Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - December 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/4)-(5/4/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/4)-(5/4/2/7)-(7/1/2/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/7)-(7/1/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/7)-(7/1/2/3/6)-(5/6/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/1/2/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/3/6)-(7/1/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/3/6)-(7/1/2/3/6)-(7/1/2/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/2/3/6)-(5/6/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/3/6)-(5/6/3/7)-(2/3/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/7)-(2/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/7)-(2/3/4/6)-(9/7/5/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/6)-(9/7/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/6)-(9/7/5/4)-(7/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (9/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/5/4)-(9/7/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/5/4)-(9/7/5/4/1)-(9/7/5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/5/4)-(7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/5/4)-(7/4/6)-(1/8/2/9/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(1/8/2/9/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(1/8/2/9/4)-(1/2/8/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/8/2/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/9/4)-(1/8/2/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/9/4)-(1/8/2/9/4)-(1/8/2/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/2/9/4)-(1/2/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (1/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/6)-(1/2/10/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/6)-(1/2/10/8/6)-(1/2/10/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   12/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBJECT TO CHANGE Nov13 Oct03 Sep13 Jul04 Jun13 (king w)BELISARIO JUAN 119 5.00    
BARON'S LEGACY Nov09 Oct10 Sep20 Aug29 Aug22 (carlisl)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
GUNS N' ROJAS Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 Sep19 Sep03 (albright a)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 2.00 24% 3.20    
TAPIO (IRE) Nov20 Oct10 Sep20 Jun20 May23 (viands r)ACOSTA D 124 12.00 7% 12.70    
ABUELO PAPS Dec05 Nov20 Nov14 Oct25 Oct04 (king w)LEWIS M 126 6.00    
WOKE UP IN LOVE Nov20 Oct10 Sep20 Sep02 Aug18 (adorno jea)SANTAELLA MOISES 121 6.00 9% 9.80    
SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Nov28 Sep02 Aug21 Jul17 Jun29 (collins tim)EBOW III 119 4.50    
 
CT-2   12/11/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF LUCK Dec04 Nov14 Feb01 Jan23 Jan03 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
SUPER PUNCHER Nov06 Oct25 Oct09 Sep11 Aug08 (carlisl)NUNEZ MAURICIO 123 8.00 17% 5.00    
RED ROSCOE Nov17 Oct22 Sep22 Aug19 Jul22 (cuttino mari)WHITACRE GRANT 121 12.00    
YOUTHFUL ENERGY Apr03 Mar15 Dec13 Nov07 Oct24 (lucas anth)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
CANDY CONNECTION Nov21 Nov08 Oct29 Sep26 Sep06 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.00 29% 2.40    
FUNGO FUNGO Nov26 Nov06 Oct15 Sep05 Aug23 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 121 4.50    
JUBA MARCHES ON Nov12 Oct15 Oct03 Sep11 Aug23 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 116 10.00 9% 10.40    
 
CT-3   12/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER WARRIOR RVF Nov14 Oct14 Sep30 Sep07 Jul29 (runco jeff )EBOW III 119 6.00 25% 3.00    
BID ON BLUE Nov29 Oct31 Oct09 Aug07 Jul17 (brown k)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 5.00 8% 11.40    
ESTRELLA FUGAZ Nov29 Nov15 Nov06 Oct25 Oct11 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 126 12.00 8% 11.40    
ONE CANDY CASTLE Nov28 Oct31 Oct09 Sep19 Aug02 (straughn wil)LEWIS M 126 20.00    
GOGOGETEM Nov12 Nov01 Sep26 Sep11 Aug07 (craig e)JORGE JULIO 125 8.00    
RIDE THE BRAND Nov29 Nov14 Oct18 Sep11 Aug23 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 126 10.00 5% 17.90    
FAVORITE ROAD Nov29 Nov14 Oct31 Oct18 Oct03 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 125 4.50 27% 2.80    
GRANDY Nov29 Sep19 Sep05 Aug08 Jun05 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 126 12.00    
PICO PLAT Nov26 Nov08 Oct23 Oct02 Sep14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.60    
 
CT-4   12/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($28.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT ROAR Nov26 Nov06 Oct02 Sep06 Aug21 (rodrig)MOLINA MATIAS 122 20.00    
GAME KEEPER Nov20 Oct30 Oct21 Oct03 Aug23 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 122 10.00    
GRAN ANDREWS Nov20 Oct30 Oct08 Sep11 Aug29 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 8% 11.90    
DIRECT APPEAL Nov26 Nov05 Oct23 Oct11 Sep25 (clatterbuck )BELISARIO JUAN 116 3.50    
EPIC LUCK Nov20 Sep18 Aug27 Aug09 Jul30 (haynes ernes)LEWIS M 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
DEADPAN Nov29 Nov01 Sep27 Sep13 Sep01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 34% 2.00    
BAD LINEAGE Nov20 Nov06 Oct23 Oct11 Sep25 (perry lawr)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   12/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY MAN CAN Nov08 Oct17 Oct01 Sep20 Aug22 (jackso)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 3.50    
FORTUNATE SON Nov29 Nov15 Oct31 Oct03 Sep11 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
JACK'S ALOHA Nov26 Nov01 Oct17 Sep26 Sep11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.80 26% 2.80    
CEDAR RUNS FIBER Dec04 Nov20 Nov06 Oct15 Oct09 (boykins ke)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNION BRANCH Nov17 Oct06 Sep16 Aug13 Jul02 (cuttino mari)WHITACRE GRANT 121 15.00    
EL PACHO Oct15 Sep11 Aug08 Feb08 Nov06 (reyes ruben )BELISARIO JUAN 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
CANDY MAN MARTIN Nov26 Oct23 Oct01 Sep11 Aug21 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 123 4.50    
 
CT-6   12/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 2 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MAHOMES Nov20 Oct11 Sep27 Aug23 Aug09 (mckee c)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SAFE AT FIRST by HONOUR AND GLORY)
FIBER ROCKS Nov29         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 10.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of ROCK OF WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
ROCK N'OPPORTUNITY Nov20 Sep27 Aug09     (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ROCK N' GOLD by MEDALLIST)
JULITA BONITA Nov12 Oct29 Oct01     (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of JULIE B by EASTOVER COURT)
SPICY YEARS Nov12 Oct15 Oct02     (contreras ja)BELISARIO JUAN 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
NOT MY CIRCUS Nov20 Oct16 Oct02     (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 10.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
RED DAWN COMING Nov09 Oct04 Aug09     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DAYLIGHT'S COMING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
THEY NOT LIKE US Nov20 Sep27 Aug23 Aug09 Jul18 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of FOR THE MEMORIES by A.P. INDY)
SEATHERNY Nov29 Oct30       (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 122 3.50 57% 0.80    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of BROAD BUT NICE by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
10  MY BROTHERS ANGEL Nov20 Oct16 Sep27 Sep10   (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 122 4.50    
  (by TACITUS out of APPLE CIDER by MORE THAN READY)
 
CT-7   12/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN MY MEMORIES Nov29 Oct18 Sep26 Sep07 Aug08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.40    
JUBA'S PARADE Nov08 Oct11 Aug22 Aug02 Jul12 (sanderson)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 12.00    
SCR  GOOD ACCELEBRATE Nov15 Oct04 Sep05 Sep01 Aug02 (joy kevin )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 15.00    
CHARGE NURSE Nov21 Oct30 Oct16 Sep19 Aug22 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 124 3.00 13% 6.80    
SERENADE ME Oct31 Oct04 Sep12 Aug14 Jul26 (gilles)ARAUJO VICENTE 121 10.00    
MALIBU YEARS Nov22 Nov08 Oct11 Sep26 Aug14 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 126 12.00 7% 13.10    
OVERNIGHT POW WOW Oct11 Sep26 Aug22 Aug02 Jul05 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
CT-8   12/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAMMER Oct16 Sep14 Aug24 Jul24 Jun07 (gazzier k)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
IM THE DIRECTOR Nov26 Oct11 Sep04 Jul19 Jul03 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 125 6.00 6% 16.10    
PURE PANIC Nov26 Nov13 Oct15 Sep11 Apr12 (joy j)BELISARIO JUAN 117 15.00    
FROSTY THE GIANT Nov12 Oct16 Sep27 Sep13 Aug27 (deiter ly)LUNA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PAYMENGOLD Nov28 Nov15 Sep18 Jul19 Jun21 (johnson de)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 20.00    
LORD OF CORK Nov26 Nov15 Oct11 Sep05 Aug14 (sigler rona)EBOW III 115 20.00    
FALCON BLUE Nov12 Oct18 Oct08 Sep19 Sep12 (joy j)MONTANO JOSE 125 2.50    
OZONE Nov13 Oct16 Sep18 Jul25 Jul19 (butts m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 8% 11.70    
NOCASHREFUNDS Nov26 Nov06 Oct09 Sep18 Sep04 (boggs joanna)DIAZ JR 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  BOSS E BOOGS Nov12 Nov06 Oct09 Jan25 Jan03 (wilhelm ta)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 50.00    
 
CT-9   12/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STILL GRUMPY Nov08 Oct11 Sep07 Aug14 Jul12 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 124 1.80 56% 0.80    
BUTTERFLY EFFECT Nov21 Oct30 Oct16 Oct03 Sep08 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
FUNNY ROAD Nov28 Oct30 Oct16 Sep26 Sep22 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
ADDY MAE Nov19 Nov01 Oct08 Sep05 Aug14 (boggs joan)SANTAELLA MOISES 121 3.50    
QUINN ELIA Nov01 Oct16 Sep18 Sep05 Aug29 (collye)RIOS-CONDE JR 124 30.00    
SISTER WINNIE Nov28 Nov08 Aug14 Aug01 Jul18 (tobin edwin)EBOW III 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
BET YOUR BOOTS Nov21 Oct24 Sep26 Oct18 Sep27 (groves janice)LARROSA G 124 20.00    
LOVELY ODDS Oct03 Sep11 Sep05 Aug21 Aug01 (joy j)ACOSTA D 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOONSHINE MAMA Nov21 Oct16 Oct10 Sep18 Aug14 (caison jody )LEWIS M 123 12.00    
10  JUBA'S TOPAZ Oct15 Oct02 Aug23 Aug15 Jul21 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00    
SCR  SING ME TO SLEEP Nov28 Nov21 Oct30 Oct03 Sep11 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00    
SCR  DREAM LEADER Nov30 Nov18 Oct29 Sep12 Sep01 (cuttino mari)WHITACRE GRANT 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.