Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - September 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/6)-(3/4/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/6)-(3/4/2/7)-(2/7/4/3/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/7)-(2/7/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/7)-(2/7/4/3/1)-(7/5/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/7/4/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/3/1)-(2/7/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/3/1)-(2/7/4/3/1)-(2/7/4/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/4/3/1)-(7/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/3/1)-(7/5/4)-(3/5/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(3/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(3/5/1/6)-(10/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/6)-(10/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/6)-(10/6/5)-(5/7/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (10/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/5)-(10/7/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/5)-(10/7/2/6/5)-(10/7/2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/6/5)-(5/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/6/5)-(5/7/9)-(9/5/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/9)-(5/6/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/9)-(5/6/7/9)-(5/6/7/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/9)-(9/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/1)-(9/5/2/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/1)-(9/5/2/8/1)-(9/5/2/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   09/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOW TIME ALLEN Aug07 Jul10 Jun19 May22 May10 (payne )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOUNDFORABRUISIN Aug07 Jul26 Jul10 May22 May02 (jackson angelo)HIRALDO JOHN 118 20.00    
SHARPASADIAMOND Aug22 Aug02 Jul25 Jul11 Jun21 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 1.00 58% 0.70    
CANDY MAN MARTIN Aug21 Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 May17 (brown w)LARA VICTOR 110 3.00    
ABOLITIONIST Aug22 Aug07 Jul10 May22 Apr24 (armstrong bu)BATISTA A 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
FUNKLE Aug22 Aug07 Aug01 Jun12 May15 (robbins w)ACOSTA D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
TOWN HOT Aug21 Aug07 May22 Apr24 Jan25 (pyke joseph)BELISARIO JUAN 112 50.00    
KVELLION Mar28 Feb06 Jan16 Dec06 Oct25 (gazzier kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
 
CT-2   09/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTIVATING Aug23 Aug14 Jul24 Jul09 Jun28 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 6.00    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK Aug14 Jul26 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
GRAN ANDREWS Aug29 Jul26 Jul03 Jun13 May02 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 1.40 38% 1.70    
CLASSIC JOKE Aug29 Aug07 Jul19 Jun27 Jun15 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 36% 1.70    
GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Aug14 Jul19 Jul09 Jun13 May03 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 12.00    
BLAMEITONTHEFUN Sep01 Aug21 Aug01 Jul12 Jun13 (shanley timoth)HIRALDO JOHN 120 12.00    
RAINY SKIES Aug14 Jul24 Jun07 May01 Nov06 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   09/11/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULL RIDER Aug23 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 Apr26 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) Jul04 Feb15 Nov13 Oct03 Aug07 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
DR RENDEZVOUS Oct05 Sep13 Aug10 Jul20 May18 (shanley mark)BATISTA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
RIDE THE BRAND Aug23 Jul17 Jul04 Jun20 May17 (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Aug23 Jul04 Jun20 May09 Apr23 (scott h)HIRALDO JOHN 122 30.00    
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 Jun14 May22 (comi w)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50    
JUBA MARCHES ON Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul04 Jun05 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 110 10.00 15% 5.50    
SING ME TO SLEEP Jul24 Jun28 May29 Dec15 Nov02 (peltroche v)PELTROCHE ELIAS 117 12.00    
CHIPPEWA BAY Aug23 Jul12 Jun27 May29 Mar28 (brown w)LARA VICTOR 108 10.00    
 
CT-4   09/11/2025 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PENGUIN POWER Aug22 Feb26 Jan29 Nov02 Oct12 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50    
SCR  GOLDEN KEY Aug16 Jul10 Jun19 May08 Apr19 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
HOPPING HENRY Aug16 Jul05 Jun21 May22 Apr19 (knudsen kent)HO WESLEY 120 20.00    
JEFFERSON NATIVE Aug22 Jul05 Jun20 Apr19 Feb07 (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKET APPEAL Aug22 Jul10 Jun19 May22 May08 (king james)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
THEWITCHISGONE Jun19 May22 Apr19 Mar28 Feb26 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50    
PORK CHOP PETE Mar22 Feb27 Dec11 Nov22 Nov06 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 65% 0.50    
 
CT-5   09/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYMPTOMATIC Jul10 Jun24 May16 Apr17 Mar20 (tobin edw)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 6% 16.80    
JUST HAVE FAITH Sep05 Jul10 Jun20 May29 May17 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
SKIE'S MUSIC Aug15 Jul26 Jul05 Jun06 May09 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
LOVELY ODDS Sep05 Aug21 Aug01 Jul04 Jun12 (joy j)ACOSTA D 118 15.00    
MEEMAW'S GIRL Aug16 Jul26 Jul10 Jun20 May24 (reggetts step)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
CUT HIM LOOSE Mar21 Feb28 Dec04 Nov14 Oct24 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SEVEN NATTY PATTY Aug22 Jul31 Jul03 Jun19 May23 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.00    
SCR  SISTER WINNIE Aug14 Aug01 Jul18 Jul10 Jun19 (tobin edwin )BELISARIO JUAN 110 50.00    
IVYLEAGUEDROPOUT Aug07 Jun07 May22 May09 Apr17 (sigler g)LARA VICTOR 108 5.00    
 
CT-6   09/11/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLEWING Aug14 Aug07 Jul24 Jun20 May23 (collyer d)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
TALENTED LORD Jul24 Jul03 Jun13 May04 Mar15 (grams timo)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50    
SCR  ALL ABOARD Sep04 Aug14 Jul30 Jul03 Jun20 (king w)DIAZ JR 118 15.00    
GHOSTLY SQUALL Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 May23 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00    
BOBBI TWO STEPS Aug02 Jun21 May02 Mar15 Feb22 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CASTLE TOY Aug15 Jul18 Jul07 Jun08 Apr02 (king james)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SPEEDY BUBBLES Aug15 Jul24 Jun26 Jun13 May17 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00    
SHE SPEAKS Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun12 May02 (brown w)LARA VICTOR 110 15.00    
OSO Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 May16 Mar08 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
10  REDHOTCHILIPHILLY Aug15 Jul03 Jun13 May10 Apr17 (martinez jos)WHITACRE GRANT 118 1.80 61% 0.60    
 
CT-7   09/11/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL PACHO Aug08 Feb08 Nov06 Sep27 Aug03 (reyes d)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
JOHN'S NOTION Aug16 Jul19 May24 May08 Apr26 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80    
SCR  YANKEE DOODLE KID Aug16 Jul19 Jul03 May29 Apr18 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 8.00    
SCR  FUNGO FUNGO Sep05 Aug23 Jun27 Jun21 Jun06 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 118 12.00    
MIC'D UP Dec13 Nov06 Sep27 Aug03 Jun21 (walters davi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 55% 0.80    
DADSNUMBRONEHELPR Aug08 Jul04 May30 May10 May02 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 118 2.00    
HARLEY SIOUX Aug08 Apr17 Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
CEDAR RUNS FIBER Aug08 Jul10 Jun19 May08 Apr26 (boykins k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
SUPER PUNCHER Aug08 Jul14 Jun14 May29 Apr18 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   09/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($15.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANIACAL MAYAN Aug09 Jun28 May31     (gazzier kris)BELISARIO JUAN 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHOOK ME ALL NIGHT Aug08 Jul12 Mar22 Feb22 Feb06 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NO CONVERSATION Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 May17 Apr17 (jackson ange)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
THE COLDEST ONE Aug30 Aug13 Aug07 Jul10 Apr19 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 120 6.00    
JACK'S ALOHA Aug22 Aug08 Jul10 Jun06 May24 (knoblauch-perez )CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
EL PROFETO Aug21 Jul25 Jun27 Oct26 Oct18 (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
TRIP SEVENS Aug21 Sep26       (straug)RIOS-CONDE JR 122 20.00    
GOGOGETEM Aug07 Jul17 Jun06 May10 Apr25 (craig e)JORGE JULIO 120 5.00    
FORTUNATE SON Aug02 Nov16       (brown w)LARA VICTOR 114 3.00 58% 0.70    
10  JUNITO'S BOY Aug21 Jan11       (hess g)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.