Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - October 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/5/6)-(1/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(1/6/2)-(4/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(4/5/6)-(4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(4/1)-(6/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(6/4/1)-(2/7/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(2/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(2/7/6/5)-(4/3/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/5)-(4/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   10/18/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAVORITE ROAD Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug14 Jul26 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 1.40 28% 2.50    
HARDLY EVER BETTER Oct08 Aug09 Jul17 Apr17 Mar29 (boykins kevin)MAWING A 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
RIDE THE BRAND Sep11 Aug23 Jul17 Jul04 Jun20 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 124 4.00    
EASIER SAID Oct08 Sep12 Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 118 10.00    
IN HIGH GEAR Sep19 Aug09 Jul04 May29 May09 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   10/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($15.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOOK ME ALL NIGHT Sep11 Aug08 Jul12 Mar22 Feb22 (perry lawren)BELISARIO JUAN 117 3.50 40% 1.50    
NO CONVERSATION Oct02 Sep19 Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 (jackson an)BATISTA X 124 4.00    
FLATTERING WAY Sep12 Aug09 Jun12 May16 Apr18 (barahona isa)BATISTA A 121 4.50    
THE COLDEST ONE Sep30 Sep11 Aug30 Aug13 Aug07 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 120 3.00    
ED'S PROPHECY Oct03 Sep02 Aug07 Jul11 Apr17 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
MANIACAL MAYAN Sep11 Aug09 Jun28 May31   (gazzier kr)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   10/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALBOT HEIRLOOM Oct03 Sep18 Aug23 Jul31 Jul05 (gazzier kris)DIAZ JR 120 1.20 55% 0.80    
BARAPHA Oct08 Sep25 Aug07 Jun12 Apr19 (conn p)BELISARIO JUAN 115 15.00 5% 17.60    
SLANDEROUS Oct04 Sep10 Aug15 Jul25 Sep07 (joy j)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.00    
SCR  GETTOTHSTORYIMDONE Oct04 Sep23 Sep12 Jul04 May24 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
TIERRA SANTA Sep28 Sep04 Aug13 Aug01 Jul09 (willia)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50    
AVALANCHE IS COMIN Sep12 Aug15 Jul04 Jun13 Nov07 (rofe jean)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 8.00 11% 8.00    
 
CT-4   10/18/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESTLESS Sep27 Aug23 Jul31 Jul05 Jun20 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 117 2.00    
MAXIMILLIONS DREAM Aug22 Jul19 May30 May08 Apr18 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 20.00    
SCR  FULLY CONNECTED Feb26 Feb07 Oct21 Jun02 Apr06 (lane l)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
KOSHER COWBOY Aug10 May18 Apr20 Mar29 Feb07 (godsey c )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 54% 0.90    
TALKIN PHAROAH Sep27 Sep14 Jul19 Jun19 Jun05 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
GOLDEN G Mar29 Feb26 Feb07 Nov29 Jun27 (gillespie )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   10/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEMORY BOUQUET Sep25 Jul30 Jul05 May16 May01 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  BLANCHES MULE Oct01 Sep05 Aug07 Jul19 Jun12 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
DON TEQUILAS Sep03 Aug15 Jul12 Jun26 Feb12 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00    
MON GATEAU Oct04 Sep04 Aug16 May01 Mar22 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 6.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  RAINY SKIES Oct08 Sep11 Aug14 Jul24 Jun07 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.50    
HEAD LAD Oct01 Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 Jun26 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 113 3.50    
 
CT-6   10/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL OF CHARM Sep08 Aug15 Jul27 Jul06 Jun21 (craig e)JORGE JULIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
RIDE TO REMEMBER Oct04 Sep12 Aug15 May24 May08 (jackson an)BATISTA X 118 15.00    
NOTIPTONI Oct04 Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Jul31 (knudsen kent)HO WESLEY 118 4.00    
GHEE FOR THE WIN Sep28 Sep01 Jul02 Jun13 Apr26 (mcmahon h)HERNANDEZ F 122 4.50 19% 4.40    
CITY TAAH Sep27 Aug09 Jul11 Jun21 May30 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 118 12.00    
IN MY MEMORIES Sep26 Sep07 Aug08 Jul17 Jun21 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 0.60 59% 0.70    
 
CT-7   10/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART CRY Oct08 Sep13 Aug16 Jul26 Jun21 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 120 3.50    
IVYLEAGUEDROPOUT Oct08 Sep11 Aug07 Jun07 May22 (sigler ron)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 3.00 30% 2.30    
OUR STREET ANGEL Aug15 Jul26 Jun12 May15 Apr24 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 2.50    
GHOST OF ALCINA Oct02 Aug14 Jun21 May23 Apr24 (gazzier kristy)JORGE JULIO 120 15.00    
MOONLIGHT MISTRESS Oct08 Sep25 Aug23 Jul25 Apr23 (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
OUR MISS CROSSBOW Aug15 Jul26 Jul10 Jun07 May15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
JEANNETTE THE JET Jun07 May22 Apr24 Mar27 Feb26 (runco c)BELISARIO JUAN 111 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
CT-8   10/18/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY PARTNERS Sep18 Sep06 Aug23 Jun29 Jun22 (mccue )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 20.00    
LAST GLANCE Oct03 Sep11 Aug28 Aug15 Nov01 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
WINNING MOON Jul24 Mar01 Jan19 Sep24 Sep12 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
MADAM SENATOR Sep27 Sep06 Jul31 Jun28 Apr26 (joy j)LARA VICTOR 112 1.80 29% 2.50    
MISS SHACK ATTACK Aug09 Jun19 May24 May10 Apr05 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 10.00    
NOT CUZ IT'S EASY Oct09 Sep28 Sep13     (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 1.60 21% 3.70    
CRUZIN VAN NUYS Sep27 Sep06 Jul31 Jul10 Jun28 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.