Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gillespie County Fair
Saturday - July 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GIL-6   WIN (7/9/6/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/2/8)-(7/9/6/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GIL-8   WIN (7/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/8/5)-(7/9/8/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/8/5)-(7/9/8/1/5)-(7/9/8/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
GIL-9   WIN (1/2/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/10)-(1/2/5/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/10)-(1/2/5/3/10)-(1/2/5/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GIL-6   07/19/2025 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAIN DAKOTA Mar02         (sauceda je)MORALES X 128 20.00    
  (by CAPTAIN COUNTDOWN out of DAKOTA ADIEU by HECKLE)
LIBO RIDGE         (kotara rona)OCHOA ALEJANDRO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RETIREMENT FUND out of JOVIALISA RIDGE by EARLY FLYER)
HANK RIDGE Jul13 Jun21 May26 May03 Apr05 (kotara ronald)BENAVIDES D 125 20.00    
  (by RETIREMENT FUND out of HENYETTA by KING TUTTA)
LIBYA Apr10         (swift a)EDISON JOCELYN 118 20.00    
  (by MATTHEWSBURG out of DANCEWITHTHEGHOST by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
STELLA RIDGE Jul06 Jun28 Jun15 Feb21   (mejia aracely)BACA EDGAR 123 15.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of JOVIALISA RIDGE by EARLY FLYER)
CIBOLO VISION         (jolley jame)RAMIREZ PAULINA 128 6.00 8% 10.90    
  (by COURT VISION out of MISS KINDERHOOK by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
CLARISIT May30 Apr20 Apr05 Mar08 Feb14 (sau)URIETA MANUEL 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by VISIONIT out of CLAMOROUS CLARISSA by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
GUS CAUSE Apr05 Mar08 Feb22 Jan25 Jan03 (uriegas joe)VERA T 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of ROSEWHITENBLUE by OLMODAVOR)
HOLIDAY LINES Jun15 May25 May03 Jan30   (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 3.00 9% 10.40    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of BIG MAPLE by OVERANALYZE)
10  BLAKE'S SONG Mar25 Mar08 Feb22 Feb01 Jul07 (aguirre rica)VIVANCO L 120 3.50    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of BLAKE THE GREAT by BIG TOP CAT)
 
GIL-8   07/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDAGLIA'S SONG May10 Apr27 Jul06 May25 Mar15 (mejia aracely)BACA EDGAR 123 4.00    
SAKURAS May25 Mar29       (swift a)EDISON JOCELYN 118 15.00    
LUCKY GLITTER May02 Apr18       (sauceda jes)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 20.00    
FRIDA C Apr21 Apr09       (m)ZUNIGA LANDEROS 120 12.00    
RIDDLE ME THAT May10 Nov23 Oct31 Oct09 Jun21 (sauceda jess)VIVANCO L 128 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALLA TE ESPERO MR Jan31         (roman manuel)VERA T 125 5.00    
BAR HOPPIN BILLY Apr04 Mar23 Mar08 Jan25 Jan04 (agu)URIETA MANUEL 125 1.80 64% 0.60    
PRINCE OF MISCHIEF Jun15 May27       (hernandez )VALLEJO R 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
HOT ROUTE Jun28 May25 May10 Dec07 Oct24 (garza joaq)MORALES X 123 3.50 11% 7.90    
 
GIL-9   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD RACER Jul03 Jun21 Jun08 May16 May26 (roubion st)MORALES X 125 2.00 38% 1.60    
CHAMPAGNE STOOPER Jun20 May03 Apr04 Mar22 Feb23 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 128 3.00 17% 5.00    
GHOST COWBOY Jul03 Apr19 Mar29 Mar07 Feb14 (pish danny)VIVANCO L 128 6.00    
CARBON STRYKER Jul03 Jun08 May11 Apr18 Mar07 (ashford tri)OCHOA ALEJANDRO 128 12.00    
HARD GOLD Jul03 May17 Apr18 Apr06 Mar07 (cal)URIETA MANUEL 128 4.00 12% 7.20    
HELLO HELLO MISTER Jun27 Apr04 Mar07 Feb21 Feb02 (garza e)BENAVIDES D 128 15.00    
SCR  BLING ON THE LIGHT Jun28 May16 Jan26 Jun23 May18 (garza joa)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00    
SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Jul13 Jun08 Apr19 Mar08 Feb23 (mejia jacobo)BACA EDGAR 128 15.00    
HOLIDAY RUN May24 Mar08 Feb14 Nov27 Aug23 (ascencio jua)VERA T 128 20.00    
10  SUPREME CAPO Jan24 Nov22 Oct17 Aug25 Aug10 (sauceda jes)RAMIREZ PAULINA 128 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.