Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(2/4/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(2/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(2/4/6/1)-(4/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1)-(2/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/1)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/1)-(4/5/1)-(6/2/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(6/2/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(6/2/9/4)-(6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/2/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/9/4)-(6/2/7/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/9/4)-(6/2/7/9/4)-(6/2/7/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/9/4)-(6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2/9/4)-(6/1)-(7/1/6/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/1)-(7/1/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(7/1/6/3)-(6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/3)-(6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   11/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K P SILVER BULLET Oct27 Oct14 Aug29 Aug13 Jun30 (kocijan marcu)TOLEDO S 126 8.00    
FIELDSTONE Oct27 Oct07 Aug27 Jul25 Jun23 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 0.60 51% 1.00    
BUCKET LIST Oct28 Jun25 May29 May13 Apr11 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 126 12.00 14% 6.30    
EL MARRO Oct14 Oct01 Sep18 Aug29 Aug13 (romero jose )TERRAZA GERMAN 126 20.00    
GREY STREAK Oct11 Oct04 Aug07 Jun28 Jun12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 3.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  BAILAMOS Oct23 Sep24 Sep09 Aug24 Jul28 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
 
MVR-2   11/12/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICCA WISDOM Oct20 Sep26 Sep01 Aug21 Aug05 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 124 6.00    
SACRED CONNECTION Oct29 Oct20 Sep26 Sep09 Aug20 (bailey ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 121 3.00    
PRINCESSTAPITURE Oct20 Sep17 Sep07 Aug27 Aug13 (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 6% 16.70    
TIZ INDEPENDENCE Oct29 Oct08 Sep10 Sep01 Aug21 (bailey ricardo)VIGIL NOEL 126 2.00    
LUBU Oct29 Sep26 Sep09 Aug21 Aug05 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
BOOTSY'S MERLOT Oct20 Oct01 Sep23 Aug31 Aug13 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
MVR-3   11/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINISTERE Oct25 Oct08 Sep10 Aug20 Aug05 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
HARBOUR BRIDGE Oct22 Sep29 Sep15 Sep02 Aug20 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 63% 0.60    
BOHEMIAN STYLE Oct29 Oct09 Sep23 Sep15 Sep02 (rivera ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 2.00    
GAMBOLING GHOST Oct25 Oct08 Sep12 Aug28 Aug20 (dacosta jason)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 8% 11.00    
ONE FAST MIDDIE Sep30 Aug21 Aug06 Jul16 Jun19 (anderson susan)JURADO EDDIE 124 20.00    
READY FOR ACTION Jul04 May29 May15 Mar11 Feb06 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
TONIGHT Oct25 Oct09 Sep02 Aug13 Jul05 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 122 3.00    
 
MVR-4   11/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROPPING LEMONS Aug13 Jul30 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 (vlaun manue)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
GREY MARKET Nov04 Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 Aug28 (rivera ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
NUBLADA Oct10 Sep03 Jun21 Nov25 Nov04 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00    
THE DEVIL'S DREAM Oct30 Oct10 Aug29 Aug11 Jun26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Sep25 Sep17 Jun21 May07 Apr21 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
WORK'N ON A BUZZ Sep25 Aug27 Jul18 Jun26 Jun04 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
 
MVR-5   11/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERBIER (IRE) Oct25 Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jul03 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00    
VINCENZINO Oct30 Oct13 Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 (castillo jab)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
THE DRAKE Oct07 Aug20 Jul03 Jun10 May18 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 20.00    
AURA OF GOLD Oct25 Oct08 Sep08 Aug18 Jul02 (madrigal rodri)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
AULD LANGE SYNE Oct13 Sep22 Sep02 Aug18 Aug07 (sondej amy)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 8.00    
SUPPLY CHAIN Oct20 Oct08 Mar03 Jan25 Jun10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 69% 0.50    
AGNELLO'S DREAM Nov04 Oct08 Sep17 Sep09 Aug19 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
WILL E SUTTON Oct08 Sep08 Jun19 May30 Oct10 (vlaun manue)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Oct20 Oct08 Sep03 Aug05 Mar22 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   11/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONTAUK COVE Oct10 Oct01 Sep18 Jul17 Jun30 (salcedo ramon)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SUNSET TOWN Oct29 Oct16 Sep10 Aug15 Jun28 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
MORETHANREADYEDDIE Oct28 Oct03 Sep25 Apr22 Apr08 (gonzalez ric)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00    
SO DIALED IN Oct28 Oct03 Sep04 Aug19 Aug04 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50    
DOCTOR WU Nov03 Oct07 Aug18 Jul13 Jun16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
COLONEL VARGO Nov03 Oct12 Aug29 Jun29 May27 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 63% 0.60    
LOMACHENKO Oct21 Sep14 Sep01 Aug03 Jul28 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50    
 
MVR-7   11/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPRESS FASHION Oct15 Oct08 Sep25 Sep10 Aug19 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
BOOGIE BOOGEE Oct30 Sep29 Sep16 Jul08 Jun16 (szczepanski e)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00    
GO GIRL Jun16 May27 Apr23 Apr09 Mar27 (yoder susan )TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 7% 12.60    
HIGH FIRE Oct22 Oct15 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 (johnson ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 121 8.00    
KERRI'S MIRACLE Oct22 Sep23 Sep08 Jul07 Jun16 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00    
KOZY NIGHT Oct27 Sep24 Aug29 Aug15 Jun26 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 3.50 11% 8.20    
MIZZEN THE POINT Oct20 Sep23 Aug29 Aug11 Jul08 (overholt paul)BRACHO A 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
NATIONAL DIAMOND Aug11 Jun21 Jun02 May03 Apr22 (rivera r)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00    
 
MVR-8   11/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOSEBUMPS Oct15 Aug29 Aug01 Jun06 May22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
MIESHA Oct15 Sep24 Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
COUSIN MINNIE Aug22 Jun27 Jun14 May30 May09 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
OH GLORIOUS DAY Oct21 Oct06 Sep02 Aug22 Jul18 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 8.00    
MY KINDA PARTY Oct13 Sep01 Aug11 Jun23 Jun03 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.00    
WONDER WORLD Jun06 May03 Apr12 Mar20 Feb27 (gorham m)RIVERA R 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.