Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Qh
Sunday - January 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LA-1   WIN (3/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/5)-(3/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/5)-(3/8/4/5)-(3/8/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LA-5   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LA-1   01/05/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISCHIEF'S KING Dec22 Nov09 Oct27 Sep22 Aug04 (farias jo)RAMIREZ S 125 2.00    
2  BEYOND COMPARE Dec08 Oct29 Sep29     (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 123 4.00    
3  AGRIGENTO Dec22 Nov10 Mar03 Dec30 Dec08 (raudale)LOPEZ REYNOSO 123 3.50 69% 0.50    
4  TOP WOLF Dec06 Nov10 Oct13 Sep22 Sep02 (stortz marcia)GARCIA ERICK 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MR. MERCEDES Oct20 Sep22 Aug20 Aug13 Jun12 (lucas )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOT CAKE Dec06 Oct20 Oct11 Aug18 Jun22 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 4.50    
7  MONGOLIAN FROST Jul07 Jun16 Apr05     (williams artur)ORTEGA CESAR 123 8.00    
8  RUN JONESZ BEGONEZ Nov23 Oct27 Jun09 May12 Apr14 (gonzale)RAMIREZ J 123 10.00 6% 15.90    
 
LA-5   01/05/2025 1650ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL ME Nov17 Sep08 Aug22 Jun29 May25 (uranga j)ORTEGA CESAR 123 15.00    
2  SMILING FOR NANA Sep21 Aug18       (aquino ange)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 123 1.60 56% 0.80    
3  JAYCEE Oct20 Sep08 May19 Apr21 Apr06 (aquino)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOMETHINGNEFARIOUS Dec14 Nov17 Sep28 Aug31 Jul20 (farias )RAMIREZ J 123 8.00    
5  MODERA Dec14 Nov17 Nov02 Oct20 Sep21 (treece charle)PAYERAS EDGAR 125 3.00    
6  SECRET OF WAR Dec14 Nov17 Nov02 Oct20 Sep29 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 125 2.00 18% 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.