Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Monday - May 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (4/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/2)-(6/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/2)-(6/3/5)-(2/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-2   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(2/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(2/1/5)-(1/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/6/3)-(4/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-4   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(4/6/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(4/6/2)-(1/8/2/5/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
WRD-5   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(1/8/2/5/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(1/8/2/5/4)-(3/2/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-6   WIN (1/8/2/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/5/4)-(1/8/2/5/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/5/4)-(1/8/2/5/4)-(1/8/2/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/2/5/4)-(3/2/4/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/5/4)-(3/2/4/7)-(5/8/3/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
WRD-7   WIN (3/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/7)-(5/8/3/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
WRD-8   WIN (5/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/9)-(5/8/3/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/9)-(5/8/3/9)-(5/8/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   05/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSPEL NATIVE Apr09 Mar25 Nov18 Nov03 Sep22 (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOSPEL FOREST Apr22 Mar24 Mar03 Dec06 Nov23 (willia)FLETCHER D 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
DI RISATA MOLTO Apr22 Dec13 Nov30 Nov01 Oct05 (swan patri)ERAMIA E 120 12.00    
WARHAMMER Apr08 Mar18 Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 1.80 60% 0.70    
STRAIGHT AHEAD Apr28 Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Mar19 (hartman ale)WETHEY JR 125 1.40 18% 4.70    
FLAT BE JUDGED Mar18 Dec13 Dec04 Nov13   (gunter c)QUINONEZ B 120 15.00    
PRECIOUS CARGO Apr02 Mar17 Jun27 Jun12 May14 (stephens jerr)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 4.00    
 
WRD-2   05/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALT CREEK GAL Apr09 Mar19 Mar03 Dec07 Oct25 (buehrer mark )PUSAC ALBERTO 125 8.00    
GOSPEL B. HAVIOR Apr09 Mar11 Feb23 Jan12 Dec13 (williams )TRIANA JR 125 4.00    
COMPETITIVE BOND Apr21 Apr07 Mar31 Mar17 Feb28 (davidson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 5.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  BLUE MOON RIVER Apr08 Mar19 Mar10 Dec13 Nov02 (corderman scott)KIMES C 125 8.00    
REALITY CHECK Apr21 Mar31 Mar19 Nov15 Oct30 (donaldson jerry)QUINONEZ B 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SO JORDAN Apr21 Mar09 Feb21 Feb05 Dec11 (hartman ale)WETHEY JR 125 1.60 59% 0.70    
IMAMIDNIGHTSPECIAL Apr21 Apr09 Mar17 Dec13 Nov30 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50    
 
WRD-3   05/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY KINDA TROUBLE Apr15 Mar21 Mar02 Sep05 Jul27 (dunlap)FLETCHER D 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
RASPBERRY MARTINI Apr15 Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Nov23 (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
GRACE THE KINGDOM Apr15 Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 Feb08 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 1.80    
SHOPPING ACCIDENT Apr15 Dec12 Nov18 Oct23 Oct02 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00    
ROLLIN BLACKOUT Nov08 Oct26 Oct03 Sep07 Aug03 (dixon tim)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-4   05/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEARDROP TIARA Apr08 Mar16 Feb23 Feb14 Jan18 (roberts b)LARA EZEQUIEL 125 2.50 52% 0.90    
MISS LONG LEGS Apr09 Mar25 Nov16 Sep27 Aug31 (oberlan)GONCALVES R 125 15.00    
PREDICTING Apr08 Mar26 Mar04 Nov30 Oct12 (ste)ZABALA CASTILLO 125 6.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  CAT TALE SKY Apr09 Mar25 Dec11 Nov14 Oct17 (young e)QUINONEZ B 125 5.00    
SEATTLE WILDCAT Apr15 Mar26 Mar11 Dec12 Oct30 (oberlander jes)QUINONEZ S 125 12.00    
SKY ECHO Mar25 Jun26 Jun12 May13 Apr08 (pogue pau)TRIANA JR 125 6.00 14% 6.10    
SLICK CITY GIRL Apr09 Dec06 Nov16 Sep19 Aug31 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 6.00    
SCR  GOSPEL EXPRESSION Apr09 Mar26 Mar11 Feb02 Dec12 (williams s)ERAMIA E 125 3.00    
 
WRD-5   05/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEXY BROWN Apr14 Mar17 Dec12 Nov25 Nov02 (cogburn orrin )SANCHEZ OBED 122 6.00    
NEUTRALIZE Apr14 Mar17 Mar04 Jan05 Dec05 (lee mark)QUINONEZ B 122 6.00 6% 16.30    
MARQUEE LADY Apr14 Nov26 Nov14 Oct30 Oct09 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 5.00    
CHAPARRITA Apr14 Apr02 Mar01 Jan31 Jan05 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  OKIE MAGIC Apr01 Mar04 Dec13 Nov23 Oct23 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 125 2.50    
MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH Apr14 Apr02 Mar17 Feb28 Jan17 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
WRD-6   05/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT'S RIDE Mar24 Mar04 Dec11 Nov13 Oct23 (offolter s)QUINONEZ S 125 1.40 48% 1.10    
SMART OKIE Apr14 Apr02 Mar17 Mar04 Dec05 (padilla j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 5.00 13% 7.00    
IUKA MISS Apr21 Dec12 Nov26 Nov08 Oct26 (bert byr)BENN J 125 12.00    
RAINBOW ANGEL Apr01 Nov26 Oct16 Sep06 Jul17 (ashford tri)WETHEY JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
ALL AFLUTTER Apr22 Apr02 Mar24 Mar18 Mar10 (villafranc)ERAMIA E 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
MOVE IT MARY Apr15 Mar21 Jul05 Jun17   (dunlap m)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 20.00    
LOOKATCHU Apr15 Mar08 Feb14 Jan18 Nov06 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 120 4.00    
WHEN JUDY CALLS Apr22 Apr02 Dec12 Nov23 Oct25 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 8.00 17% 4.80    
MAJESTIC TORNADO Apr02 Mar11 Dec20 Nov26 Sep03 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 12.00    
 
WRD-7   05/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCA EMPIRE Mar08 Jan25 Dec13 Nov23 Oct18 (flores os)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 3.00    
C W PRIZE Apr15 Mar25 Mar04 Dec13 Nov08 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 2.00 20% 3.90    
GHOST HERO Jun07 Oct20 Sep24 Aug25 May29 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
TOMMYHAWK Mar25 Mar04 Sep18 Aug23 Jul18 (swango e)QUINONEZ B 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
KALEO Apr09 Mar19 May06 Apr08 Mar11 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 119 12.00    
SEND THE BOSS Apr09 Mar11 Jul03 Jun09 Mar26 (padilla juan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 12.00    
OKIE SMOKE Apr09 Mar17 Dec13 Nov22 Oct18 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MORTIFY Mar25 Feb01 Jan10 Dec13 Nov09 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 120 12.00    
 
WRD-8   05/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT A WORD Apr26 Apr05 Mar16 Jan19 Oct17 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 120 6.00    
LAMENTABLE JARIN Apr07 Mar18 Dec05 Oct30 Oct09 (gunter micha)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 8.00    
SHES A DEVIL WOMAN Apr15 Mar18 Feb28 Dec05   (stephens )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 10.00 6% 16.30    
GOSPEL PRECIOUS Apr21 Apr07 Mar25 Dec07 Nov22 (williams f)KIMES C 125 12.00    
WHISKEY DRINKER Apr15 Mar26 Mar03 Nov14 Nov02 (corderman)TRIANA JR 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  GOSPEL FREELY Apr09 Mar18 Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 (williams s)ERAMIA E 125 5.00    
ATHELAS Apr15 Mar26 Mar04 Feb02 Jan19 (hale ja)GONCALVES R 125 3.50    
LOOKIN LUCKY AGAIN Apr08 Mar18 Nov25 Nov08 Oct25 (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 125 5.00 29% 2.50    
IMPUDENT Apr15 Apr07 Mar24 Nov01 Oct09 (bla)ZABALA CASTILLO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.