Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fairmount Park
Saturday - October 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FP-1   WIN (8/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/5)-(8/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/5)-(8/1/3/5)-(8/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/3/5)-(4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/5)-(4/3/7)-(2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FP-2   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(2/6)-(4/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FP-3   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(4/6/1)-(7/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FP-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(7/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FP-5   WIN (7/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/6)-(3/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FP-6   WIN (3/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/6)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/6)-(3/5/2)-(2/10/8/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FP-7   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(2/10/8/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FP-8   WIN (2/10/8/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/8/5/7)-(2/10/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/8/5/7)-(2/10/8/5/7)-(2/10/8/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FP-1   10/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELSIE'S LEGACY         (essenpreis ed)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 10.00 12% 7.10    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of Z Z POP by BRAHMS)
2  DANCEWITHMEFIONA Sep27 Sep06 Aug12     (fridley stev)GILES EMMANUEL 120 3.50    
  (by FLATTER out of SPINSTRESS by HARD SPUN)
3  SHOW PAM         (childers s)HERRERA C 120 10.00 12% 7.10    
  (by SHOGOOD out of MISS GIGI by CRIMSON CLASSIC)
4  JACK'S YELLOW ROSE Sep27 Sep06 Aug12 Jun15   (burdess terry)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.50    
  (by SLEEPY EYES TODD out of QUEEN CARIBEES by COZZENE)
5  SHO DOMINA         (childers shane)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 12.00 12% 7.10    
  (by SHOGOOD out of MY DOMINA by CITY ZIP)
6  BEER GOGGLES         (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 120 8.00    
  (by NORTH PROSPECT out of MONEYMAKIN MOMMY by TOP COMMAND)
7  SILVER CURLIN Sep23         (anderson tracy)FELIX E 120 6.00    
  (by SILVER STATE out of HEDONISM by CURLIN)
8  LA ROSE BLANCHE Sep27         (wells duane)DIEGO JAVIER 120 4.50 13% 6.90    
  (by MO TOWN out of BLING QUEEN by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
FP-2   10/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST N HAPPY Sep30 Aug31 Aug21 Jul17 May11 (alonso fern)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 6.00    
2  TIME BREAK Sep21 Sep11 Aug24 Jul08 Jun03 (quinonez m)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00    
3  DIXIE PENNY Sep11 Aug02 Jul17 May18 May04 (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 3.50 11% 7.80    
4  PRANCIPANTS Sep28 Sep02 Aug09 Jul13 Jun08 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 2.50 59% 0.70    
5  LITTLE SASS Sep23 Aug21 Aug09 Jun26 May27 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 4.50 ★    
6  INTO GOLDEN ROAD Sep25 Aug30 Aug09 Jul05 Jun10 (coontz arthu)TAVARES JAVIER 120 10.00    
7  HOOTIE HOOT Oct04 Sep19 Aug23 Aug02 Jul08 (huerta)ORTEGA JOSEPH 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  TINA'S TAPIZAR Sep23 Sep02 Aug09 Jul08 Jun17 (manley steve)FELIX E 124 8.00    
 
FP-3   10/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SET IN ICE Oct04 Sep09 Aug23     (rednour jo)HERRERA C 120 12.00    
2  QUEEN GITA Aug27 May14       (becker scott)WALES T 126 1.80 66% 0.50    
SCR  LUCKY MONICA Oct04 Sep09 Aug23 Oct31 Sep28 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 1.20    
4  MADAM LEE Oct04 Sep09 Aug30 Aug10 Jul22 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 126 6.00    
SCR  TOUR DE' PORT Oct05 Sep07 Aug02 Jul12 Jun24 (quinonez max)TAVARES JAVIER 126 4.00    
6  MAYA'S WARRIOR Oct04 Aug12 Jul22 Jun03 May10 (retana)ORTEGA JOSEPH 120 8.00 8% 11.70    
 
FP-4   10/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST CROSS TRAFFIC Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 Oct29 Oct15 (plasters lo)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 5.00 13% 6.90    
2  SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN Sep27 Sep09 Aug26 Jul26 Jul12 (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 120 6.00    
3  ADIOS KID Sep27 Aug30 Aug19 Aug09 Jun28 (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 120 2.00    
4  STEVE Sep30 Sep09 Aug23 Aug09 Jul15 (straub mar)SIMPSON M 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  MOVE IN SILENCE Oct07 Sep15 Aug09 Jul15 Jun28 (delong ben)HERRERA C 124 10.00    
6  SPAN Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 Jul19 Jul01 (blea jr)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
 
FP-5   10/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EUCLID AVENUE Oct09 Sep27 Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 (mosier har)HERRERA C 124 3.50    
2  PAYNT BY LETTERS Oct04 Aug02 Jun19 Nov20 Nov06 (wilborn kevi)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00 6% 15.10    
3  HOLCOMBE Oct07 Sep27 Aug30 Aug02 Jul22 (blea tony )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00    
4  STRONGER TOGETHER Oct09 Sep11 Jul31 Jul05 Jun19 (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
5  RUNNINGFORCASH Sep22 Sep08 Aug23 Aug01 Jun21 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAJOR CONTENDER Sep27 Sep13 Aug19 Aug05 Jul05 (blea jr)GILES EMMANUEL 124 6.00    
7  MILLARD'S SMILE Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 (manley steve)WALES T 124 4.50 50% 1.00    
 
FP-6   10/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I DID THE MATH Sep30 Aug19 Aug07 Jul08 Jun21 (rednou)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 10.00    
2  TRY Sep30 Aug26 Aug05 Jul12 Jun24 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 118 3.50 16% 5.20    
3  HALO HONEY Sep30 Aug26 Aug05 Jun24 Jun07 (essenpreis edwa)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 2.50 25% 2.90    
4  CHASING SEATTLE Oct04 Sep09 Aug23     (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
5  TAXDAY PEYTON Sep30 Aug23 Jul26 Jul08   (becker scott)WALES T 120 5.00    
6  PASSING PASSION Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul26 Jun24 (fridley steve)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOT T'MATER Sep18 Sep09 Aug10 Jul08 Jun21 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 120 4.50    
 
FP-7   10/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST MAN SPEECH Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 Jul15 Jun28 (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00    
2  AFRICAN WARRIOR Oct04 Sep19 Jul19 Jul05 Jun24 (wilborn kevi)GILES EMMANUEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  IRISH DECLARATION Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 Jul05 May17 (martinez r)HERRERA C 126 3.50 54% 0.90    
4  TRY TRY AGAIN Sep19 Sep06 Aug19 Aug09 Jun29 (alonso ferna)TAVARES JAVIER 126 4.50    
5  GOLDEN BUCK Oct07 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul10 (watkins m)FELIX E 126 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  KEEN RESPONSE Oct11 Sep19 Sep06 Aug09 Jul19 (mosier har)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
SCR  BOURBON DELIGHT Sep13 Jul19 Jul01 Jun17 May31 (wilborn k)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
SCR  PLAIN OR PEANUT Oct07 Sep19 Sep06 Aug14 Jul27 (alonso fern)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
 
FP-8   10/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISABELLA'S BEAUTY Sep13 Jul06 Jun17 Oct22 Oct03 (wilborn kevin)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 12.00    
2  WIN WITH COLOR Sep16 Aug26 Jul01 May24 Apr29 (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  SNOW GLO Aug09 Jul05 Jun03 May06 Dec03 (wilborn ke)HERRERA C 124 20.00    
4  GOODBYE INDY Sep30 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 (lynch harr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 20.00    
5  REYANNO ROYAL Oct04 Aug30 Aug02 Jun21   (manley steve)WALES T 126 4.50 8% 11.60    
6  DANG IT BABE Sep23 Sep09 Aug30 Aug02 Jul05 (plasters lori)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 10.00    
7  FOREVER BLESSED Sep30 Sep09 Aug23 Jul15 Jun17 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  K O AMERICAN PIE Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Aug09 Jul12 (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00 17% 4.70    
9  HEAVENLY SCENT Sep30 Sep16 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 124 20.00    
10  HANABI Sep30 Sep09 Jun07 May06 Jul23 (lamew brian )GILES EMMANUEL 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.