Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - October 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(1/2/6)-(5/1/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(5/1/2/4)-(1/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/4)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/4)-(1/4/6)-(8/4/6/9/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(8/4/6/9/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(8/4/6/9/7)-(1/2/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/4/6/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/9/7)-(8/4/6/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/9/7)-(8/4/6/9/7)-(8/4/6/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/6/9/7)-(1/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/9/7)-(1/2/6)-(6/7/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(6/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/5/9/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/4)-(6/5/9/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/5/9/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/3/7)-(6/5/9/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/3/7)-(6/5/9/3/7)-(6/5/9/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   10/09/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH DELIGHT Aug09 Jul31 Jun28 May23 May01 (davis russ)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 3.00    
SWAN Sep25 Aug15 Jul26 Jun07 May17 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 122 10.00 15% 5.80    
SABURO'S VOW Sep25 Aug15 Jun27 Jun07 May17 (dollinger-st)BATISTA A 122 2.50    
HIS CHOICE Sep18 Sep05 Aug08 Jul05 Jun27 (joy j)MONTANO JOSE 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
MISS MENETES Sep25 Feb26 Feb01 Jan10   (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 1.60 24% 3.10    
 
CT-2   10/09/2025 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALID REASON Jul31 Jun26 Jun05 Mar06 Jan30 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.40 29% 2.40    
LEMORIAN Sep01 Jul11 Apr18 Mar11 Nov29 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 10.00 26% 2.80    
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Sep20 Aug23 Aug09 Dec06 Nov27 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50    
SMALLTOWNSMOKESHOW Sep27 Sep06 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 (knudsen kent)ACOSTA D 118 4.00    
CHEROKEE CASTLE Sep27 Jul30 Jul18 Jun21 May23 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
LOVE TO EAT Sep19 Aug01 May29 Apr28 Mar30 (butts m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
 
CT-3   10/09/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON AND BEAUTY         (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 113 5.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  BEACH BLONDE Aug08 Jul18 Jun07 May17 Apr26 (o'neill m)JORGE JULIO 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
SWEET MANHATTAN Sep18 Sep06 Aug14 Jul25 Jul05 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 120 4.50    
CAJUN PRIME Sep26 Sep18 Sep05 Feb05 Jan12 (pyke joseph)LARA VICTOR 110 20.00 5% 19.00    
NOT CUZ IT'S EASY Sep28 Sep13       (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 1.60 31% 2.20    
ALWAYS A RYE Sep28 Sep10 Aug30 Mar09 Oct29 (kee j)MAYHEW W 124 20.00    
SPIRIT AND TRUTH Sep28 Jun08 May15 Apr05 Mar30 (barr h)ACOSTA D 124 3.50    
DORINDA Aug08         (cole j)RIOS-CONDE JR 120 15.00    
 
CT-4   10/09/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREAK THE CHAINS Sep05 Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 May23 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 119 0.60 53% 0.90    
SCR  KETTLE KING Nov25 Nov11 Oct27 Sep25 Sep06 (mauro julia)BELISARIO JUAN 115 30.00    
TOWN HOT Sep26 Sep11 Aug21 Aug07 May22 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 122 30.00    
DESTIN'S RAINBOW Sep19 Sep04 Jul17 Jun19 May31 (joy j)MONTANO JOSE 124 6.00 11% 8.10    
BID ON BLUE Aug07 Jul17 Jun21 Apr24 Mar01 (brown a)LARA VICTOR 114 4.00    
GUILTED Sep19 Aug14 Feb13 Jan24 Dec21 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ONE CANDY CASTLE Sep19 Aug02 Jun26 Jun05 May10 (bass curtis )LEWIS M 124 5.00    
 
CT-5   10/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAMZ PALACE Oct02 May30 Feb05 Jan02 Dec11 (rangel ric)SANTAELLA MOISES 117 30.00    
HANNAHS RED RUBY Jul12 Apr11 Mar02 Jan11 Nov15 (sewell)RIOS-CONDE JR 122 30.00    
PROFIT HUNTER Sep20 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jul05 (hanagan g)LARA VICTOR 112 6.00    
MARMARA Sep18 Sep04 Aug06 Jul10 Jun29 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 21% 3.80    
TIDBIT Oct02 Sep20 Aug23 Jul11 Jun21 (viands stace)LEWIS M 120 20.00    
SAFFRON Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun20 (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
DEE DEE SIX Sep20 Sep05 Aug02 Jul11 Jun20 (cipriano ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
TESORO ROSSA Sep12 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 Jul04 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
MAIDENS BLUSH Sep20 Aug23 Jul31 Jul10 Jun28 (mckee cyn)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  FIRING THOUGHTS Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 Jul10 May29 (mancilla c)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN STYLE Sep17 Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 Jun12 (stites fli)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 10.00    
SCR  QUEEN OF SOUL Sep26 Aug15 Aug01 Jun27 May18 (lane j)LARA VICTOR 110 8.00    
 
CT-6   10/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOCASHREFUNDS Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jul11 Jun12 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 0.60 48% 1.10    
ROCKET APPEAL Sep27 Sep11 Aug22 Jul10 Jun19 (king james)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Jul19 Jun13 May10 Mar09 Jan25 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
SEA OF TRANQUILITY Sep27 Sep14 Jul19 Jul03 Jun26 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SCR  JUBA'S NOTION Sep13 Aug15 Jul19 Jun21 Jun05 (peltroche vaness)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK Oct03 Sep11 Aug14 Jul26 Jul17 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BOSS E BOOGS Jan25 Jan03 Dec13 Nov22 Oct31 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
 
CT-7   10/09/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIS JUICE B LOOSE Jun21 May24 May02 Apr18 Nov23 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 3.50    
SUPER PUNCHER Sep11 Aug08 Jul14 Jun14 May29 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 8% 12.00    
CEDAR RUNS FIBER Sep11 Aug08 Jul10 Jun19 May08 (boykins ke)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 30.00    
HARLEY SIOUX Sep11 Aug08 Apr17 Mar21 Feb28 (straughn wil)BELISARIO JUAN 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
WISH ON JUBA Sep22 Aug22 Jul25 Jun27 May30 (lucas antho)PELTROCHE ELIAS 122 4.00    
MIC'D UP Sep11 Dec13 Nov06 Sep27 Aug03 (walters davi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
DADSNUMBRONEHELPR Sep11 Aug08 Jul04 May30 May10 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 118 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
CT-8   10/09/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALI HAI Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun21 (scott h)HIRALDO JOHN 124 20.00    
SCR  BETCHA BOOTS BABE Sep11 Aug27 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 (johnson carlo)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00    
DING DING Sep27 May26 Mar29 Mar07 Feb14 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 7% 13.10    
SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Sep20 Sep04 Aug15 Jul12 Jul03 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 8.00    
BASHFUL DAISY Sep20 Aug23 Jul31 Jun20 Jun05 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 4.50 17% 4.70    
CASTLE TOY Sep20 Sep11 Aug15 Jul18 Jul07 (king james)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
WHISKEY WILD Sep20 Aug23 Jul24 May19 Feb14 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
WATCH ME DISAPPEAR Sep06 Jul24 Jun29 Jun07 May17 (leaf robert )BELISARIO JUAN 115 5.00    
COWGIRL ATTITUDE Sep20 Aug15 Aug02 Jul11 Jun26 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 9% 10.10    
10  RIVER REWARDS RVF May22 May02 Apr05 Mar21 Mar06 (smith osborne)LARA VICTOR 112 30.00    
SCR  SKY TRAVEL Sep03 Aug19 Jul09 May13 Apr28 (englehart)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.