Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - September 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(5/4)-(1/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTD-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-4   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-5   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-6   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(4/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(4/1/5/3)-(8/2/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTD-7   WIN (4/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/3)-(8/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTD-8   WIN (8/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-1   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMS IN THE SKY         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
2  DAUNTLESS DARYL Aug29         (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 10.00    
  (by MANK out of MISS HOTZY TOTZY by WELL INFORMED)
3  ATTHEBARGETNTIPSY Aug22         (anderson gon)FOSTER R 122 3.00    
  (by SILVER STATE out of NEVER FORGET HER by NO NAY NEVER)
4  SCHMUGLEY Sep05 Aug08 Jul12     (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SCHRAMSBERG out of AUNT SARA by QUIET AMERICAN)
5  FIRST INFANTRY Sep13 Aug29       (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 122 2.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of JOYFUL FROLIC by CURLIN)
6  RIVER ROCK FIRE Sep12         (brown r)NELSON DANE 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by MISTER SNICKERS out of P. S. TOUCH DOWN by STEPHANOTIS)
 
CTD-2   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEFF FA FA Sep13 Jun24 Jun03 May21 Sep24 (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 15% 5.80    
2  KAUAI DAN Aug23 Jul12 Jun28 May31 May17 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 0.80 46% 1.20    
3  SIR BREGOVIC Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 1.60 15% 5.60    
4  CHICAGO'S GRAY Aug13 Jun23 Jun03 May21 Oct19 (smith craig )TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 15.00    
5  STONE CARVER Aug09 Jul18 Jun15 May10 Feb24 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 125 10.00    
 
CTD-3   09/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MINI MARKET Sep06 Aug15 Jul26 Jul07 Jun24 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50    
2  QUEEN RHONDA Sep06 Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 May31 (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00    
3  STAY UP Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 Jun28 Jun07 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.80    
4  FASTESTGIRLINTOWN Sep13 Sep06 Aug22 Aug09 Aug01 (brown r)CARTER KYLE 125 4.50 6% 14.80    
5  I'VE GOT ALL NITE Sep06 Aug22 Jul26 May17 Oct20 (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
CTD-4   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADYACE OF SPEIGHT Sep12         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 1.80 59% 0.70    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KITTEN'S RIDDLE by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  SPEIGHTSOULCOMET Aug29 Aug09 Jul11 Jun15 Apr13 (smith craig )TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 1.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SOUL OF COMETE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
3  SHE'S A ROWSKI Sep13 Jul29 Jul23 Jul08 Jun10 (rowe michael)FOSTER R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EDISON out of SWEET AND SPICY by ICE BOX)
4  BIZZY LIZZY Sep20 Aug02 Jul18     (heggie rod)BRYAN D 122 10.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of AFTER ANNA by AFTER MARKET)
5  THELADYISAGENERAL         (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 122 5.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of LADY LIAM by SAINT LIAM)
6  MAXIMUM REACTION         (bell jess)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 122 20.00 7% 14.10    
  (by TOUR DE FORCE out of CATALYZE by TABASCO CAT)
 
CTD-5   09/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINGERS GIANT Sep13 Aug22 Aug09 Jul05 Jun24 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 122 8.00    
2  HOLY BELLE Jul19 Jun28 May16 May03 Mar12 (zielke madison)CARTER KYLE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BOBBY DAZZLER Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 Jul25 Jul07 (o'hagan coll)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
4  CONCRETE COWBOY Sep12 Aug22 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 122 3.00    
5  J DUTTON Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 (hen)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 1.60 50% 1.00    
 
CTD-6   09/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAILWAY Aug29 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 May31 (robertson j)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.00    
2  JOKER MATT Sep12 Aug30 Jul18 Jul05 Jun28 (brown r)CARTER KYLE 125 12.00 11% 8.50    
3  MAD LUTHER Sep12 Aug29 Aug04 Jun28 Jun13 (o'hagan coll)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.00    
4  LONESOME CAT Aug23 Aug02 Jun28 Nov03 Oct13 (w)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 20.00    
5  ERLICH Sep21 Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 Nov03 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.50 38% 1.60    
6  JUMEIRAH COAST Sep12 Jul26 Jun27 Jun07 May16 (rycroft tim)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
CTD-7   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON MULLINS Sep12 Aug09 Jul26 Jul11 Jun28 (petrowski j)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of CAROLINA STATION by AIKENITE)
2  EITHERINORINTHEWAY Aug30 Aug15 Aug03 Jul26 Jun28 (coney jason)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of LITTLE DANCER by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  LENNYS ON TIME Aug29         (anderson gon)FOSTER R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of SECRETIVE MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  RIVER SEVEN Sep12 Aug29 Jul18     (petrowsk)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 122 1.60 35% 1.80    
  (by FED BIZ out of CHIANTI by ROSBERG)
5  CHEESE TOAST KID         (smith w)CHASE RICHARD 122 20.00 15% 5.50    
  (by BALMONT out of DOUBLE DELUXE by DOUBLE DEWARS)
6  CHITU MEISTER Sep05         (biggs sey)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 122 30.00    
  (by SPEEDMEISTER out of BRI CHITU by CHITU)
7  JUSTINFLATION Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Aug08 Jul25 (biggs seymour)LUNAN RICHARD 125 30.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ALAMANDA DRIVE by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  CASHFLOW Aug30         (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 122 6.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of LIRA LIRA by CANAVERAL (GB))
 
CTD-8   09/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLAVA Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jun15 May30 (webster alf)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
2  BUZZINGA KARMA Sep12 Aug23 Jul25 Jul07 Jun15 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 6.00 31% 2.30    
3  ATTENZIONE Aug23 Jul25 Jul04 Jun24 May30 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 123 4.50    
4  DERECHO DANDY Aug16 Aug01 Jul25 Jul05 May30 (zielke madison)CARTER KYLE 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  DERZKII Sep12 Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 Jun24 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BODEMONSTER Sep12 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul18 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 1.80    
SCR  WHERE'S THE GOLD Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 123 15.00    
8  PACHECO Sep12 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Jul07 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.