Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - August 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(1/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(1/3/8/4)-(7/1/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/8/4)-(7/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8/4)-(7/1/4/3)-(8/7/9/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/3)-(8/7/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/3)-(8/7/9/6)-(5/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (8/7/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/6)-(8/7/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/6)-(8/7/9/6)-(8/7/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/9/6)-(5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/9/6)-(5/7/4)-(4/8/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(4/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(4/8/6/3)-(5/8/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/3)-(4/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/3)-(4/8/6/3)-(4/8/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/6/3)-(5/8/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/3)-(5/8/9/3)-(11/7/1/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/3)-(5/8/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/3)-(5/8/9/3)-(5/8/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/9/3)-(11/7/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (11/7/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/7/1/9)-(11/7/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/7/1/9)-(11/7/1/9)-(11/7/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   08/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER WINNIE Aug01 Jul18 Jul10 Jun19 May23 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
JUBAGOTTHEMONEY Jul17 Jun19 May31 May15 Mar21 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 118 1.40 9% 9.90    
FAVORITE ROAD Jul26 Jun19 May30 May17 May03 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 2.00 61% 0.60    
COURT TUDOR Jul17 May23 Apr24 Mar07 Feb06 (kirlew le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00    
TOBI WAN KENOBI Jul17 May22 May08 Apr10 Feb19 (robbins w)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
BULL RIDER Jul17 Jun19 Apr26 Mar28 Mar14 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50    
 
CT-2   08/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU YEARS Jul25 Jun24 Jun07 May16 Apr04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 61% 0.70    
WICKED MELISSA Jul23 Jun27 Jun01 May03 Apr12 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 118 15.00    
MAGICALLY VANISHED Jul18 Jun13 May24 Apr26 Apr12 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
ALL ABOARD Jul30 Jul03 Jun20 Apr26 Apr05 (king james)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SLEWING Aug07 Jul24 Jun20 May23 May10 (collyer d)LARROSA G 124 12.00    
MITOLE CANDY Jul25 Jun20 May31 May01 Apr05 (collyer d)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
TRUE INDY Jun17 May17 Apr05 Feb22 Feb07 (sanderson wade)CHILO MAXIMO 124 6.00    
LUCKY BOP Jul25 Jul03 May17 Apr05 Mar20 (craig e)JORGE JULIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   08/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DICE ARM Jul25 Jul05 May24 May10 Apr24 (keller chris)DIAZ JR 124 4.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  LAILAH NITE Aug08 Jul18 Nov30 Mar07 Nov30 (rangel ricardo)CHILO MAXIMO 124 50.00    
SWEET MANHATTAN Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 Jan22   (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
DANCING DAKOTAH Jun13 May23 Mar27 Feb22 Dec13 (jones michael )HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
FOX FIFTY EIGHT Jul31 Jul05 Jun13 May23 May01 (payne claud)CESPEDES JHORMA 111 20.00    
SCR  FEEL THE BOLT Jul31 Jul25 Jun27 Jun15 Jun08 (mohan david )ARNOLD BRINTON 108 30.00    
UNDERBID BRITTANY Jul22 Jun23 Jun01     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.00 65% 0.50    
CICATRIZ Jul25 Jun29 May03 Mar27 Feb05 (shanley tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 5.00    
LIBERATION DAY Jul25 Jun13 Apr10 Feb26 Jan29 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 6.00    
 
CT-4   08/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUINN ELIA Jun03 Apr24 Mar27 Feb19 Jan15 (lane s)RIOS-CONDE JR 120 30.00    
GHOST OF ALCINA Jun21 May23 Apr24 Apr05 Jul26 (gazzier kristy)JORGE JULIO 122 8.00    
DREAM STREET ROSE Jul10 May23 Dec07 Nov20 Oct24 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 4.50    
SCR  COLLECTING ANGELS Jul24 Jul11 Jun28 Jun12 May24 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 111 8.00    
MOONSHINE MAMA Jul24 Jun19 May16 Apr18 Mar27 (brown ronne)CACHA-PADILLA B 118 12.00    
ADDY MAE Aug01 Jul11 Jul04 Jun13 Jun06 (conn p)LARROSA G 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
CLIMATE CHANGE Jul18 Jun06 May15 Apr24 Mar27 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
STILL GRUMPY Jul12 Jun20 May16 Apr18 Mar27 (jones michael )HIRALDO JOHN 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Jul18 Jun21 May04 Apr16 Mar28 (reynolds )BOCACHICA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   08/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WYNSOME CAT Jul31 Jul04 Jun13 May24 Mar21 (viands r)ACOSTA D 118 1.80    
SERENADE ME Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May23 May01 (gillespie a)STOKES J 118 8.00    
SCR  IHEARTRAINACOMN Jul31 Jul11 Jul05 Jun14 May30 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 124 20.00    
SOMESUGARNSPICE Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 May08 Apr18 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
LONA LEE Jul12 Jun20 May29 May16 Nov01 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
LOVING GAZE (IRE) Jul10 Jun13 May24 May16 Apr11 (lane j)HIRALDO JOHN 116 12.00    
SHEWONTTALKTOME May29 May16 Apr18 Mar27 Feb01 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  NO DENYING DENIS Jul31 Jul12 Jun20 May29 May16 (sigler rona)CESPEDES JHORMA 113 15.00    
 
CT-6   08/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Jul19 Jul09 Jun13 May03 Nov06 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 8.00    
PAY ZONE Jun15 May31 Mar02 Feb07 Dec22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00    
RAINY SKIES Jul24 Jun07 May01 Nov06 Oct04 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
REMEMBERING WILBUR Jul24 Jul12 May28 May10 May01 (deiter lyn)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.60 48% 1.10    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK Jul26 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 May24 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
PIT STOP MAN Jul24 Jun22 May31 May03 Apr04 (dilodovico damon)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 11% 7.90    
PAPA LINGUINE Oct25 Oct12 Aug17 Jul25 Jun07 (covello and)CESPEDES JHORMA 113 30.00    
MOTIVATING Jul24 Jul09 Jun28 May01 Mar01 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 120 4.50 15% 5.70    
 
CT-7   08/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD LINEAGE Aug01 Jul11 Jun12 May15 Dec04 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
LORD OF CORK Jul26 Jun26 May23 May02 Apr19 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 6.00    
SOUL CATCHER May02 Apr05 Feb15 Jan16 Nov15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
POWERED BY LOVE Jul26 Jul11 Jun12 May15 Apr23 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00    
DORADO May02 Apr19 Mar15 Feb21 Jan16 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  LOVE IS WICKED Jul19 Jul03 Jun06 May10 Apr24 (johnson dewa)DIAZ JR 124 12.00    
ROBBIELIKESHIM Jul29 Jul09 Jun09 May15 Apr18 (runco c)CULLUM W 124 8.00    
BAIL IS DENIED Jul19 Jul03 Jun21 May24 May08 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
W V LAD Jul17 Jun05 May15 Apr26 Apr03 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   08/14/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICETECA Jul25 Jul04 Jun13 May22 May02 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 124 15.00 14% 6.40    
FEARNOUGHT Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 Jun05 May23 (clatterbuck fr)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
SCR  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Jul11 Jun13 May27 Apr10 Mar15 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
MY SLICK NICK Jul17 Jun28 Jun13 May16 May02 (conn linda )PELTROCHE ELIAS 120 30.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT RENEGADE Jul25 Jul12 Jun22 Jun15 May09 (mohan david )ARNOLD BRINTON 114 8.00    
SCR  RICK'SWARMHEART Jul17 Jul05 Jun26 May10 Apr13 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 113 0.60    
ROL AGAIN DANCER Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 Apr24 Apr03 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 3.50 19% 4.40    
BONDED (IRE) Jul25 Jun26 Jun13 May17 May02 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
TWIXTER Jul26 Jul04 Jun13 May22 Apr25 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  ICE BAR Jul25 Feb05 Dec13 Oct10 Jun13 (cundith s)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
11  RAPPER ZAPPER Jul09 Jun14 Oct26 Oct05 Sep15 (cruz jesus)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.00 38% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.