Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Friday - October 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(5/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-5   WIN (5/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/6)-(3/5/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTD-6   WIN (3/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/4/6)-(3/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTD-7   WIN (3/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/6)-(3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-8   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-1   10/17/2025 2310ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAOTIC SKY Sep12         (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of BLACK ELEGANCE by FOOTSTEPSINTHESAND)
2  FOX END         (petrow)STEADMAN LEON 119 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of LONDON LASS by ALBERT THE GREAT)
SCR  PLAYFUL FORCE         (grieves)CHASE RICHARD 119 15.00    
  (by TOUR DE FORCE out of OLD TOY by GRAEME HALL)
4  UNDENIABLE JILL Sep12         (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 119 1.40 28% 2.60    
  (by UPSTART out of ZENSATIONAL BEAUTY by ZENSATIONAL)
5  LETSGOTOTHENINO         (henson r)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 122 6.00 6% 16.60    
  (by POP ARTIST out of ARCHITECTURE by ARCH)
6  ANGEL'S PROSPECT         (petrowski )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 119 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of MY BORROWED ANGEL by SILENT NAME (JPN))
7  TAYLORJOY         (kettleson to)TAVARES DANIEL 119 10.00    
  (by TOUR DE FORCE out of TANIKA by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
CTD-2   10/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGERITO Oct11 Sep21 Sep06 Aug30 Aug15 (rumsey cory)LAHOE RUJA 125 3.50    
2  A MAN'S MAN Oct04 Aug30 Aug01 Jul18 Jul07 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  HOLY EMPEROR Sep21 Aug29 Jul26 Jul05 Jun07 (vanoverschof ro)CARTER KYLE 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY MUNNINGS MODEL Sep20 Aug30 Aug01 Jul21 Jul07 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 125 2.50    
5  PUMP THE BRAKES Oct11 Sep21 Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
CTD-3   10/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYES OF BEAUTY Sep05 Aug22 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (hen)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.00 ★    
2  HOAX (IRE) Sep21 Sep05 Jul26 Jun27 Jun06 (henson rober)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.60 56% 0.80    
3  NOVEL Oct03 Aug29 Jul11 Jun15 May24 (robertso)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOLY BELLE Oct10 Sep27 Jul19 Jun28 May16 (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 122 2.50    
5  DARE TO COMPARE Oct04 Sep05 Aug22 Jul12 Jun24 (petrowski j)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 4.00    
 
CTD-4   10/17/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TITIAN Sep21 Aug23 Aug09 Jun27 Jun14 (henson robe)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  OUR SUNSHINE Oct10 Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 Jul26 (russell mo)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 12.00    
3  STREET VENDOR Sep21 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00    
4  QUARTERBACK DAK Sep21 Aug23 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (rycroft tim)HUGHES RASHEED 125 0.80 37% 1.70    
5  GEM QUALITY Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Jul25 Jul11 (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
CTD-5   10/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPMEINPOWER Oct03 Sep05 Aug22 Jul18 Jul07 (hedge rick)TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 1.60    
2  C C SUNRISE Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 (cone r)STEADMAN LEON 125 8.00 22% 3.60    
3  GO WITT GO Oct03 Sep05 Aug08 Jul25 Sep22 (smith w)CHASE RICHARD 125 20.00    
4  BEAUTIFUL BABE Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 (calhoun kimb)NATERA KEIHTON 125 10.00 14% 6.00    
5  B C CHU CHU Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jul11 Jun28 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.20 28% 2.60    
6  GWIZZ Sep27 Sep13 Sep29 Sep14 Sep01 (s)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  OOPS (GB) Sep06 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun28 (o'hagan coll)HUGHES RASHEED 125 6.00    
 
CTD-6   10/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICKOUTTHEBIZZ Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 Aug29 Aug16 (brow)ASENCIO GARCIA 122 4.00 11% 8.20    
2  DETERMINED FREEDOM Oct03 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 10.00 6% 16.50    
3  HEYSWEETDARLIN Oct11 Sep24 Sep02 Aug13 Jul22 (kingston karl)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  HARBOR DANCER Sep20 Aug23 Jul25 Jul04 Jun13 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 15.00    
5  FORGOTTEN MAN Sep26 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
6  TABULA ROSSO Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 (hedge rick)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
7  ALBERTA BERBON Oct03 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Jul05 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50    
 
CTD-7   10/17/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE QUILL Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 Aug30 Aug15 (hedge rick)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
2  RATTLESNAKE JACK Sep26 Aug30 Aug09 Aug01 Jun28 (smith w)CHASE RICHARD 125 15.00    
3  JUST KEN Sep26 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 (o'hagan coll)NATERA KEIHTON 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
4  STRATEGIC DECISION Aug30 Jul05 Jun14 Oct20 Oct06 (rycroft tim)HUGHES RASHEED 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
5  WRIT IN STONE Oct03 Sep13 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  INNOCENT MAN Oct03 Oct13 Sep29 Aug25 Aug10 (brown jim )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  EITHERINORINTHEWAY Oct03 Sep27 Aug30 Aug15 Aug03 (coney jason)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.50    
 
CTD-8   10/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTINFLATION Sep27 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Aug08 (biggs seymour)LUNAN RICHARD 125 20.00    
2  ZIP IT WRIT Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jun24 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  BOBBY DAZZLER Sep27 Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 Jul25 (o'hagan coll)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.60 48% 1.10    
SCR  G T RAY SIR Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Jul26 Jul05 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 8.00    
5  GINGERS GIANT Sep27 Sep13 Aug22 Aug09 Jul05 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 122 15.00    
6  TENNESSEE MOSES Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Jul05 Jun14 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 2.00    
7  CONCRETE COWBOY Sep27 Sep12 Aug22 Aug09 Jul19 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 6.00 7% 13.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.