Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - August 31, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SWF-7   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(1/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
SWF-8   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SWF-9   WIN (3/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/5)-(3/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/5)-(3/4/8/5)-(3/4/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/8/5)-(3/2/1/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SWF-10   WIN (3/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SWF-7   08/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG JACK Jul27 Apr24 Mar22 Feb05 Jan22 (martinez a)COATES R 126 3.50    
P TWENTYTWO Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 Jun22 May31 (story shaun)BETHKE A 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
HONOS MAN Aug10 Nov01 Oct13 Sep08 Aug25 (gurnick eli)MARTINEZ R 126 6.00 18% 4.60    
DRAW SOME Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Feb25 Jan14 (eaton terri)CARILLO DANIEL 126 4.50    
FURLONGIN FOR LUV Aug16 Jul13 Jun20 May31 Nov15 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 2.00    
RIVERSPORT Aug22 Aug02 Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SWF-8   08/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S SO TRUE Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 (hibdon mark )BETHKE A 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
PLUM CREEK Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul12 Apr28 (tsosie te)RIVAS CARLOS 126 10.00    
SCOTTIE JO Jul19 Jun28 May31 May17 May10 (tsosie terrill)COATES R 123 12.00 6% 16.20    
SWAYING LASSIE Aug16 Aug09 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 (quezada zachary)LUSK TYSON 126 5.00    
ILA VEIW TOO Aug16 Aug03 May31 May17 Apr28 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 126 1.60 29% 2.50    
TIZ A SNEAKY LINK Aug16 Jul20       (gibbs tyler)CARILLO DANIEL 123 4.00    
 
SWF-9   08/31/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIBERTY WOLF Jun21 May18 Apr25 Mar30 Dec01 (dillenbeck bruce)LARSEN S 126 20.00    
TAG ME Aug10 Jul27 Jun28 Jun21 Nov01 (scudder jr)RAMEY CASH 126 5.00    
STAND TO Aug17 Aug02 Jul12 Jun20 May30 (dominguez ca)BETHKE A 126 1.50 49% 1.10    
STAR ENTRY Aug17 Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 4.50 15% 5.50    
J'S LITTLE MAN Aug17 Aug03 Jul25 Jul13 Jun29 (ibanez alberto)MARTINEZ R 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NEW EVERY MORNING Jul26 Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 May31 (gibbs tyler)CARILLO DANIEL 126 10.00    
THE FUSS Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 Jul04 Jun15 (gurnick emma)REYES CRISTIAN 126 10.00    
SCRATCHY APACHE Aug10 Aug02 Jul12 Jun20 Jun13 (lavanway dayson)COATES R 126 4.00 8% 10.80    
 
SWF-10   08/31/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.5K) 2 ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING CYCLONE Jul13 Jun28 Jun21 May25   (robles ricardo)MARTINEZ R 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by TYPHOON SLEW out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
SUBTLE HOOLIGAN Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 May30   (martinez a)COATES R 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of SUBTLE QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
TMT ALL INCLUSIVE Aug10 Jun28 Jun06     (gibbs tyler)ARANA MINOR 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by CHIPS ALL IN out of BRING ON THE BLING by BULLDOGGER)
ANGEL'S EFFORT Jul13 Apr30 Apr10     (barrio sergio)RAMEY CASH 121 15.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of LISTENTOYOURANGELS by EVENT OF THE YEAR)
DECALAGE Aug10 Jul12 Jun28 Jun06 May25 (richins brit)CARILLO DANIEL 124 15.00    
  (by LUCKY BODE out of CHANDELLE by CALIFORNIA CHROME)
SCAPPY JO Jul12         (vicchrilli russell)LARSEN S 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of KIT KAT JO by JOHANNESBURG)
THOROUGHLICIOUS Jun21         (buenrostro i)BETHKE A 121 2.50    
  (by MO FORZA out of LOST PROPHET by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  MAJESTIC LACE Jul13 Jun28       (ortega joe)ZAVALA JULIAN 121 15.00    
  (by TYPHOON SLEW out of SANTA HELENA by STREET BOSS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.