Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - October 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(1/6/4)-(3/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTD-4   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-5   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(3/4/6)-(3/1/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTD-6   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-7   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(6/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-8   WIN (6/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/6)-(7/11/1/6/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CTD-9   WIN (2/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/6)-(7/11/1/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CTD-10   WIN (7/11/1/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/11/1/6/10)-(7/11/1/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/11/1/6/10)-(7/11/1/6/10)-(7/11/1/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-2   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIWAY FORTYNINE Sep13 Aug22 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 (cone r)STEADMAN LEON 121 0.20 62% 0.60    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of FORTYNINE BELOW by BOUNDARY)
2  B B BETH         (henson robe)MARTI ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
  (by HALLADAY out of HER TIME TO SHINE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
3  LEENAS PAL Sep12         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUPID out of LEENA by CAPE CANAVERAL)
4  THE WRIGHT WAY Sep16 Sep03 Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 (o'hagan coll)HUGHES RASHEED 121 3.00    
  (by BASIN out of HIDYGO by INDYGO SHINER)
 
CTD-3   10/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($50K) 34 C/G PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATRIOTIC FREEDOM Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 Jun24 Jun06 (zielke madis)HUGHES RASHEED 124 4.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MISS MARSHA LYNN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  ITSALLGOODMAN Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 Jun27 (anderson gon)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 0.80 43% 1.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GEISHA PEEBLES by FIRST SAMURAI)
3  AUGUST RAIN Aug23 Aug04 Jul01 Jun07 May17 (heads )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
  (by SUNGOLD out of BITATUDE by SUPER SAVER)
4  PUTTINGONTHEFOIL Sep13 Aug23 Jul19 Jul04 Jun07 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of CHILLI CHINES by KATOWICE)
5  THATSWHATIMHEREFOR Sep06 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May30 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 124 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of ENNIS LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
CTD-4   10/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POINT TO THE STARS Sep21 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jul04 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 1.80 33% 2.00    
2  FROSTEDBIRD Aug31 Aug17 Jul25 Jul04 Jun24 (anderso)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 123 6.00    
3  NICE GUY EDDIE Sep21 Aug23 Feb19 Jan29 Jan01 (anderson gon)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 2.00    
4  ALTITUDE Oct12 Oct06 Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 (brown r)CARTER KYLE 123 20.00 5% 17.70    
5  HE'S A SAINT Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (ward anderso)HUGHES RASHEED 123 4.50    
6  VICTORIA'S CHIEF Aug16 Jul18 Jul04 Jun07 May24 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 8.00 24% 3.20    
 
CTD-5   10/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TENNESSEE MOSES Sep12 Aug22 Jul05 Jun14 May30 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  G T RAY SIR Sep12 Aug22 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 4.50    
3  FREE GOLD Sep12         (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 54% 0.80    
4  TABULA ROSSO Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 Jun24 (hedge rick)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
5  ZIP IT WRIT Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jun24 May23 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 122 1.60    
6  JACKPOT BAR Sep20         (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 119 10.00 11% 8.00    
 
CTD-6   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($50K) 2 C/G PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POUR HOUSE Sep13         (kettleson t)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of INCA BEAUTY by PURE PRIZE)
2  BAKK N BEAUTIFUL         (henson rober)NATERA KEIHTON 121 12.00    
  (by BAKKEN out of MALIBU GOLD by MALIBU WESLEY)
3  RELAXGODOITRAMONE Sep13 Aug22 Aug02 Jun27   (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 0.40 48% 1.10    
  (by FED BIZ out of HEARTLESS SOFIYA by CAPE CANAVERAL)
4  KAMAL Sep13 Aug29 Aug02 Jul12   (brown r)CARTER KYLE 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by FED BIZ out of MANY KISSES by UNBRIDLED'S IMAGE)
5  ALBERTA ICE Aug22 Aug08 Jul12 Jun27   (cone rodne)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00    
  (by DEVIL ON ICE out of TIAMO RED by RED CRESCENT)
6  LITTLE DID WE KNOW Sep12 Aug29       (anderson gon)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 8.00 10% 9.50    
  (by FED BIZ out of LIL MISSKNOWITALL by KAFWAIN)
 
CTD-7   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READYTOTAPNSING Sep26 Sep05 Aug09 Jul26 Jul04 (ken)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 6.00 24% 3.10    
2  CASSANO Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 Jul18 Jul05 (hedge rick)TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 20.00    
3  J J'S CAPER Sep12 Aug16 Aug04 Jul18 May16 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 31% 2.30    
4  TAKE CHARGE CURLY Sep12 Aug30 Aug15 Jul19 Jun24 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 3.00    
SCR  SNAP COUNT Sep12 Aug29 Jul26 Jul19 Jul05 (cates crystal)NELSON DANE 125 4.00    
6  STANFORD NORTH Aug15 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun08 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00    
7  BROWNING ISLAND Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 Jul18 Jul04 (heggie rod)HUGHES RASHEED 125 6.00 8% 11.70    
 
CTD-8   10/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORTHY SPIRIT Sep21 Jul25 Jun07 May23 May03 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 120 5.00    
2  SMOKIN JOY Sep21 Sep06 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (p)GRIFFITH DELANE 123 12.00    
3  POCKETFULOFDREAMS Sep13 Aug04 Jul19 Jun24 May23 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
4  ISABELLE ANNE Sep21 Jul12 Jun27 May23 Nov02 (kettleson to)HUGHES RASHEED 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CARAVALLA Sep06 Aug04 Jul25 Jul07   (hedge rick)TAVARES DANIEL 122 8.00    
6  MYSTIC SALLY Sep05 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Jun24 (nichols)CHASE RICHARD 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
7  BRIAR'S ROSE Sep20 Aug29 Aug16 Jul25 Jul13 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.00 12% 7.00    
8  UBBADEETS Sep06 Aug09 Jul26 Jun28 Jun08 (smith darcy)BRYAN D 123 30.00    
 
CTD-9   10/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($50K) 34 F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY MUM'S MUD Sep13 Aug15 Aug04 Jul26 Jul11 (russell mo)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of MY NAME'S MUD by MUD ROUTE)
2  WHO'S THAT BABY Sep21 Jul07 Jun24 Jun06 May17 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of RING IN THE NITE by WHERE'S THE RING)
3  NO MORE LIES Sep13 Aug03 Jun28 Jun07 Oct26 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
4  BIZ BABE Sep13 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 Jun07 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 124 10.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of EIGHT THIRTYONE by GRAYDAR)
5  TANGO FOR THE SOUL Sep13 Aug30 Jul25 Jun24 May03 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 15.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
6  DARE TO COMPARE Sep05 Aug22 Jul12 Jun24 Jun06 (petrowski j)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of RON RHONDA by LAWYER RON)
7  WE THE FRINGE Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of SAINT SASSY SUE by SAINT STEPHEN)
8  SILKSTONE Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 May31 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 3.00    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SILKWORM by DIXIE UNION)
 
CTD-10   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 WET FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICAHOUSE Sep21 Sep05 Aug30 Aug09 Apr30 (brown jim )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 8.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  MOHAYMEN DAY Sep06 Aug16 Jul26 Jun27 Jun06 (robertson je)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00    
3  A MAN'S MAN Aug30 Aug01 Jul18 Jul07 Jun15 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 20.00    
4  SAXON SAGA Aug23 Jul25 Jun24 May30 Oct27 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 123 10.00    
5  CREDIBILITY Sep12 Aug30 Aug04 Jul26 Jul12 (brown r)CARTER KYLE 125 6.00    
6  MOB BOSS Sep21 Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Aug23 (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 20.00 14% 6.10    
7  ALL RUN Sep21 Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 Jun28 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  MY MUNNINGS MODEL Sep20 Aug30 Aug01 Jul21 Jul07 (cates crysta)FOSTER R 125 8.00    
9  MENDELJOHN (IRE) Sep21 Sep05 Aug23 Jul18 Jul05 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 3.00    
10  SQUALOTORO Sep21 Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 Jul19 (frey carson)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  PERFORMATIVE Sep12 Aug04 Jul18 Jul04 Jun14 (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 16% 5.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.