Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
ARP-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
ARP-4   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   09/21/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORZA ROAD Aug30 Aug17 Apr10     (dominguez joseph)RAMEY CASH 120 2.50    
  (by MO FORZA out of EDGEHILL ROAD by OLD FORESTER)
2  MORE COOKIES         (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 117 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of MRS. GEHRIG by MR. GEHRIG)
3  CELEE'S LEGACY Jul12         (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 117 5.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
4  COLLISIONIST         (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 120 3.50 36% 1.70    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PRETTY AMAZING by BENCHMARK)
5  BLEEP         (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 117 6.00    
  (by ASSAGAI out of CHERRY PICKER by CAPE BLANCO)
 
ARP-3   09/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLIER Aug16 Jul06 Jun14 Jun06 May18 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50    
SCR  GUARDING ELK CAMP Sep06 Sep01 Aug16 Jul27 Jul20 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 5.00    
3  ART QUEEN Jul26 Jul11 Jul06 Jun29 Jun21 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
4  WAR MUSIC Aug24 Aug04 Jul21 Jun29 Jun01 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
ARP-4   09/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLID TUNE Sep06 Jun08 May24 Apr22 Mar31 (kemper ka)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
2  ILA VEIW TOO Aug31 Aug16 Aug03 May31 May17 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 124 5.00    
3  DEUX MERES Aug30 Aug10 Jul12 Jun13 May26 (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
4  CANDIED JOULE Sep07 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 Apr29 (tubbs scott)COUTON JULIEN 124 2.50    
5  SORORITY PARTY Sep07 Aug16 Jul13 Jun28 May25 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  CAN'T WANT THAT Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 Jun28 Jun08 (lavanway days)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00    
 
ARP-6   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU HAVE NO IDEA Sep14 Aug20 Mar29 Mar15 Feb20 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 39% 1.50    
2  ANNIE FOX Aug03 Jul03 Jun14 Apr28 Apr03 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  CONNECTABLE Aug16 Aug06 May30 May03 Mar29 (rushton t)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
4  HOT JAMMIES Aug09 Aug02 Jun29 May31 Apr28 (lavanway days)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.