Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - September 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/4/3)-(6/3/5/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/3)-(6/3/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/3)-(6/3/5/9)-(1/5/2/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/3/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/9)-(6/3/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/9)-(6/3/5/9)-(6/3/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/9)-(1/5/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/9)-(1/5/2/7/4)-(10/7/8/2/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (1/5/2/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/7/4)-(1/5/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/7/4)-(1/5/2/7/4)-(1/5/2/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/2/7/4)-(10/7/8/2/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/7/4)-(10/7/8/2/6)-(1/3/7/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (10/7/8/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/8/2/6)-(10/7/8/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/8/2/6)-(10/7/8/2/6)-(10/7/8/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/8/2/6)-(1/3/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/7/8/2/6)-(1/3/7/5)-(6/4/5/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/5)-(6/4/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/5)-(6/4/5/9)-(7/9/11/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/9)-(6/4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/9)-(6/4/5/9)-(6/4/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/9)-(7/9/11/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/9/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/11/2)-(7/9/11/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/11/2)-(7/9/11/2/3)-(7/9/11/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   09/27/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEARCH FOR HOPE Sep04 Apr04 Mar07 Feb21 Jan08 (stites w)ACOSTA D 124 1.00 41% 1.40    
CEDAR'S ESTATE Sep04 Jul24 Jun26 Jun13 Apr04 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
CRUSH 'N RUN Aug21 Jul11 Jun27 Jun21 May29 (lewis willia)BELISARIO JUAN 117 15.00    
KURUMI GO GO Aug21 Aug01 Jul24 Jun26 Jun13 (rangel ricardo)LARA VICTOR 114 30.00    
ELUSIVE NOTION Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 Aug31   (heath george)LARROSA G 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BAYTOWN ADMIRAL Jul24 Nov15 Oct30 Oct03 Sep13 (carson)RIOS-CONDE JR 124 6.00 9% 9.50    
JANES JENSEN Apr19 Jan24 Jan04 Nov29 Nov15 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 20.00    
 
CT-2   09/27/2025 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIBER STRONG May22 Apr19 Feb08 Dec14 Sep27 (runco c)LARA VICTOR 110 2.00 60% 0.70    
GOLDEN KEY Aug16 Jul10 Jun19 May08 Apr19 (shanley)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50 7% 12.90    
ESTRELLA FUGAZ Sep12 Sep04 Aug16 Aug07 Jul19 (peltroche v)PELTROCHE ELIAS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
AIM FOR THE CORK Sep12 Aug23 Jul03 May30 May08 (boggs joanna)BELISARIO JUAN 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
TAKE YOUR TIME Aug16 Jul17 Jun20 May23 May01 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 120 15.00    
SCR  CASTLE TOY Sep20 Sep11 Aug15 Jul18 Jul07 (king w)BATISTA A 117 15.00    
SEA OF TRANQUILITY Sep14 Jul19 Jul03 Jun26 Jun05 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00    
ROCKET APPEAL Sep11 Aug22 Jul10 Jun19 May22 (king james)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50    
LITTLE ROO ROO Aug22 Jul05 Jun20 May01 Mar29 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
 
CT-3   09/27/2025 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEROKEE CASTLE Jul30 Jul18 Jun21 May23 Apr25 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
SCR  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Sep20 Aug15 Aug02 Jul11 Jun26 (adorno )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
PALMARY Sep07 Jul31 Jul08 Apr27 Apr02 (yoder susan )DIAZ JR 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
SMALLTOWNSMOKESHOW Sep06 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 Jun12 (knudsen kent)ACOSTA D 118 20.00    
PEGGY'S WAY Aug02 Jul11 Jun21 Mar29 Mar07 (brown ronn)SANTAELLA MOISES 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
STRYDA Aug22 Jul31 Jun26 May31 Apr25 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
VELVET VIXEN Aug28 Jul30 Jul03 Jun13 May24 (vera mi)BRICENO GREGOR 120 1.80    
DOLCE VELOCE Aug15 Jul03 May17 Apr18 Mar15 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
DING DING May26 Mar29 Mar07 Feb14 Jan23 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   09/27/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T BLINK Sep18 Aug23 Jul12 Mar03 Feb06 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
ALWAYS TO THE END Sep18 Sep05 Aug08 Mar21 Mar05 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 124 4.50 15% 5.80    
FLYING DESTINY Jul21 Jun26 May26 Apr26   (knudsen kent)MAWING A 124 20.00    
APOCALYPTIC Sep06 Aug09 Jul10 May24 May03 (viands stacey )CHILO MAXIMO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
LIL SWEEZEY Sep13 Aug28 Aug01 Jun15 Oct27 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.60 16% 5.10    
LUCKY ROUNDUP Sep10         (salvaggio michae)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
MADAM SENATOR Sep06 Jul31 Jun28 Apr26 Apr05 (joy j)LARA VICTOR 112 10.00 8% 11.40    
NEED A MIRACLE Sep13 Aug07 Jun29 May02 Apr05 (leaf robert )BELISARIO JUAN 113 12.00    
CRUZIN VAN NUYS Sep06 Jul31 Jul10 Jun28 Jun07 (knudsen kent)HO WESLEY 118 30.00    
 
CT-5   09/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG LEGS LOUISE Sep12 Aug09 Jul18 Jun28 Apr13 (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
TINA TINA TINA Aug09 Jun28 Jun06 Oct25 Oct11 (collyer d)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 7% 13.00    
STORMIN HEIST Sep04 Aug06 Jul02 Jun18 Apr24 (hanagan lela)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00    
CITY TAAH Aug09 Jul11 Jun21 May30 May10 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50    
TITIAN TYRANT Aug22 Aug09 Jun13 May15 Apr25 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 122 5.00    
MISS PIXY STIX Sep06 Jun28 Jun06 May10 Apr24 (figgins l)LARA VICTOR 110 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN JELLY BEAN Sep06 Jul31 Jul11 Oct31 Sep29 (reynolds a)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 13% 6.80    
VINO FROM ERNIES Jun06 Apr25 Mar14 Feb15 Jan25 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 15.00 8% 11.50    
POINT UNLIMITED Sep06 Jul31 Jun06 May30 Apr25 (boggs joann)RAMGEET R 118 30.00    
10  CAN I GET AWITNESS Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 Jun27 Jun07 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 113 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  KISS CAM Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 (rangel rica)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 20.00    
SCR  CAJUN EXPECTATION Sep12 Sep01 Aug01 Jul17 Jun05 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 122 15.00    
SCR  FROSTY MAYA Sep14 Aug23 Jul17 May15 Apr10 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 122 4.50    
SCR  LET'S GO MO Sep11 Aug29 Aug15 Jul24 Jul03 (carpio erin)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50    
 
CT-6   09/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 2 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUST THE CLIMB Sep06         (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PAZ THE WINE by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
MY BROTHERS ANGEL Sep10         (farrior anth)BELISARIO JUAN 115 5.00    
  (by TACITUS out of APPLE CIDER by MORE THAN READY)
STONE COLD JONES Sep10 Aug08 Jul18     (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.00 9% 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of INSTRUMENTAL by ADVOCATOR)
SCR  UNIFIED COMMAND Aug23         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of SMART CROWD by CROWD PLEASER)
MR MAHOMES Aug23 Aug09       (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SAFE AT FIRST by HONOUR AND GLORY)
ROCK N'OPPORTUNITY Aug09         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ROCK N' GOLD by MEDALLIST)
HOPAPA         (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 122 6.00 7% 13.50    
  (by ALDRIN out of LIBBY HILL by SECLUSIVE)
THEY NOT LIKE US Aug23 Aug09 Jul18     (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 30.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of FOR THE MEMORIES by A.P. INDY)
 
CT-7   09/27/2025 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPERIAL KING Aug23 Jul10 Jun19 May29 May15 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
SCR  MR. MOX Sep04 Aug22 Jul25 Jul19 Jun27 (maldona)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 20.00    
MINELLA Sep05 Aug09 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 (rangel ricardo)LARA VICTOR 110 30.00    
ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND Aug14 Jul30 Jun27 May31 May17 (kulp brando)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 10% 8.90    
HEY BOOTS Jul19 Jun19 Mar06 Jan30 Jan11 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 6% 15.90    
TALKIN PHAROAH Sep14 Jul19 Jun19 Jun05 May08 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 1.60 59% 0.70    
GOLD FIBER Aug16 Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 May29 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
RESTLESS Aug23 Jul31 Jul05 Jun20 May24 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 115 4.00    
CAJUN JOE Aug02 Jul19 Jun27 May01 Mar22 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   09/27/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY CONCHITA Sep06         (cromer leslie)LARROSA G 124 15.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of SHES PRETTY FANCY by MY BOY ADAM)
STARS OVER JUBA Sep13 Sep06 Aug09 Feb27   (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of LIANA STAR by LINE OF DAVID)
GIFT OF THE MAGI         (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 118 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of INDIGO SKY by CHEROKEE'S BOY)
KAYLEE'S FIREBALL Sep13 Aug09 Mar14 Feb27 Feb08 (clatterbuck fre)LARA VICTOR 108 30.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
VERDI'S SURPRISE         (barahona isa)BATISTA A 124 15.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of MIDWAY MAGIC by CORMORANT)
SCR  RUNAWAY GOLD Sep06 Aug09 Jul25 Jul10 Jun07 (stehr j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 15.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of LIL CHAMP by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
CUDDLER Aug30 Aug01       (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 0.60 67% 0.50    
  (by ALDRIN out of PARHAM ROAD by STREET BOSS)
SCR  TACO TIME Sep06 Aug09 Jun20 Apr26   (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 118 5.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of ROCKET BID by OFFICER ROCKET)
SONDE TAILS Sep06 Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 May24 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 124 6.00 8% 11.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of CAT O' NINE TAILS by PRIZED)
10  MAMASLITTLEMONSTER Aug23 Jul26 Jul19     (straug)RIOS-CONDE JR 118 30.00    
  (by MONSTER MASH out of MAMASLITTLESECRET by PROSPECTOR STREET)
11  STOLEN SECRETS         (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of RESISTANCE by EVEN THE SCORE)
SCR  I'D RATHER NOT         (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
  (by PARTNER'S HERO out of CLASS SHADOW by ROCK POINT)
SCR  BELLE CAUSE Jul11 Jun20       (gazzier kristy)JORGE JULIO 124 6.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TANITA BELLE by PULPIT)
SCR  READTHEFINEPRINT         (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 118 8.00    
  (by LAST PRINT out of BOPPIN ROCKET by OFFICER ROCKET)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.