Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - May 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(6/3/2)-(7/6/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(7/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(7/6/2/4)-(6/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/4)-(7/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/4)-(7/6/2/4)-(7/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/4)-(6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/4)-(6/1/2)-(10/4/2/5/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(10/4/2/5/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(10/4/2/5/9)-(7/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-5   WIN (10/4/2/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/2/5/9)-(10/4/2/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/2/5/9)-(10/4/2/5/9)-(10/4/2/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/2/5/9)-(7/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (10/4/2/5/9)-(7/1)-(7/2/6/1) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/1)-(7/2/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(7/2/6/1)-(6/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/1)-(6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT TOOTY Oct06 Jul22       (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00    
ADDY MAE Apr19 Apr04 Mar08 Mar01 Jan25 (shanley mark)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.00 32% 2.10    
SPARKLEINYOUREYE Apr04 Mar08 Feb19 Jan25 Jan11 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
COLD CASH Apr26 Apr17 Mar21 Mar08 Feb05 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
MOONSHINE MAMA Apr18 Mar27 Feb21 Feb05 Jan25 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
SWIPE THAT CANDY Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 Feb19 Jan25 (rideout anthony)JORGE JULIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   05/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIESTE May02 Mar27 Mar07 Feb19 Feb05 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 124 10.00    
SCR  ENRIQUETA May02 Apr18 Apr03 Mar28   (gomez r)LARROSA G 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNBRIDLED CHOPT May02 Mar27 Mar07 Feb21 Nov06 (espinosa victor)JORGE JULIO 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  MODEST KAY May02 Apr18 Apr03     (gomez r)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00    
FLATTERING WAY Apr18 Mar27 Feb28 Feb13 Jan15 (barahona)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
VIGILANTE Apr18 Mar21 Feb27 Jan31   (johnson j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 0.60 49% 1.00    
PRETTY CASTLE May02 Apr26 Apr17 Apr03 Mar21 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 124 20.00    
 
CT-3   05/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SLICK NICK May02 Apr05 Mar21 Feb26 Feb05 (conn lin)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
HE'S A COMMISIONER Apr05 Mar13 Feb15 Jan23 Jan02 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
ORDER OFTHE KETTLE Apr24 Apr05 Mar13 Feb22 Feb01 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 6.00    
SCARE DEM Apr23 Mar15 Feb28 Feb15 Dec07 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
COSTNER Apr23 Mar28 Mar13 Feb21 Feb06 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 2.00    
SMOKIN BOW Apr24 Apr03 Feb13 Dec28 Dec12 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.50 17% 5.00    
ARREBATO Apr24 Apr05 Mar30 Mar06 Feb09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  EYES ELEVEN May08 Mar27 Mar13 Feb19 Jan31 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
 
CT-4   05/16/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COAL COUNTRY Apr28 Apr05 Feb26 Jan31 Jan10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
PHANTOM QUEEN Mar14 Jan10 Dec06 Nov14 Oct19 (cornwel)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 12.00 6% 17.10    
MISS BEE BOP Apr25 Apr10 Apr03 Feb28 Jan30 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50    
OSO Mar08 Nov07 Sep20 Sep06 Jul27 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
SCR  REMY'S HOTSHOT Apr03 Mar14 Jan30 Nov13 Oct19 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 3.00    
CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Apr10 Mar08 Jan31 Jan02 Nov06 (bass cu)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
 
CT-5   05/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORONATION TIME Apr25 Apr03 Mar06 Feb15 Jan24 (reynolds )BOCACHICA J 120 10.00    
DOCTOR PARDO Apr23 Apr11 Mar22 Feb19 Feb06 (johnso)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 12.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  ROL AGAIN DANCER Apr24 Apr03 Feb21 Jan10 Jul08 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 15.00    
PINK DINGHY May01 Apr10 Feb07 Jan15 Dec07 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
A FEW TOO MANY Apr23 Mar22 Feb27 Feb07 Dec11 (reynold)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Apr25 Apr05 Mar13 Feb22 Feb14 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
UNCLE CAT Apr26 Dec20 Nov30 Nov10 Sep28 (singh so)RODRIGUEZ L 117 1.80    
RUNNINGTHENUMBERS Apr24 Apr05 Mar15 Feb27 Feb05 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
SESAME STREEK Apr25 Apr05 Mar20 Jan25 Jan02 (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  LOGSTRADAMUS May02 Feb21 Jan31 Jan17 Nov15 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  BUDDY BUDDY May08 Mar13 Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
SCR  CATTY'S UNCLE Mar26 Feb26 Jan30 Jan07 Nov11 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50    
13  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Apr25 Apr05 Mar13 Feb15 Jan31 (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 10.00    
 
CT-6   05/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHUBLIN Mar15 Jan14 Dec17 Nov22 Oct28 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 120 8.00 32% 2.10    
SMOKIN LADY Apr05 Feb07 Jan02 Dec13 Nov22 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 5.00    
ITZAYANA Apr25 Mar29 Feb28 Feb07 Jan15 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 116 3.50    
SCR  PRINCESS MARGARET May02 Apr10 Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
RARE RUBY Apr11 Mar03 Jan25     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.00    
BULL'S LEGACY Apr25 Apr05 Mar15 Feb26 Feb08 (rideout anthony)JORGE JULIO 120 4.50    
A LITTLE CANELA Apr25 Apr03 Mar27 Mar13 Feb28 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
CT-7   05/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($30.9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO DENYING DENIS Apr17 Oct12 Aug16 Jul26 Jul04 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
STILL GRUMPY Apr18 Mar27 Mar14 Feb01 Jan15 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00 19% 4.10    
MALIBU YEARS Apr04 Mar01 Feb07 Jan29 Nov20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
SYMPTOMATIC Apr17 Mar20 Feb22 Feb06 Dec07 (tobin edw)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
YES TO LOVE Feb28 Feb01 Jan18 Dec29 Dec12 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
SHEWONTTALKTOME Apr18 Mar27 Feb01 Nov20 Oct24 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
LONA LEE Nov01 Oct24 Oct12 Sep13 Aug02 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 1.00 42% 1.40    
 
CT-8   05/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY BUY May02 Apr24 Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 (smith osborne)LARROSA G 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN NEFERTARI Apr17 Jan30 Dec13 Nov27 Nov07 (reynold)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50    
STREETCORNER Apr17 Jan30 Nov30 Nov07 Oct14 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.00    
GONE WITH THE WYN May02 Apr04 Mar15 Feb21 Feb06 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00    
CANDY CRAZE May03 Apr13 Apr06 Feb28 Feb07 (frock )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 6.00    
TANGERINEGINGER Apr25 Feb21 Jan25 Jan15 Dec07 (reynolds )BOCACHICA J 122 3.00 62% 0.60    
WIKI LIO Apr25 Apr04 Mar24 Feb05 Dec03 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
MISS PEARL HART Apr19 Apr03 Mar21 Mar08 Feb15 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 124 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.