Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - October 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-3   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(1/4/3)-(4/5/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTD-4   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-5   WIN (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/7)-(3/4/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CTD-6   WIN (3/4/6/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/7/9)-(3/4/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/7/9)-(3/4/6/7/9)-(3/4/6/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/6/7/9)-(3/1/9/7/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CTD-7   WIN (3/1/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/7/4)-(3/1/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/7/4)-(3/1/9/7/4)-(3/1/9/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/9/7/4)-(9/11/2/6/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/1/9/7/4)-(9/11/2/6/5)-(4/9/1/7/8) 125 $1.00 $125 
CTD-8   WIN (9/11/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/11/2/6/5)-(9/11/2/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/11/2/6/5)-(9/11/2/6/5)-(9/11/2/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/11/2/6/5)-(4/9/1/7/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CTD-9   WIN (4/9/1/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/7/8)-(4/9/1/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/7/8)-(4/9/1/7/8)-(4/9/1/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-2   10/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POINT TO THE STARS Oct04 Sep21 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 14% 6.20    
2  JUMEIRAH COAST Sep27 Sep12 Jul26 Jun27 Jun07 (rycroft tim)HUGHES RASHEED 125 6.00 7% 14.40    
3  SELF SERVING Sep21 Aug29 Aug16 Jul18 Jul04 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50    
4  MAD LUTHER Sep27 Sep12 Aug29 Aug04 Jun28 (o'hagan coll)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.00    
SCR  LONESOME CAT Sep27 Aug23 Aug02 Jun28 Nov03 (ward anderson)BRYAN D 125 20.00    
6  NEIGHBOR Sep21 Aug01 Jul07 Jun15 Oct12 (henson r)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 2.00 49% 1.10    
 
CTD-3   10/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROWNING ISLAND Oct04 Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 Jul18 (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 10.00    
2  PUDDINGONTHERITZ Aug30 Jul26 Jul19 May09 Nov16 (bell ken)LUNAN RICHARD 125 8.00 14% 6.00    
3  CREDIBILITY Oct04 Sep12 Aug30 Aug04 Jul26 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 15% 5.80    
4  SQUALOTORO Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 (frey carson)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 4.50    
5  GOOD BYE PUTIN Sep21 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jul04 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00 38% 1.70    
6  CALI CONQUEST Sep21 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 125 15.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC STREET Sep26 Sep12 Aug30 Aug02 Jul06 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 4.00    
 
CTD-4   10/11/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lynn Chouinard Founders Distaff Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONTGIVEUPTHEFIGHT Sep21 Aug23 Jul26 Jun28 Jun13 (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 120 5.00 54% 0.90    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MISELLY by JACK MILTON)
2  BIG HUG Sep13 Aug23 Jul12 Jun27 Mar29 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 128 0.20    
  (by MR. BIG out of TEMEEKU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
3  MATURITY DATE Sep21 Aug23 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 (rycroft carl)NATERA KEIHTON 118 20.00 6% 15.90    
  (by UPSTART out of SING LADY SING by SCAT DADDY)
4  KITTY HOUSE Aug23 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May23 (anderson gon)CONTRERAS LUIS 117 20.00 11% 8.50    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  SILKSTONE Oct04 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 12.00    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SILKWORM by DIXIE UNION)
 
CTD-5   10/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TICKET TO THE TOP Sep06 Aug01 Jul12 Jun27 May31 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 123 6.00    
2  SILENT RUNNER Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 10.00    
3  INDIO MARA Aug23 Aug04 Jun28 May31 Apr06 (smith craig )TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 3.00    
4  KAUAI DAN Sep27 Aug23 Jul12 Jun28 May31 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 2.00 24% 3.30    
5  SAWASDEE Sep06 Jun24 Jun03 Apr19 Mar27 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 125 6.00 20% 4.10    
6  PIONEER STORM KING Sep13 Aug23 Jul19 Jul04 Jun24 (henson)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
7  HANK OLLIE Aug01 Jul12 Jun27 May31 May10 (gilkyson )ZENTENO JR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-6   10/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSNOTABOUTHEMONEY Sep20 Aug16 Jul18 Jun24   (henson robe)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.50    
2  TYBOLA Aug02         (hedge rick)CUMBERBATCH R 125 6.00    
3  CLASSY REGARD'S Sep20 Aug30 Jul25 Jul11 Jun24 (smith craig )TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  BIZZY LIZZY Sep27 Sep20 Aug02 Jul18   (heggie rod)BRYAN D 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
5  CRANBERRY CHILL Sep20 Aug29 Aug02 Jul18 Jun24 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 4.00    
6  SERENAS LAST DANCE         (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 122 10.00 11% 8.10    
7  ACT VIOLENTLY May23 Apr18 Apr02 Mar26 Mar05 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 6.00 9% 9.50    
8  SASSY SWAY Sep20 Sep05       (nichol)STEADMAN LEON 122 20.00    
SCR  WILLING TO TRY Jul12 Jun28 Jun13 May31 May17 (smith robe)LAHOE RUJA 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-7   10/11/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S A FACT Sep12 Aug02 Jul04 Jun24 Jun07 (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 8.00 19% 4.20    
2  BODEMONSTER Sep27 Sep12 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00    
3  PACHECO Sep27 Sep12 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 47% 1.10    
4  KYSTONE Sep21 Sep12 Aug23 Aug02 Jun24 (bro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  TRAPEZE Aug23 Aug02 Jul21 Jun27 Jun06 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 20.00    
6  DERZKII Sep27 Sep12 Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00    
7  THISCATSGOTSPEED Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul21 Jun27 (hedge rick)TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BIG NICK Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 Jun03 Oct27 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 12.00    
9  DON'T LET ME DOWN Sep21 Aug23 Aug08 Jul11 Jun24 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  QUINTO SOL Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 (anderson gon)CONTRERAS LUIS 125 15.00    
 
CTD-8   10/11/2025 4950ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERLICH Sep27 Sep21 Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 20.00    
2  RACE HOME Sep06 Aug15 Aug01 Jun24 Jun07 (anderson gon)TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 4.50 13% 6.80    
3  FROSTEDBIRD Oct04 Aug31 Aug17 Jul25 Jul04 (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 15.00    
4  MAGNIFICENT MARIO Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 (wyness)STEADMAN LEON 125 30.00    
5  TIGERITO Sep21 Sep06 Aug30 Aug15 Aug04 (rumsey cory)LAHOE RUJA 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HARD DIAMOND Sep26 Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 Jul25 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 10.00 6% 15.80    
7  WHERE'S THE GOLD Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 123 20.00    
8  ATTENZIONE Sep27 Aug23 Jul25 Jul04 Jun24 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 123 10.00    
9  JEFF FA FA Sep27 Sep13 Jun24 Jun03 May21 (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00 34% 2.00    
10  GLAVA Sep27 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jun15 (webster alfred)BRYAN D 123 12.00    
11  PUMP THE BRAKES Sep21 Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
CTD-9   10/11/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Don Getty Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOLWIND Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 Jan20 Dec28 (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 119 20.00 7% 12.80    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FALLSEED by FOREST WILDCAT)
2  GUNFIGHTER Sep26 Sep05 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 (henson)ASENCIO MARIANO 118 15.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GAUCHE by SMART STRIKE)
3  ACCIDENTAL GENIUS Sep13 Aug23 Aug04 Jul05 Jun14 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 121 4.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of RADISH by SQUARE EDDIE)
4  AL REICHERT Aug23 Aug01 Jun27 May31 Oct12 (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of AMALGAMATION by LEMON DROP KID)
5  DANCING PORKY Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 Jul19 Jul04 (anderson gon)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 10.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of MORNING DANCE by BROKEN VOW)
6  FLASHFORDANI Sep13 Aug23 Aug04 Jul12 Jun28 (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 124 4.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of AVE'S HALO by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  GHOSTLY SPITFIRE Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 Aug04 Jul12 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of VALYA'S VENGEANCE by ARCH)
8  HYPERFOCUS Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 Aug04 Jun28 (anderso)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DISCREET MEATING by HAT TRICK (JPN))
9  STONEVICIOUS Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 (brown r)CARTER KYLE 121 3.00 9% 10.80    
  (by CONNECT out of DIVA STYLE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.