Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fairmount Park
Tuesday - September 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FP-1   WIN (2/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/1)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/1)-(4/5/2)-(4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/1/3)-(2/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/5/6)-(4/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-4   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(4/3/5)-(4/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-5   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(4/5/1)-(6/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-6   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(6/1/2)-(9/8/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-7   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(9/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FP-8   WIN (9/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/3)-(9/8/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/3)-(9/8/3/1/7)-(9/8/3/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FP-1   09/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOATING SMOKEY Jul13 Jul03 Jun01 Mar16 Feb23 (cook w)ORTEGA JOSEPH 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  WARRIOR OF GOLD Sep02 Aug12 May31 May17 May03 (irion heat)HERRERA C 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
3  TUFF HEART Sep06 Jul31 Jul17 Nov02 Oct10 (nesbitt amy)TAVARES JAVIER 126 3.00    
4  MY SECRET Aug12 Jul22 May17 Sep21 Aug17 (laux clay)DIEGO JAVIER 126 10.00    
5  IMA CHUNKY MONKEY Sep02 Aug06 Jul05 May31 May17 (wells duane)WALES T 120 4.00 27% 2.80    
6  HARLEY'SRUNAWAYKID Aug26 Jun24 Jun07 May24 Apr26 (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 6.00    
7  ALLKINDSOFTROUBLE Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul02 May20 (wells duan)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-2   09/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELTA LADY (CHI) Aug19 Aug05 Jul01 Jun17 May20 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 3.00    
2  HEAVENLY SCENT Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 10.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  GREEN CHILE Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 Jul10 Jun13 (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 126 2.00    
4  PALACE MAGIC Aug09 Jul17 Jul03 May25 May04 (alonso fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 126 6.00 28% 2.50    
5  NEXT TIME YOU WIN Jul08 Jun24 May31 May13 Apr29 (nesbitt amy)WALES T 126 4.00 27% 2.80    
6  CHANEL POINT Sep02 Jul12 Jun28 Jun10 May13 (randazzo ted)FELIX E 126 5.00    
 
FP-3   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENZONTLE Aug26 Aug09 Jul24 Jun28 May24 (lynch har)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  GONNA PICK DOMENIC Aug12 Jul08 Jun17 May31 May03 (irion heat)HERRERA C 120 2.00    
3  BAD OBSESSION Sep06 Aug23 Jul12 Jun21 Jun08 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
4  DURANGO CHROME Aug26 Aug02 Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 (plasters lori)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.00 27% 2.80    
5  LELAND JOHN Aug23 Jul08 Jun07 Oct24 Sep10 (pompell robe)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00    
6  TRUIST Aug26 Aug12 Jul15 Jun28 Jun10 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 124 3.00    
 
FP-4   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMOOTH N SILKY Sep02 Aug19 Aug02 Jun14 May05 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 6.00    
2  EL PELIGRO Aug12 Jun03 May05 Apr15 Dec11 (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 2.00 38% 1.60    
3  PONTUS Aug19 Aug09 Jul19 Jun28 Jun03 (plasters lori)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
4  MERLOTTI Aug26 Jul12 Jun21 Jun04 May17 (wainwright john)FELIX E 124 3.00    
5  SOLOMON VANDY Aug26 Aug09 Jul15 Jun03 May17 (straub marvel)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 4.00 35% 1.80    
6  SKYLANE Aug26 Jul26 Jul08 Jun10 May24 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-5   09/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFE OF SATURDAYS Aug19 Aug05 Jun24 May13 Apr29 (randaz)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 10.00    
2  SCRAPPY PATCH Sep02 Aug19 Aug02 Jul13 Jul01 (durham mike)LOPEZ A 126 3.00    
3  JULIAISON Aug09 Jun24 Jun14 May06 Oct26 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 126 12.00 9% 10.50    
4  ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 2.00 50% 1.00    
5  CANDY LOOKER Sep02 Aug12 Jul12 May27 May13 (fridley steve)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 10.00 6% 16.10    
6  WICKED SKY Aug05 Jun14 May13 Apr29 Oct29 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 126 4.00    
SCR  SERENDIPITY COCO Aug12 Jul22 Jun10 May27 May13 (durham mike)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 6.00    
 
FP-6   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORD GAME Aug30 Jun14 May31 Dec13 Oct23 (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 10.00 6% 15.50    
2  FEAR THE QUEEN Jul15 Jul01 Jun07 May20 May06 (randazzo ted)LOPEZ A 124 6.00    
3  TEGWAR Aug30 Aug02 Jul22 Jun28 Jun04 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 120 5.00    
4  MEGANTHEEBATTALION Aug12 Jul15 Jun28 May31 May13 (becker scott)WALES T 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  THIRSTY NATALIE Aug30 Aug02 Jul15 Jun28 Jun23 (manley steve)FELIX E 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
6  WIN WITH COLOR Aug26 Jul01 May24 Apr29 Oct29 (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.00    
 
FP-7   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XPRESSIR Jul06 Jun19 Apr26 Oct29 Oct15 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
2  ON THE MONEY RED Aug23 Jul12 Jun24 Jun03 May06 (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00 9% 10.00    
3  MON AMI FUZZIE Aug21 Jul27 Jul05 Jun12 Mar30 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 4.50    
SCR  BLAZE BEAUTY Aug23 Jul08 Jun21 May31 May10 (essenpreis edwa)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 6.00    
5  PURPLE OCTOPUS Sep02 Aug23 Aug09 Jul27 Jul05 (lynch e)FELIX E 124 5.00    
6  FULL MAGAZINE May31 May17 Oct29 Oct19 Sep28 (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  GRANDDADDYLONGLEGS Sep02 Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 May10 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
 
FP-8   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYFUL GHOST Aug23 Jul05 Oct24 Sep24 Sep07 (wiese john)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 15.00 ★    
2  SARAH'S BOY BLUE Aug19 Jul22 May25 Oct26 Sep15 (clay p)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 6.00    
3  FIVE STAR RUN Aug23 Jul22 Jun09 Oct26 Oct15 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HIGHLY PERFECT Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 Jun24 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
5  STOLICH Aug26 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May20 (straub marvel)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00    
6  SOMNUS (GB) Aug21 Aug10 Jul06 Jun03 May20 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 4.50    
7  COG Aug23 Jul22 Jun17 Jun03 May20 (fridley steve)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00 ★    
8  STINGY Aug30 Jul10 Jun08 May29 May08 (schlenk jada)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SMART JOKER Aug23 Jul22 Jun28 Jun07 May10 (watkins m)FELIX E 126 2.50 73% 0.40    
SCR  VIA DEL CORSO Aug03 Jul17 Jul06 Jun26 Jun05 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.