Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sweetwater Downs
Friday - August 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SWF-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(8/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
SWF-2   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SWF-3   WIN (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SWF-1   08/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 35 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIVE KID Aug16 Jul27       (green d)VIRGEN JESUS 128 4.00    
SHOOTIN' DICE Jul27 Jul05       (vicchrilli r)BETHKE A 128 2.50 17% 4.90    
RIVER AFFAIR Aug10 Jun29 Jun16     (buenro)ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 123 10.00    
EASYSTAR Aug16 Aug02 Jul06     (eaton terri)CARILLO DANIEL 126 10.00    
TERRY'S SERVICE Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 May30 Apr25 (kemper kerry)RAMEY CASH 126 1.40 54% 0.90    
LULAS LUCKY CHIP Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 Sep06 (giles chad)ARANA MINOR 123 6.00 8% 10.90    
 
SWF-2   08/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND JESTER Aug03 Jun22 Jun06 Aug25   (goodrich sco)CARDENAS JACOB 126 6.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  BORDER VIGIL Aug17 Apr23 Apr15 Mar25 Feb10 (kemper ke)RIVAS CARLOS 126 1.80    
SCR  P TWENTYTWO Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 Jun22 May31 (story shaun)BETHKE A 126 8.00    
UKRAINE STRONG Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun21 Jun08 (lavanway dayso)TEETER NAKIA 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
AT THE CROSS Jul27 Jul05 Sep22     (eaton terri)RAMEY CASH 126 4.50    
DIABLOS MOON Aug16 Aug03 Jul12 Jun13 Sep22 (hadley tori)LUSK TYSON 128 10.00    
NOBLE LAKER Aug16 Jul19 Jul06 Jun29 Jun15 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 126 8.00    
I AM AMADEO Aug17 Jul26 Jul06 May30 May10 (eaton terri)BETHKE A 128 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
SWF-3   08/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERSEY SUNSET Jul27 Jun15 May17 Apr20 Apr04 (dillenbec)RIVAS CARLOS 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SATIN HEART Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 Oct26 Oct05 (scudder jr)LUSK TYSON 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
THIRSTY MAMA Aug03 Jul19 Jun07 May17 Feb28 (story shaun)TEETER NAKIA 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
SUPER ANNIE Aug09 Jul05 Sep29 Sep08 Sep01 (hall dru)COATES R 126 8.00    
GETAWAY DAY Jul06 May30 May18 Apr23 Apr03 (buenrostro i)CARILLO DANIEL 126 15.00    
SHE'S SO FANCY Jun22 May17 Apr11 Mar30 Feb23 (ibanez alberto)MARTINEZ R 126 10.00    
HAPPY CHAPPY Aug03 Jul19 Jun08 May26 Apr17 (barrio sergi)BETHKE A 126 6.00 9% 10.30    
DRAW ME Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 May04 Jan03 (eaton terri)RAMEY CASH 126 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.