Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Monday - November 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (2/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/4)-(3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/4)-(3/2/1)-(7/8/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(7/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(7/8/5/1)-(4/7/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/1)-(7/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/1)-(7/8/5/1)-(7/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/5/1)-(4/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5/1)-(4/7/6/3)-(9/10/5/8/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/3)-(9/10/5/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/3)-(9/10/5/8/7)-(2/8/12/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (9/10/5/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/5/8/7)-(9/10/5/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/5/8/7)-(9/10/5/8/7)-(9/10/5/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/5/8/7)-(2/8/12/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/8/12/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/12/5)-(2/8/12/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/12/5)-(2/8/12/5/6)-(2/8/12/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   11/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK'N AWESOME Sep05         (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 2.00 8% 11.90    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of NOTE MAKER by TOP HIT)
CACTUS LEAGUE         (eikleberry kev)ALVARADO T 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by SPRING AT LAST out of WRIGLEY IVY by PLEASANT TAP)
TEMPTING MISCHIEF Apr10         (william)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TEMPE by HADIF)
EZ RACER Apr10         (martinez e)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of S U M RACER by FIRST DEFENCE)
HEY PARDNER         (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of SASHAYING SIS by ROCKY BAR)
T'S HEATER Apr10         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 10.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CAVE SPRINGS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
DE NOVO Sep14         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00    
  (by ARIZONA MOON out of TAPITY CAT by TAPIT)
 
TUP-4   11/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LITTLE LADY Sep07 Aug08 Jul13 Jun07 May25 (gibson f)MOJICA O 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHANGHAI BARBIE Oct06 Sep29       (puentes j)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 117 6.00 31% 2.20    
MINEDANDREFINED Sep13 May09 Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 (silva jose)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
ILA VEIW TOO Oct17 Sep21 Aug31 Aug16 Aug03 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 122 5.00    
CLASSIC AMERICAN Oct15 Oct03 Sep07 Jul19 Jul03 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.00    
LOTSA STEEL Oct11 Sep28 Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 (kemper kasey)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00    
 
TUP-5   11/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER LOVER Oct25 Sep22 Sep10 Jul21 Jun24 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
THE BLACK STRAT Aug16 Jul30 Jul04 Jun08 Apr30 (martinez e)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 3.50    
FIREMAN DAN Oct19 Sep13 Aug23 Jul18 Jun13 (belvoir vann)ALVARADO T 122 6.00    
SCR  THIRSTY VISION Oct10 Oct01 Jul03 May11 Apr29 (rosales jorge)MOJICA O 119 20.00    
I'M NOBLE Sep06 Aug17 Jul25 Jul13 Jun20 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
QUALITY CAT Aug17 Jul25 Jul13 Jun15 May31 (gibson h)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00    
ZOFFARELLI (IRE) Nov02 Oct12 Aug24 Aug17 Jul20 (miller peter)CORBETT W 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
AFJAN Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 Jun02 May13 (ortiz i)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  TOUCH OF ZEN Sep20 Aug27 Aug06 Jul02 Jun08 (fuentes rub)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
10  ROBO Sep20 Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (silva a)CRUZ M 122 20.00    
 
TUP-6   11/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA MOON RISE Sep20 Aug16       (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 15.00    
  (by ARIZONA MOON out of SQUEEZE ME by PAPA CLEM)
SECRET INSANITY         (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 120 4.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SANITY by CITY ZIP)
EZ COWBOY Oct05 Jul26 Jul12 Apr30   (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of MS MUMBA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
GO SPARKY Sep17         (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 120 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of LET THE GIRL GO by ROCKY BAR)
DORMELLO'S LEGACY Sep19 Sep05       (mcfarlane dan )ALVARADO T 120 6.00    
  (by TONALIST out of QUEEN KATE by IRON CAT)
PI TIME Sep06 Jul03 May03 Apr10   (barraza rafa)NUNNALLY BLAKE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARIZONA MOON out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
THREE P'S Apr30 Apr10       (hone bart)CORBETT W 120 2.50 7% 14.20    
  (by PER CAPITA out of LUCKY LAST by LOTSA MISCHIEF)
PEACE PARDNER Oct12 Aug01 Jul13 Jun22   (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 12.00    
  (by PER CAPITA out of MIS PARDNER RULES by PEACE RULES)
 
TUP-7   11/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANDERSNATCH Oct10 Sep21 Sep12 Apr05   (dillenbeck bruce)GARCIA F 121 10.00    
MAJESTIC VIBES Sep03 Aug13       (lawrence he)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 8.00    
SIMPLIFIED Aug18 Jul12 Jun06 Aug02   (mcfarlane l)BARNES JOSE 121 10.00    
FIRST LADY OF FIRE Oct13         (puentes jose)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 20.00    
BRASCIA'S ART         (belvoir vann)ALVARADO T 121 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  BIZZY LIZZY Oct11 Sep27 Sep20 Aug02 Jul18 (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 5.00    
LANI'S SWEETHEART Oct18 Sep27 Sep06 Sep28 Aug25 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
ITSGRANDSALAMITIME Oct13 Sep15 Aug29 Aug10 Apr06 (silva-mar)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
LIBERTY CAP         (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
10  TOP REVIEW Sep26 Aug04 Jul21 Jun09 Mar12 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
TUP-8   11/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE EMPIRE Oct11 Sep20 Jun26 May31 Apr19 (fearon johnatho)CORBETT W 124 20.00    
SANDERSON Sep13 Jul24 Jun07 Nov19 Oct22 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  GRACE'S HANK Nov07 Oct17 Sep27 Sep01 Aug06 (esquibel mark)MONTALVO C 124 20.00    
PURE CANE SUGAR Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul12 Jun15 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 124 10.00    
RUN BRYCE RUN Aug06 Jun28 May31 Apr29 Apr03 (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 6% 15.80    
DELIAN LEAGUE Oct05 Sep14 Aug16 Aug17 Jul07 (chambers mike)ALVARADO T 124 5.00    
CODE BREAKER Sep24 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 Jul03 (matt l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 12.00    
ARIO Oct25 Oct03 Sep06 Aug03 Jun08 (lucarelli frank)VERGARA P 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
DINERO DE LA CASA Oct17 Oct03 Sep24 Apr29 Apr19 (torres-ca)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 119 20.00    
10  BOURBON DANCER Oct05 Aug31 Aug08 Jul11 Jun27 (trujillo)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 10.00    
11  STAR MISSION Sep18 Aug06 Jul12 Jun28 Sep12 (ortiz i)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
12  KITTEN IN CHARGE Oct25 Sep26 Aug30 Aug10 Jun29 (peery debbi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 10.00 15% 5.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.