Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Saturday - December 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(1/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(1/4/6)-(4/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-2   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(4/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(4/6/5)-(7/4/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-3   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(7/4/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(7/4/3/6)-(1/3/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-4   WIN (7/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/3/6)-(1/3/4/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/6)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/6/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
LRC-5   WIN (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/4/2)-(1/6/7/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/2)-(1/6/7/4)-(2/3/9/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
LRC-6   WIN (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/7/4)-(2/3/9/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/4)-(2/3/9/5)-(1/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-7   WIN (2/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/9/5)-(2/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/9/5)-(2/3/9/5)-(2/3/9/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/9/5)-(1/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/3/9/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/5/7/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
LRC-8   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(1/5/7/8/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
LRC-9   WIN (1/5/7/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/8/10)-(1/5/7/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/8/10)-(1/5/7/8/10)-(1/5/7/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   12/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAHOE SECRETS Oct11 Sep22 Jun30 May04 Apr07 (harris andr)AGUILAR ARMANDO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ABADON Sep21 Sep02 Aug17 Jul25 Jul06 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 125 8.00    
3  GRANADA FLAVOR Oct27 Sep02 Jul25 Jun23 Jun01 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 125 1.80 34% 2.00    
4  SEATTLE BREAKOUT Dec06 Nov08 Oct13 Sep27 Sep05 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 125 2.50    
5  TOM AND JAZZY Nov22 Oct27 Oct19 Aug29 Aug09 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 125 4.50    
6  FROST ALERT Dec07 Nov09 Aug16 Jul05 Sep16 (miller pete)CARMONA SERAFIN 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
LRC-2   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIGHT TRYST Aug02 Jun02 May12     (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
2  ZOOM ZOOM ZOYA Jan14         (koriner bria)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.50    
3  TOM'S STAR Nov09 Oct11 Sep06 Aug09 Jun29 (barba alexi)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 5.00    
4  MISS MICHE LADA Nov23 Feb15 Jan14 Dec01 Oct29 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
5  CHEERING FOR LAYLA Nov08         (garcia anto)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
6  OUR LOVIN FEELIN         (aquino angela )ORTEGA CESAR 122 12.00 17% 5.10    
 
LRC-3   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($28.5K) 2 F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRESS YOUR LUCK Jun30 May31       (o'neill doug)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 3.00    
2  THIRSTY DESTINY Oct19 Sep13 Aug17 Aug03 Jul06 (alvarez edw)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 4.00    
3  SHE'S MY FLAME Nov29 Oct25 Oct14 Sep20 Aug25 (knapp steve)BAZE C 120 8.00    
4  GRACIE'S BIG DAY Oct13 Aug25 Aug09 Jul20 Jul06 (ellis rona)ORANTES R 115 2.00 60% 0.70    
5  THIRSTY IN VEGAS Dec01 Oct04 Sep02 Aug04 Jun15 (knapp steve)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 6.00 7% 13.20    
6  NOSTRI VIRES Sep02 Aug04 Jul06 Jun15   (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 4.00 12% 7.70    
 
LRC-4   12/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN GIRVIN Nov30 Sep22 Aug09 May31 May17 (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 10.00    
2  SWEET VENGEANCE Oct06 Aug30 Aug08 Jul02 May26 (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 122 2.00    
3  JAI HO Nov17 Oct25 Aug09 Jun09 May17 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.50 10% 8.60    
4  STELLAR CAP Sep20 Sep07 Aug01 Jun29   (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 28% 2.50    
5  TOULOUSE DETRAC Nov17 Oct14 Jun30 May31 May04 (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 10.00    
6  PUTT FOR DOUGH Nov29 Aug18 Jul28 Jun14 May25 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00 5% 17.80    
7  BIG CELEBRATION Nov10 Oct18 Sep05 Jun29 Jun08 (mendez luis)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
 
LRC-5   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($39K) 2 ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARMZ AWAY Oct25 Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 Jun16 (mendez luis)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 3.50 53% 0.90    
  (by UPTOWN RYTHEM out of SOUTHERN PREACHER by MOSCOW BALLET (IRE))
2  IRISH LEGACY         (moger j)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANTHONY'S CROSS out of IRISH WINNIE by BROKEN VOW)
3  MR. MACHUPICCHU Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 Aug15 Jul25 (bonde jeff)ORANTES R 115 4.00 20% 4.10    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of MISSMACHUPICCHU by GOLDENCENTS)
4  SOGNO DI VINO Nov15         (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00 5% 18.80    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MAKEME DREAM by QUALITY ROAD)
5  FRANK BULLITT Aug31         (winick debbie)BAZE C 120 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of WINK AND WISH by TRIBAL RULE)
6  PAULA'S CANDIMAN         (gonzale)RAMIREZ J 120 30.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ONE UPPER by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  BIG NOTION Nov15         (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 120 3.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of SWEET CONNIE GIRL by LEMON DROP KID)
8  AINT BEHAVIN         (botello herac)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 10.00    
  (by STANFORD out of MISS DOLCE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9  DON'T HAVE ANOTHER Oct18         (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of IF NOT FOR YOU by HENNESSY)
 
LRC-6   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($39K) 2 F PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIO DEL SOL Oct12 Aug25       (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of LIMITLESS by DISCREET CAT)
2  GEMADINI Oct27 Aug31       (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 4.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CARADINI by BERNARDINI)
3  LAVA LUCY         (mendez luis)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 6.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of ONE MORE SUMMER by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
4  KULBIT         (nunez jes)RAMIREZ S 120 20.00 7% 12.90    
  (by FAVERSHAM out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  DONTTELLOURWIVES Sep27         (powell leonard)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of MY PRINCESS DAWN by MASTER COMMAND)
6  PRIME AND READY Oct20 Sep21       (baltas rich)HERRERA A 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SHOTGUN'S STAR by INCLUDE)
7  POLYTHENE PAM         (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 120 4.00 9% 10.30    
  (by VIOLENCE out of LOVE HURTS by LATIN AMERICAN)
 
LRC-7   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($39K) 2 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'ZA TEN Sep22 Sep14       (raudales jo)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 30.00    
  (by NATASHAS EXCESS out of T. G.'S BABE by MEMO (CHI))
2  NAP Nov10 Sep29 Aug09 Jul26 Jun16 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of THEN AND NOW by TIZNOW)
3  JAMES J. BRADDOCK         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SUNDAY RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  GOT SOUL Nov17 Aug09       (mathis andy)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SIENNA SKY by SKY MESA)
5  KEITHING THUNDER         (galvin w)BAZE C 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
  (by MESA THUNDER out of SOLAR EVENT by SOUGHT AFTER)
6  TEN FIGURES Nov15 Oct04 Sep07     (brinkerhoff)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of RUN ZIPPY RUN by CITY ZIP)
7  GREY AREA         (morfin sergio)ORTEGA CESAR 120 20.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of THE GIANT IS LIT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  ONE SMOKIN DUDE Nov24 Nov03 Oct25     (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 120 4.00    
  (by SMOKEM out of VERY FEW DETAILS by GREAT NOTION)
9  GLASS OF JAMESON         (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of SHEEZA MILKY WAY by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
 
LRC-8   12/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC13 FAST Los Alamitos Futurity Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMING Nov01 Sep08 Aug11     (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 0.40 53% 0.90    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SO STYLISH by JOHANNESBURG)
2  MELLENCAMP Nov17 Oct27       (baffert bob)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AMERICAN MODEL by BAYERN)
3  GETAWAY CAR Nov01 Oct05 Sep08 Aug11 Jul20 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by CURLIN out of SURRENDER NOW by MORNING LINE)
4  RANK Nov17 Oct14 Sep08 Aug11 Jul20 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 15.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of FABULOUS BABE by TOUCH GOLD)
5  JOURNALISM Nov17 Oct27       (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MOPOTISM by UNCLE MO)
 
LRC-9   12/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG GAIN Dec07 Nov16 Oct20 Sep13 Jan12 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.50 36% 1.70    
2  MARDY'S FISH Nov24 Oct27 Jan20     (damato phi)ORANTES R 117 8.00    
3  MISCHIEF MOMENTS Nov30 Jan12 Dec02 Oct21   (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 30.00    
4  SCORPION SHOT Jul21 May17 Apr05     (mullins jef)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 5.00    
5  BATTLE CRUISER Dec06 Aug15 Jul25 May11 Feb25 (sadler w)LEZCANO ABEL 122 1.80 22% 3.60    
6  CAUGHT IN THE DARK (GB) Dec01 Oct26 Sep27 Sep02 Aug11 (garcia antoni)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 30.00    
7  ARROMAX Nov10 Oct04 Sep06 Jul28 Aug04 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 3.00 12% 7.30    
8  ROYAL CURLIN Nov30 Nov09 Oct11 Sep20 Sep01 (galvin w)BAZE C 122 12.00 8% 11.80    
9  SUNSET STORM Nov30 Oct04 Sep21 Mar17 Feb02 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
10  BEAUS BUDDY         (sierra javi)BARANDELA SOFIA 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NOTCH Dec07 Nov09 Oct12 Sep15 Sep02 (aquino ange)HERRERA A 125 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.