1/6/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(1/6/5/3)-(4/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/3)-(4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/3)-(4/7)-(8/1/7/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/7)-(8/1/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(8/1/7/2)-(4/8/5/9) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-7   WIN (8/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/2)-(4/8/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/9)-(4/8/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/9)-(4/8/5/9)-(4/8/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   12/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($17.5K) 2 F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN AS ONE Aug22 Aug08       (buffalo mar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  FOURLYNNES Nov16 Sep06 Aug28 Jul26   (mendez luis)MOJICA O 121 5.00    
3  WHISKEY HIGH Sep21 Jul20 May03 Apr10   (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 1.60 41% 1.40    
4  SKYEXPRESS Oct12 Sep13 Aug15 Jul26 Jul12 (leon alexis)NUNNALLY BLAKE 121 10.00    
5  SUBTLE SHIMMER Aug17 Jul27       (evans justi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
6  SUGAREE (IRE) Nov25 Oct19 Sep11 Aug15 Jul12 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50    
 
TUP-4   12/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RENO Oct11 Sep26 Aug14 Jul19 Jun14 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE MOON Dec26 Sep07       (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 3.50    
3  WARREN'S C J Dec02 Nov15 Nov02 Feb02 Jan19 (lavanway da)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 20.00    
4  TYGRA Aug31 Aug20 Jul30 Jul13   (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  WINNING HEART         (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00    
6  CONVEY TO ME Aug30         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 8.00 20% 4.10    
7  RUN SMART Jun30         (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 121 6.00    
 
TUP-5   12/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT LEGS ROMOLO Nov29 Sep17 Aug27 Apr15 Mar23 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 1.20 66% 0.50    
2  PLEASEUSETHEPORTAL Sep08 Aug30 Jul31 Jul13 Jun16 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 122 3.00    
3  LET ME HELP YOU Dec01 Sep15 Aug31 Aug23 Aug08 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BIG BOWIE Nov28 Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 Jun14 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 6.00    
5  FIVE TWENTY SUNSET Sep05 Aug29 Aug01 Jul20 Jul03 (toye joe)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LEVON Nov29 Aug30 Aug17 Aug10 Jul13 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 122 5.00 6% 15.90    
7  MONGOLIAN SPRING Nov29 Aug09 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 20.00    
8  SIR LUCAS Nov29 Sep07 Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 (koch a)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
 
TUP-6   12/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIANMA Nov29 Oct01 Sep06 Aug09 Jul26 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  STRAWBERRY ZINGER Jul26 Jun28 Jun06 May16   (zimmerman p)CRUZ M 118 12.00    
3  PETITE ANGE Oct18 Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 May16 (perren a)CORBETT W 124 5.00    
4  HEARTFULL OF JOY Nov29 Sep21 Sep12 Aug22 Sep02 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  BUBBLES UP Nov29 Sep12 Aug10 Jun29 May30 (evans justi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 4.50    
6  MISTY HEART Nov29 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Jul23 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 2.50    
7  MISS SUNDAZE Oct04 Sep13 Aug04 Jul11   (jewell ian)LOPEZ KARLO 118 6.00 19% 4.40    
 
TUP-7   12/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN GREEK Oct04 Aug30 Aug03 May18 Mar07 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
2  RESULTANT Jan15 Dec26 Mar23 Feb16 Jan14 (bourdie)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BARRISTER PROOF Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Jul13 Jun15 (gilmour jim)MONTALVO C 122 10.00    
4  MOONLIGHT ROAD Sep12 Aug17 Aug07 Jul12 Jun28 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
5  ATMOSPHERIC RIVER Nov28 Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
6  BIG JIMMY Nov16 Oct19 Oct03 Aug03 Jul19 (martinez a)REYES FRANK 119 12.00    
7  EVANDERKEEN Oct18 Oct05 Sep21 Aug15 Jul12 (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 122 8.00 8% 11.40    
8  BRUCKNER Nov28 Aug23 Jul03 May24 May02 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
TUP-8   12/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAY SURPRISE Sep10         (rarick )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 10.00    
2  SPARTA F. C. Nov15 Sep27 Sep05 Jul27 Mar23 (belvoir vann)ALVARADO T 124 3.50    
SCR  DISTORTED LOUV Nov15 Sep17 Aug30 Aug06 Jun18 (kenney ryan)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 12.00    
4  WITHOUT A POUT (IRE) Nov15 Oct17 Sep26 Sep06 Aug10 (diodor)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
5  RIDE ELBOW RANCH Nov15 Oct18 Aug31 Jul25 Jun14 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 5.00 11% 8.40    
6  ONI Aug28 Mar12       (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
7  THETRIBEHASSPOKEN Sep19 Aug22 Jan25 Nov22   (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 5.00    
8  THEY SEE ME DO IT Nov15 Sep27 Aug31     (rosales jorge)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
9  LIBERTY CAP Nov29 Nov17       (tubbs scott)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.