Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Monday - February 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(5/1/4)-(3/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(3/2/6)-(7/4/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(7/4/3/2)-(3/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-4   WIN (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/2)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/2)-(3/2/6)-(8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(8/2)-(4/7/6/2/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SA-6   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/2)-(8/2/1)-(8/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/2)-(4/7/6/2/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (8/2)-(4/7/6/2/5)-(2/4/3/11/9) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
SA-7   WIN (4/7/6/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/2/5)-(4/7/6/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/2/5)-(4/7/6/2/5)-(4/7/6/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/6/2/5)-(2/4/3/11/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/2/5)-(2/4/3/11/9)-(7/3/2/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
SA-8   WIN (2/4/3/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/11/9)-(2/4/3/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/11/9)-(2/4/3/11/9)-(2/4/3/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/3/11/9)-(7/3/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/11/9)-(7/3/2/8)-(8/4/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-9   WIN (7/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/8)-(7/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/8)-(7/3/2/8)-(7/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/2/8)-(8/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SA-10   WIN (8/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/2/6)-(8/4/3/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   02/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($80K) Purse ($38K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUN NOT STIRRED Dec07 Nov17 Oct20     (eurton peter)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
2  SMILING TIZZY Feb02 Jan05       (oviedo phil)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  TARIFF Dec28 Oct31 Aug29 Jul28   (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50    
4  UNRIVALED HERO Jan03 Dec07 Oct05 Sep07   (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 1.60    
5  NEWLANDS Jan26 Jan05       (sadler w)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 15.00    
6  MISSILE CRUISER Jan03 Oct20 Sep28     (brinkerhoff va)LEZCANO ABEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEST IS WEST Jan25         (o'neill do)ORANTES R 117 20.00    
 
SA-2   02/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN MAX Jan20 Dec27 Oct31 Aug11 Jul25 (ganbat ene)ORANTES R 119 3.00 13% 6.50    
2  FIREMAN DAN Feb09 Jan01 Nov13 Oct19 Oct11 (wallace jerry)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00    
3  LONE SCOUT Jan20 Nov22 Nov08 Oct26 Sep06 (hess b)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.00    
4  ALWAYS ON CAY Jan26 Dec08 Nov29 Oct31 Oct06 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SALTWATER COWBOY Jan20 Dec31 Dec06 Nov03 Oct04 (saavedra anth)FRESU ANTONIO 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
SA-3   02/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 45 M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY MISCHIEF Dec15         (preciado guill)HERRERA HUGO 124 12.00    
2  AFFAIR Jan19 Nov15 Oct19 Aug30 Dec26 (mandella e)BAZE C 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
3  COASTAL COWGIRL Jan25 Jan28 Dec29     (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 1.20 40% 1.50    
SCR  MAXWELL ST BLUES Dec15 Nov29 Aug16 Jul27   (trujillo vict)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 5.00    
5  TOM'S STAR Jan19 Dec14 Nov09 Oct11 Sep06 (valenzuela ma)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00    
6  SPINNING Feb23         (bonde jeff)ORANTES R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-4   02/17/2025 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A KITTEN FOR SUE Jan20 Oct26 Oct05     (ledezma ser)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 20.00    
2  MY KATHRYN ROSE Jan01 Nov29 Oct19     (marquez alfredo)MALDONADO E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SMOOCHERRO Feb03         (gilmour jim)MATIAS J 122 10.00 12% 7.20    
4  LIQUID SPIRIT Jan20 Dec06       (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
5  GRACIE'S BIG DAY Jan01 Dec14 Oct13 Aug25 Aug09 (ellis rona)ORANTES R 117 6.00    
6  SPOTTED HAZE Jan23         (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.80    
7  PRIME AND READY Jan17 Dec14 Oct20 Sep21   (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 30% 2.40    
 
SA-5   02/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POKER ALICE Dec07 Nov23 Nov01 Sep15 Aug18 (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 5.00    
2  HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS Jan26 Dec18 Nov23 Nov01 Oct06 (greiner gar)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 4.50 26% 2.80    
3  PRINCESS HEKAWI Jan26 Dec15 Nov23 Oct06 Aug18 (mcca)ANTONGEORGI JR 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  C HER BEAUTY Nov30 Nov08 Oct19 Oct04 Sep13 (tamayo isi)ORANTES R 117 20.00    
SCR  ZAFFERANA Dec13 Nov29 Oct27 Sep29 Aug17 (badilla manuel)DURAN F 122 15.00    
6  BET THE CHALK Jan17 Nov29 Oct05 Aug11 Jun30 (meier r)FREY KYLE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  NORTHERN ROSE Nov23 Sep21 Aug03 Jun21 May25 (bautista)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 15.00    
8  GRAY FROST Feb09 Dec13 Nov17 Oct14 Sep29 (hess b)BAZE C 124 1.40    
 
SA-6   02/17/2025 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARIBBEAN KING Jan16 Nov22 Oct19 Aug25 Aug10 (alvarado rube)FRESU ANTONIO 124 4.50 ★    
2  LUCKY LAD Dec15 Nov30 Mar29 Mar01 Nov03 (medin)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 15.00 28% 2.60    
3  PLAYER B Jan17 Jan01 Dec26 Nov16 Jun07 (o'neil)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 3.50    
SCR  KIMMER Jan31 Nov15 Oct26 Oct11 Sep13 (vallejo genaro)BAZE C 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIZZ A GOOD THING Jan25 Dec29 Nov22 Sep29 Aug15 (knapp steve)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 5.00    
6  SCHWARZMEIER Jan23 Oct05 Sep07 Jul20 Jun22 (eurton peter)LEZCANO ABEL 124 4.00    
7  INVINCIBLE Jan16 Oct20 Sep22 Aug24 Jul20 (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00    
8  REXFORD Jan16 Nov23 Oct20 Aug22 May04 (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
SA-7   02/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EFFECTIVE GIG Nov10 Oct26 Sep29 Sep02 Aug24 (preci)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 20.00    
2  MY BUCKET LIST Dec15 Nov29 Nov15 Nov01 Oct13 (badilla manuel)DURAN F 124 4.50 9% 9.80    
3  REEF CITY Feb02 Nov24 Nov02 Oct06 Sep13 (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 12.00    
4  BOBBY'S ALIBI Jan25 Dec13 Nov16 Oct20 Sep22 (taylor faith)OROZCO E 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  DR. FLASH DANCER Jan16 Dec15 Nov24 Nov01 Sep29 (taylor fai)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  OUR EXPECTATION Jan16 Dec15 Nov16 Oct20 Aug16 (vallejo gen)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 6.00 10% 9.00    
7  RUNNIN UTE Nov24 Nov15 Sep29 Sep01 Aug03 (baker wa)ORANTES R 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
8  POUR ON THE COLE Jan05 Dec18 Nov29 Nov10 Nov01 (puentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 15.00    
9  TWILIGHT MOON Sep21 Jun30 Feb17 Jan28 Dec31 (b)ROJAS EDUARD 124 20.00    
10  AZURE STAR (IRE) Dec15 Nov08 Oct19 Oct04 Aug11 (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 124 10.00    
 
SA-8   02/17/2025 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61K) 3 ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANK BULLITT Jan19 Dec14 Aug31     (winick debbie)BAZE C 122 6.00    
2  KING OF DRAGONS Dec29 Nov29 Oct18 Aug30   (baltas richar)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  GOT'M COT'M Jan18 Dec15 Nov24 Nov01 Sep29 (brinkerhoff va)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 11% 7.70    
4  CALI CAT Jan19 Oct06 Aug30 Jul21   (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 13% 6.60    
SCR  NO POKING AROUND Jan19 Nov29 Oct25     (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 15.00    
6  NIJINSKY HALO Dec15 Nov23 Nov09 Sep15 Jul21 (mcdaniel)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 20.00    
7  THE SHILLELAGH Nov09 Oct25 Sep07     (hanson ryan)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 20.00    
8  THREE GEORGES Jan18 Nov29 Oct25 Sep29 Aug31 (krul)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 20.00    
9  BINGING Jan19 Dec01 Nov09 Oct06 Sep14 (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SILVERADO STORM Dec29 Nov30 Nov01 Oct11 Sep01 (mendez luis)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 15.00    
11  MR. MACHUPICCHU Jan19 Jan01 Dec14 Oct25 Oct11 (bonde jeff)ORANTES R 117 10.00 7% 12.50    
 
SA-9   02/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RYTHEM GIRL Jan20 Sep28 Aug16     (mclean b)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 20.00    
2  CARE FOR AUTISM Jan23 Dec06 Nov03 Sep14 Aug09 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 3.00 12% 7.30    
3  AUTISM INSPIRATION Jan23 Nov17 Oct26 Sep21 Aug09 (tamayo isid)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  SENSATIONAL Z Z Jan23 Dec06 Nov17 Jul07 May10 (rod)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00    
5  FULL MOON GRAZEN Jan23 Dec13 Nov08 Oct25 Sep21 (sherman m)FREY KYLE 120 4.00    
6  MISTY DANCER Jan23 Nov29 Nov09 Oct20   (mclean bill)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 20.00    
7  ROBIN'S TOUGH LOVE Jan31         (miyadi stev)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
8  RIVERSIDE ROSE Jul07 Jun08       (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-10   02/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIANT LUTHER Jan18 Nov29 Oct25 Sep20 Aug30 (alvarado rube)FRESU ANTONIO 122 12.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of MASTERFUL LASS by MIZZEN MAST)
2  FIX IT QUICK Jan18 Nov15       (puype )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00 ★    
  (by FLATTER out of RAPID REPAIR by ARCH)
3  GOT SOUL Jan18 Nov17 Aug09     (mathis andy)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SIENNA SKY by SKY MESA)
4  SHAPOVAL Jan18         (mullins jeff)BAZE C 122 3.00 8% 12.10    
  (by VRONSKY out of KHALAYA by ROCKY BAR)
5  SOGNO DI VINO Dec14 Nov15       (alvarado ru)HERRERA A 122 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MAKEME DREAM by QUALITY ROAD)
6  SANTA BARBARIAN Jan18         (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of EBONY CAT by CAT'S CAREER)
7  BENNY'S PUZZLE Jan18         (gutierrez jor)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 15.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of SHEZROXIIE by SCAT DADDY)
8  SABERTOOTH Dec29 Nov29 Nov01 Oct06 Sep08 (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 69% 0.40    
  (by GRAZEN out of HARD TO RESIST by JOHANNESBURG)
9  MASTER JACQUES Jan18 Dec08 Nov16     (papaprodrom)TOMITA AKATSUKI 122 30.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of LITTLE BOLOR by GOLDENCENTS)
10  GLASS OF JAMESON Jan18 Dec14       (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of SHEEZA MILKY WAY by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
11  SMOOTHWHSKYGOINDWN Jan01         (kruljac eric)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of CAROCUORE by TAPIT)
SCR  MILES FINCH Jan18 Nov29 Oct25     (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of SEASONTOPERFECTION by POTEEN)
SCR  GRAY THUNDER Jan19         (baltas richar)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
  (by HEAVEN'S GLORY out of DISREGARDED by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  SPEED OF ELON Jan19         (dunham dani)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
  (by CIRCUMFERENCE out of TAP THE TILL by TAPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.