Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

North Dakota Horse Park
Saturday - July 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FAR-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-3   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-5   WIN (6/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/7)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/6/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FAR-6   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/1)-(7/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FAR-7   WIN (7/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FAR-1   07/26/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($5.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIS IS A JOKE Jun28 Jun14 May24 Apr13 Mar30 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 1.80 38% 1.60    
J J'S WILDCAT Sep12 Aug01 Jul03 Jun23 Jun09 (mckinley frank)BEETEM BRIAN 126 4.00    
GRAVASTAR Jul19         (ibanez alberto)MARTINEZ R 126 10.00 11% 8.20    
MISS WILDCAT Jun13 May18 Jul27 Jun28 Jun09 (moody doug)DELORME L 121 6.00    
WILD STRETCH Jul13 Jun28 Jun21 Jun15 Jun08 (botosh rodg)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 8.00    
UNCLE TAP Sep04 Aug02 Jul19 Jun12 May21 (haar j)LUARK T 126 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
FAR-3   07/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE CONNECTION Jul13 Jun20 Jun08 May23 May02 (olson kenneth)WOOD DAKOTA 126 1.80    
FINBARFUREY Jul19 Jul13 Jun21 Jun14 Jun07 (hurley tristin)BEETEM BRIAN 126 8.00 12% 7.00    
PASSING TIME Jul19 Jul13 Jun21 May25 May08 (hurley tristin)MCNEIL BRYAN 126 2.50 16% 5.40    
REDISUR Jul13 Jul05 May24 Apr27 Apr12 (dolphus junior)MARTINEZ R 126 3.50    
BARBIERE Jul19 Jul06 Jun20 Jun11 May31 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 4.00 40% 1.50    
CALZONE Jul19 Jul04 Jun14 Feb05 Jan04 (dolphus jun)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 10.00    
 
FAR-5   07/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MOONSHINE MAN Jul13         (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 122 12.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of IN HEAVEN by CRAFTY FRIEND)
SALEM'S BREEZE Jul18         (hurley tristin)BEETEM BRIAN 122 15.00    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of SLIGO BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
FOUR ABOVE Jul13 Jun28 Jun14 Jun25 Jun11 (haar j)MARTINEZ R 119 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of SANTA FE SUE by PIONEERING)
PHENOMENAL ROMEO Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 Aug04 Jul27 (ali raheem)LUARK T 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of FLYING FEDORA by LYRE)
KID HERCULES Jul18 Jul13 Jun29 Jun07 Aug04 (martin dean)WOOD DAKOTA 122 2.00    
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of BEARS GRACE by PHILANTHROPIST)
LIAM'S CHALLENGE Jul19 Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 May16 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 1.20 62% 0.60    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
D'S PHENOMENAL BOY Jul13 Jun28 Jun14 Aug04 Jul27 (ali raheem)HAAR NATHAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of D AND D'S REMEDY by LUSH)
 
FAR-6   07/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY NDTA Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHENOMENALJOE Jul19 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 Jun07 (delorme mar)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PHENOMENALMOON out of FLYING FEDORA by LYRE)
LIAM'S STARRY NITE Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 Aug03 Jul28 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 126 12.00    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
DAKOTA PROSPECTOR Jun28 Jun15 Jul28 Jul21 Jun09 (longie jr)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by PIES PROSPECT out of MS SENT TO DAKOTA by MARQUETRY)
HOPPYS CLASSIC Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 Jun08 May16 (horst scot)DELORME L 126 2.50    
  (by BAY OF BISCAY out of DAKOTA CLASSIC by REGAL CLASSIC)
LOVERS WHISPER Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 Jun08 May16 (horst scot)MARTINEZ R 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by BAY OF BISCAY out of LONELY LOVER by LIT DE JUSTICE)
TRICKY KID Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 Aug04 Jul28 (longie j)BEETEM BRIAN 126 8.00    
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of LEECHA MAE by SPEED CALLING)
BEE A BALI Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 May03 Apr09 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 121 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BEE BUG by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
FAR-7   07/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP C/G PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF'S MACHINE Apr25 Apr12 Mar06 Feb13 Jan19 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 126 3.00 19% 4.30    
WILLIE CAT Jul13 Jun27 Jun15 Jun07 May18 (haar j)DELORME L 126 4.00    
SHAKINTHEMONARCHY Jul19 Jul13 Jun22 Jun14 Jun07 (ibanez albe)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 6.00    
RIVERSPORT Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 Jun21 Jun14 (ibanez alberto)BEETEM BRIAN 126 12.00    
AMERICAN SMOOTH Jul13 May04 Apr05 Mar28 Mar01 (wilson robert)MARTINEZ R 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
DARNQUICK Jul13 Jun21 Jun07 May18 May04 (cavanaugh perry)WOOD DAKOTA 126 2.50 22% 3.50    
DAAHERS BULLY Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 May17 May04 (cavanaugh perr)MCNEIL BRYAN 126 3.50 31% 2.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.