Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - April 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(7/6/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(7/6/2/1)-(2/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-2   WIN (7/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/1)-(2/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/1)-(2/4/3)-(6/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/1/5)-(1/7/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(1/7/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(1/7/4/3)-(6/4/9/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-5   WIN (1/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3)-(1/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/3)-(6/4/9/8/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/3)-(6/4/9/8/10)-(6/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-6   WIN (6/4/9/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/9/8/10)-(6/4/9/8/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/4/9/8/10)-(6/4/9/8/10)-(6/4/9/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/9/8/10)-(6/3/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/4/9/8/10)-(6/3/5)-(2/7/4/9/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
WRD-7   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(2/7/4/9/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
WRD-8   WIN (2/7/4/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/9/5)-(2/7/4/9/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/9/5)-(2/7/4/9/5)-(2/7/4/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAYLON'S GUITAR Mar18 Mar04 Feb16 Dec07 Oct11 (ashford)GONCALVES R 120 5.00 36% 1.80    
SOCIAL SOONER Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Dec11 Nov29 (swan e)ROMAN KEVIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LIGHT THE CODE Apr14 Mar18 Dec07 Nov16 Oct25 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 3.50    
SCR  JUDGE MCBEE Nov25 Oct25 Sep18 Sep06 Mar01 (young e)KIMES C 125 2.00    
RUNNING FLAT OUT Apr01 Nov30 Nov10 Oct26 Oct07 (trout r)TRIANA JR 125 2.50 38% 1.60    
COMPUTING CHAMP Apr14 Apr01 Mar04 Feb01 Jan17 (valdivia )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 4.50    
 
WRD-2   04/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO COLD AT HOME Apr22 Mar22 Feb23     (davidson sarah)SANCHEZ OBED 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of GLACIATION by EYE OF THE LEOPARD)
THE SQUEAKER         (biehler mich)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 8.00 9% 9.70    
  (by COCKED AND LOADED out of MISSTERIA by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
BOBCAT BITE Apr15 Oct19 Sep27     (swan patr)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 15.00    
  (by KWONTRO out of FACETS OF ICE by ICE BOX)
DA CHIEF Apr15 Dec04       (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of SHE LOVES ME NOW by CHIEF SEATTLE)
CODE MANDALORE Apr15         (william)GONCALVES R 120 5.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of MYSTICAL MOONLIGHT by BRAHMS)
ONE BIG HAAS Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Nov29 Nov13 (swan e)BIRZER E 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by FLAT OUT out of REGO by IN EXCESS (IRE))
BAR ROOM BUDDY Apr15 Mar31 Mar18 Nov01 Oct11 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 120 1.40 31% 2.20    
  (by DA STOOPS out of LOUNGE LADY by CUVEE)
 
WRD-3   04/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWORD OF GOLD Mar25 Mar17 Dec04 Nov22 Oct26 (moreno )GONCALVES R 125 3.50    
CIELO'S KNIGHT Mar28 Feb16 Jan05 Dec05 Nov09 (davidson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.00 50% 1.00    
DANCING DEVIL Apr01 Mar11 Dec05 May13 Mar18 (hale v)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
PAPA BILL Nov14 Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Jun10 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 2.50 25% 2.90    
NORWAY BEACH Apr01 Dec11 Nov09 Nov02 Oct11 (offolter s)QUINONEZ S 125 3.00    
THE LAST MOXY Apr15 Mar25 Mar18 Mar10 Feb21 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 120 5.00    
 
WRD-4   04/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSPEL TREASURE Apr08 Mar19 Dec13 Nov09 Aug23 (williams s)ERAMIA E 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of AUDACIOUS ANGEL by CITY ZIP)
HOLY AMA Oct05 Sep21 Aug30 Jul18 Jun27 (quinonez eloy)QUINONEZ B 125 8.00    
  (by WILBURN out of SLEW WATER SLEW by SLEW CITY SLEW)
SCR  GOSPEL CLARITY Apr08 Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct17 (william)GONCALVES R 120 3.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of CONFUSED by CROSS TRAFFIC)
SURE THING SAMURAI Apr21 Mar25 Dec12     (dav)ZABALA CASTILLO 120 12.00    
  (by LEA out of SURE THING SHEILA by ARCHARCHARCH)
ONE EYE SUPER FLY Apr14 Mar31 Oct12     (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 120 10.00 12% 7.20    
  (by FLAT OUT out of SYNERSIS by WITH APPROVAL)
FELONY FLATS Apr08 Mar23       (dunlap shon )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by FLAT OUT out of THE PENGUIN by DEVIOUS COURSE)
SHEZAFASHION QUEEN Apr08 Mar24 Mar10 Aug17 Jun29 (williams alan)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
  (by LIAISON out of SHEZAFASIONISTA by FASHION FIND)
SCR  CAMAN UP Apr08 Mar31 Mar17     (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 120 3.50    
  (by REVVED UP out of CAMANA BAY by CONGRATS)
 
WRD-5   04/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORDER OF MERIT Apr15 Mar04 Nov15 Oct02 Sep14 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
STAGE LEFT Apr15 Apr02 Mar04 Feb01 Dec05 (young e)QUINONEZ B 122 2.50    
SAY IT NICELY Apr01 Mar19 Dec13 Nov02 Sep26 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
FLY TO THE BANK Apr02 Oct18 Sep18 Aug23 Jul18 (abney mike)SANCHEZ OBED 120 8.00 11% 8.10    
BOBWHITE BOBBY Mar31 Mar03 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 (young s)GONCALVES R 122 6.00    
PEPPERMINT CANDY Apr07 Nov19 Oct26 Oct11 May06 (hartman alex)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00    
MISTER CHAIRMAN Apr02 Mar19 Mar08 Feb22 Nov26 (ramaekers)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 8.00 14% 6.40    
MISTER WAYSIDE Apr14 Apr01 Mar19 Dec07 Nov29 (abney mike)ROMAN KEVIN 122 5.00    
 
WRD-6   04/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LENA'S SHADOW Mar18 Dec11 Sep28 Sep06 Jul18 (pogue paulette)QUINONEZ B 122 20.00    
SCR  KIRBY KAYE Mar26 Jan05 Dec13 Nov25 Nov02 (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.50    
OH NIKI Apr02 Mar18 Dec06 Nov23 Nov07 (swan patrick)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 15.00    
TOM'S GIRL Apr14 Mar26 Mar11 Mar03 Dec13 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
WITSEC Apr14 Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Dec11 (wilson)FLETCHER D 122 12.00    
RUBY THE DESTROYER Apr14 Apr07 Mar19 Mar11 Feb08 (davidson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
PURE CONNECTION Apr02 Mar19 Dec06 Nov19 Oct12 (corderman)TRIANA JR 122 8.00    
STOLEN KISSES Apr02 Mar18 Sep05 Aug24 Jul17 (williams s)ERAMIA E 122 20.00 12% 7.00    
SWEET ATTITUDE Apr02 Mar11 Oct10 Sep26 May04 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
10  GEE SHE'S FANCY Apr07 Mar11 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 (williams f)KIMES C 122 20.00 12% 7.00    
 
WRD-7   04/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARS TO ME Apr02 Mar17 Jun30 May15 Apr22 (swan patr)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 20.00    
R DOC Apr09 Nov22 Nov01 Oct05 Sep21 (ferrell jory)KIMES C 125 3.00    
AMBIGUOUS Apr09 Mar19 May21 May07 Apr13 (biehler michael)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  VIENNA PRIZE Apr09 Mar19 Dec05 Nov22 Oct10 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 125 8.00    
I AM GRODD Apr14 Mar26 Feb08 Jan17 Dec12 (williams )TRIANA JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
BIG MUCKITY Apr02 Mar19 Feb23 Jan18 Jan05 (ashford)GONCALVES R 125 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  BLUEBERRY EYES Apr07 Mar19 Mar01 Feb21 Jan31 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00    
RACHEL'S CAPER Apr09 Mar19 Dec05 Nov22 Oct26 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 125 15.00    
 
WRD-8   04/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRAGE CODE Apr15 Mar25 Mar18 Feb14 Jan18 (chi)ZABALA CASTILLO 125 30.00    
LITTLEEUROGIRL Mar10 Nov15 Oct30 Oct09 Sep26 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 125 6.00 29% 2.40    
MAUI MISTRESS Apr01 Mar18 Dec06 Nov14 Oct02 (corderman sc)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 4.00    
SAINT ISABEL Apr15 Apr01 Mar04 Feb20 Jan31 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 3.50 11% 8.50    
K O AMERICAN PIE Mar24 Mar04 Nov15 Oct30 Oct09 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPRINGTIME MOON Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Feb14 Jan26 (davids)FLETCHER D 120 12.00    
GODDESS OF WAR Apr15 Feb26 Feb01 Jan24 Dec07 (johnston )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 6.00 28% 2.50    
GIRLS A LEGACY Nov01 Aug17 Jun27 Apr29 Apr08 (abney mike)QUINONEZ B 125 20.00    
COIN PURSE Apr21 Mar31 Mar24 Oct09 Sep06 (blatchford geo)SANCHEZ OBED 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  LEMON MARMALADE Apr15 Mar29 Feb22 Feb09 Dec21 (dunlap shon )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00    
SCR  BREATHTAKING FOLLY Apr15 Mar19 Sep16 Aug31 Aug03 (ibarra )GONCALVES R 125 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.