Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - September 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(2/4/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/4/2)-(2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(2/4/7)-(3/7/5/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/4/7)-(3/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(3/7/5/4)-(5/6/3/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (3/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/7/5/4)-(5/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/4)-(5/6/3/7)-(6/4/7/5) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-5   WIN (5/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/6/3/7)-(6/4/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/7)-(6/4/7/5)-(7/2/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (6/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/4/7/5)-(7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMON TWIST Aug27 Aug04 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 1.40 40% 1.50    
NOIWONTBACKDOWN Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 Jul08 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
JUSTTWOGRASSHOPPER Sep24 Sep09 Jul18 Jun21 Jun15 (husbands tif)BENNETT MATHEW 119 30.00    
ROCKIN ATTHE PARTY Aug27 Jun21 Jun14 Jun08 Sep04 (hanson deborah)PRUITT CIERA 117 10.00 31% 2.20    
TEMPTING PROSPECT Sep24 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Jul19 (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 124 2.50    
PINO BAMBINO Sep23 Sep09 Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 (gaskin stev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 3.50    
 
ASD-2   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAVALINE Sep03 Jul08 Jun10 Mar29 Mar01 (homer ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 2.00 32% 2.20    
JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Sep15 Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 (maxwell curtis)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
SHARP LIKENESS Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 Jul16 Jul08 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 4.00    
DAZZLING GOLD Sep09 Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 Sep11 (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 1.60 24% 3.10    
MISS Z Sep17 Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 (mustard d)TOWNSEND SHAVON 123 8.00    
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Sep09 Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 (gaskin st)SEECHARAN A 123 4.50    
 
ASD-3   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Winnipeg Futurity Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIGHTY MIKEE Sep10 Aug20 Jul30     (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 1.40    
  (by MITOLE out of PICCADILLY LINE by AIR FORCE BLUE)
SCR  MARKING BROADWAY Sep10 Aug19 Aug05 Apr10   (williams de)TOWNSEND SHAVON 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by MARKING out of LIGHTS ON BROADWAY by REAL SOLUTION)
TAP THE PARLAY Sep10 Aug13       (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 4.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BETSKI by RUNHAPPY)
WECANONLYIMAGINE Aug22 Jul30 Jul16     (brown ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SWIMSUIT ISSUE by SCAT DADDY)
ARTFUL DIAMOND Aug20         (husban)PATTERSON R 114 40.00    
  (by TOWN PRIZE out of ARTFUL DANCER by ARTIE SCHILLER)
OMAHA WARRIOR Sep10 Aug19 Aug05     (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ARCINA by ARCH)
NEYTIRI Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 Jul16   (pruitt lise)BALROOP SVEN 119 12.00 14% 6.10    
  (by TRAJECTORY out of AVATARI by UNION RAGS)
 
ASD-4   09/30/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTIVE KITTEN Sep15 Sep03 Aug26 Aug12 Aug05 (morse vi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00    
FAST TRAFFIC Sep17 Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul22 (constant rory)HEWITT ROGER 124 40.00    
IN FORM Sep10 Aug26 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 (goulet mo)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.00 51% 1.00    
HAPPY CAMPER Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 (desjarlais rya)BALROOP SVEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BLUE SKYE JADE Sep10 Jul30 Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 5.00 12% 7.50    
ITWASTHISBIG Sep15 Sep03 Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 (gardipy jr)CHICKENESS S 122 6.00    
WRONG DIRECTION Sep10 Jul30 Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 2.50 13% 6.70    
 
ASD-5   09/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRSTY BABY Sep23 Sep10 Sep03 Aug20 Jul30 (mooney bill)CUMBERBATCH R 124 40.00    
MAJESTIC CRAKEN Aug07 Jul26 Jun15 May26 Apr30 (laing sherry)HEWITT ROGER 124 3.00    
FAR BEYOND Sep23 Sep15 Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 (ellis andre)ALI RONALD 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
MCEWEN Sep23 Sep09 Aug27 Jul15 Jun10 (keplin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00    
SHAMAYIM Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
DISCREET INVASION Sep03 Aug13 Aug04 Jul23 Jul13 (constant ro)TOWNSEND SHAVON 124 15.00 16% 5.10    
LUCKY APPEAL Sep15 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (gardipy ray)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOUBLE TIME Aug25 Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 May27 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 30.00    
SCR  NAUTICAL MOON Sep10 Aug26 Jun01 May11 Apr26 (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 124 6.00    
SCR  ZEN STATE Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 Jun10 May02 (homer jason)PRUITT CIERA 119 20.00    
 
ASD-6   09/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIBIBBO Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul14 Jul02 (anders)PATTERSON R 123 20.00    
SCR  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Sep10 Aug27 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 8.00    
MAJESTIC APPEAL Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul02 (anderson carl)BALROOP SVEN 121 30.00    
BOUND FOR HEAVEN Sep16 Aug27 Aug19 Jul22 Jul02 (nault mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 3.00 20% 4.10    
BRINGONTHEBUBBLY Sep17 Sep03 Aug27 Aug19 Jun14 (gourneau jerr)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
MARVELOUS LADY Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 (keplin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.00 48% 1.10    
MINERAL RIGHTS Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 123 7.00 9% 10.50    
MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM Sep24 Aug27 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 123 25.00    
CATCH THE DREAM Sep09 Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 121 15.00    
 
ASD-7   09/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRTY FLIRT Sep15 Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 10.00 8% 11.50    
BABYLIKESTOROCK Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 Jul23   (hunter judy)TOWNSEND SHAVON 117 15.00 24% 3.10    
FLINTLOCK Sep15 Sep02 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (cole ter)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 5.00    
SCR  MARY WHO Sep17 Sep02 Jul09 Jun17 Jun02 (homer )PATTERSON R 121 3.00    
SCR  WILD QUEENIE Sep15 Sep03 Aug12 Jul31 Jul05 (brown jared)BENNETT MATHEW 121 25.00    
SCR  SPARKLE IN THE SKY Sep17 Sep02 Mar16 Oct07 Jun21 (gaskin st)SEECHARAN A 121 40.00    
TWOLEFTTOLOAD Sep17 Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 1.00 27% 2.80    
AMPLIFY Sep15 Aug26 Aug13 Jul22 Jul08 (desjarlais rya)BALROOP SVEN 117 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.