Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - October 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(1/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(1/3/2)-(8/10/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(8/10/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(8/10/4/6)-(7/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/10/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/4/6)-(8/10/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/4/6)-(8/10/4/2/6)-(8/10/4/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/10/4/6)-(7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/10/4/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/2/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(7/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(7/2/1/5)-(3/1/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/5)-(3/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8/7)-(3/1/6/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Sep04 Aug07 Jul18 Jun07 May23 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
2  TRUE BUCKPASSING Sep04 Aug07 Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 (racanelli )SANTAELLA MOISES 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUR GREAT NOTION Sep12 Mar27 Feb02 Jan24 Jan13 (smith osborne)LARA VICTOR 114 12.00    
4  WAC IS FAST Oct02 Jun07 Apr05 Nov13 Nov01 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 2.50    
5  CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Sep20 Jun20 May16 Apr10 Mar08 (bass w)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.60 49% 1.10    
6  NEED A MIRACLE Sep27 Sep13 Aug07 Jun29 May02 (leaf robert )BELISARIO JUAN 113 10.00    
 
CT-2   10/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOOD BROTHER Sep26 Sep05 Jul17 Jun05 May10 (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
2  WELL SPOTTED Sep26 Sep05 Aug30 Aug08 Aug01 (shanley ti)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SCAMP WALKER Sep05 Aug27 Aug06 Jul02 Jun15 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
4  CHICA CHUCK Sep26 Sep13 Sep05 Aug08 Nov20 (adorno jean )BELISARIO JUAN 115 4.50    
5  LAWYER UP RILEY Sep26 Sep19 Sep04 Aug15 Jul21 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 0.60 57% 0.80    
6  ORANGE JUICE Oct06 Sep10 Jul31 Jul05 Jun26 (viands stace)LEWIS M 120 4.00    
 
CT-3   10/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON ROX Oct02 Aug23 Jun28 Jun06 May24 (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  TOWN TOPIC Oct03 Sep12 Aug09 Jul19   (bass w)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00    
3  SARONIC BAY Sep05 Jul04 Jun06 Apr19 Apr04 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 1.80 35% 1.80    
SCR  HOUSE ALERT Sep05 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Jun27 (rofe jean)BELISARIO JUAN 115 15.00    
5  JUBA'S TOPAZ Oct02 Aug23 Aug15 Jul21 May15 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50    
6  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Sep05 Aug17 Jul11 Jun13 Jun06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
7  PALACIO Sep26 Sep18 Sep01 Aug23 Apr24 (tobin l)MAWING A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   10/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIT NOTION May10 Apr18 Mar20 Feb13 Jan17 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 1.20 29% 2.40    
2  HEY BOOTS Sep27 Jul19 Jun19 Mar06 Jan30 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
3  UNCAPTURED WARRIOR Sep04 Jul16 Jun21 Jan29 Dec14 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 1.00 26% 2.80    
4  EL LUCERITO Aug22 Aug02 Jul05 Jun19 Apr19 (campbell m)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 30.00    
5  MOTEL PATEL Aug21 Jul17 Jun28 Jun14 Apr27 (knudsen kent)HO WESLEY 118 20.00    
6  SMOOTH RICO Aug23 Jul19 Jul04 Jun14 May24 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   10/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 2 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KAYLEE'S PROMISE Oct01 Sep04 Aug23 Aug08 Jul17 (clatterbuck fre)LARA VICTOR 112 30.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
2  CLOUDYNCOOL Sep26 Sep04 Aug08     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 6.00 ★    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SAINT PENNY by STREET MAGICIAN)
3  CAN'T DENY THIS Jul17         (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of WON'T BE DENIED by WINDSOR CASTLE)
4  LOLITA Oct01         (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
  (by CALUMAR out of TONI ROX by BROKEN VOW)
5  MALIBU CANDY Sep26 Sep06       (stehr p)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of MISTY'S TOPAZ by GEMOLOGIST)
6  B'S WILD CANDY Sep26 Sep04 Aug08     (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of B'S WILD CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
7  PETTYISASPETTYDOES Sep26 Sep04 Aug08 Jul17 Jun28 (petty kris)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 15.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of LANDON DID IT by PERSONAL FIRST)
8  NAPULE Sep26         (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of TIZ HER NOW by TIZNOW)
9  GRACEFUL CAT Oct01         (mckee cynthi)DIAZ JR 122 20.00    
  (by FOREST WILDCAT out of GRACEFUL CREEK by DARBY CREEK ROAD)
10  SPICY YEARS Oct02         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
 
CT-6   10/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA MARCHES ON Oct03 Sep11 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 111 6.00 33% 2.00    
2  CEDAR RUNS FIBER Oct09 Sep11 Aug08 Jul10 Jun19 (boykins ke)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50    
3  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Sep11 Aug23 Jul04 Jun20 May09 (scott alfred)LEWIS M 122 30.00    
4  CASTLE OF CORK Oct03 May22 Apr24 Apr03 Mar14 (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 122 8.00    
5  FUNGO FUNGO Sep05 Aug23 Jun27 Jun21 Jun06 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 120 3.00 ★    
6  EL PACHO Sep11 Aug08 Feb08 Nov06 Sep27 (reyes d)LARROSA G 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  YANKEE DOODLE KID Oct01 Aug16 Jul19 Jul03 May29 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 113 1.40 40% 1.50    
 
CT-7   10/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINK DINGHY Sep20 Sep06 Aug16 Jun05 May16 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 18% 4.40    
2  VALHALLA'S PALACE Oct03 Sep13 Aug15 Aug01 May08 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 3.00 24% 3.10    
3  BUDDY BUDDY Sep20 Aug21 Jul18 Jun26 May22 (collins tim)LEWIS M 120 2.50    
4  JUBA'S NOTION Sep13 Aug15 Jul19 Jun21 Jun05 (peltroche vaness)ACOSTA D 120 4.00    
5  THE HOUND Oct04 Sep19 Jul17 Jun19 May22 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  FEARNOUGHT Sep20 Sep05 Aug14 Jul25 Jul11 (clatterbuck)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
7  BIG BAD BRASS Sep20 Sep04 Aug08 Jul17 Jun26 (runco c)BELISARIO JUAN 115 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
CT-8   10/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O K SMARTY PANTS Oct01 Sep13 Aug22 Aug02 Jul05 (sterling mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
2  SKY BUY Sep18 Aug09 Jul31 Jul12 Jun12 (smith osborne)LARA VICTOR 112 12.00    
3  CAIRNHILL Oct02 Sep06 Jul12 May28 Feb28 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 115 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  MIDNIGHT PASS Sep28 Sep04 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (racanelli j)MAYHEW W 120 30.00    
5  KAPADOKYA Sep11 Jul24 Jun11 May09 Apr25 (martinez j)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00    
6  GHOSTLY SQUALL Oct01 Sep11 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 12% 7.50    
7  BITCOIN BABY Sep28 Sep18 Sep04 Jul23 Jul12 (raffner ta)SANTAELLA MOISES 113 15.00 ★    
8  PLAYING FOR TWO Sep13 Sep04 Jul12 May13 Apr10 (shanley timoth)HIRALDO JOHN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  CAJUN EXPECTATION Oct01 Sep12 Sep01 Aug01 Jul17 (pyke josep)BATISTA X 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.