Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Legacy Downs
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LEG-1   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(4/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
LEG-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LEG-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LEG-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(8/3/2)-(7/1/9/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LEG-5   WIN (8/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/2)-(8/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/2)-(8/3/2)-(8/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/3/2)-(7/1/9/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
LEG-6   WIN (7/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/5)-(7/1/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/5)-(7/1/9/5)-(7/1/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LEG-1   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Nebraska HBPA Stallion Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WANN BOMBER Sep21 Sep06 Aug18 Apr13   (anderson david )MCNEIL ERIK 116 6.00 6% 16.40    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of SWEETEDGE by ADDED EDGE)
SCR  ART'S RED WAVE Sep15 Sep01 Aug24 Jul29   (compton jesse)MARTINEZ R 119 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PERFECT ART by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
3  HERECOMESTROY Sep19 Feb09 Dec02 Nov04 Oct26 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 1.60    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of ONE FOUR THREE by MINESHAFT)
4  ROPE BURN Sep21 Aug31 May03 Apr13 Mar17 (musquiz a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of CHANTILLY LILLY by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR)
5  OXFORD OUTING Sep08 Aug31 Aug23 Aug10 Jul12 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 122 5.00    
  (by STROLL out of LADY BAN SHEE by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  DO IT LIKE KEVIN Sep13 Aug31 Aug23 Aug10 Jun30 (compton j)MEDINA ANGEL 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by STROLL out of DO IT LIKE KELA by KELA)
 
LEG-2   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  P R WHY NOT Sep14 Sep07 Sep02 May10 Apr06 (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ R 125 5.00    
2  MR. BIG SHOT Sep14 Sep07 Aug18 May04 Apr21 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50    
3  KENHEDOIT Sep07 Sep02 Aug18 May10 May04 (dieter da)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.00    
4  JUDGE'S BRIBE Sep15 Sep02 Aug16 May04 Apr20 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.50 64% 0.60    
5  FOR REEL Sep15 Sep02 Aug24 May04 Apr20 (rivera p)DELORME L 125 2.50 8% 11.70    
6  PAISANO JIM Sep07 Aug18 Apr21 Apr06 Mar23 (anderson c)KIMES C 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LEG-3   09/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  P R GIRLFRIEND Sep02 Aug17 May11 May10 Apr21 (bobier bob)BETHKE A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  JOCOTE Aug23 Aug17 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (wise jason)DELORME L 125 2.00 55% 0.80    
3  JOSIES SCORE Sep08 Sep02 Apr27 Apr06 Mar22 (rivera gr)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50    
4  JULIE JEAN Aug23 Aug17 May11 May10 Apr27 (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.50    
5  JUST LUCK Aug23 Aug17 Apr27 Apr06 Mar22 (anderson c)KIMES C 125 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  MISS ADDISYN K Sep14 Sep02 May04 Apr27 Apr06 (hines han)MCNEIL ERIK 125 3.00    
 
LEG-4   09/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT LOUDER Sep08 Sep02 Aug18 Jul29 Jun15 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 122 4.00    
2  WUMPMUG Sep16 Sep02 Aug18 Jul08 Jun24 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.50    
3  HOODWICKED Sep15 Sep02 Aug18 Aug03 Jul13 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ R 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  SKYLAR'S FIRE Sep16 Aug31 Aug24 Aug17 Jul29 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 125 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  GOSPEL FAITH Aug18 Jul18 Jul03 Jun27 Jun06 (williams f)KIMES C 125 4.50    
6  BETH'SWICKEDSMACK Sep16 Aug31 Jun15 May31 May10 (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  GLOBAL RISK Sep02 Aug15 Jul11 Jun23 Jun09 (riggs ron)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.00    
 
LEG-5   09/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Nebraska Hall Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE ROCKET Sep02 Aug19 Jul19 Jun01 Sep10 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 122 3.50    
  (by LORD NELSON out of REINA MARIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  FAMILY TRADITION (IRE) Sep21 Sep02 Aug18 Jul14 Jun29 (anderson c)KIMES C 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of FAMILY TREE by SMART STRIKE)
3  FORCED RANKING Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 Jul13 Jun17 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by MASTERY out of MARKET MAGIC by AFTER MARKET)
4  SHADOW MATTER Sep21 Aug17 Jul07 Jun08 Apr27 (condon schuyler)MCNEIL ERIK 120 4.00    
  (by MACHO UNO out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
5  VITALE Sep14 Sep02 Jul28 Jun06 May25 (ramaekers eric)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of JABBER DABBER DOO by PLEASANT TAP)
SCR  EMBER Sep21 Sep05 Jul26 Jul06 Jun20 (gourneau )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MYSTRA by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Sep21 Sep01 Jun29 Jun09 Jun01 (luke g)FLETCHER D 120 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of DO YOU LIKE ME NOW by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  MR NAVIGATOR Sep19 Sep02 Jul24 Jul03 Jun09 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 125 4.50 49% 1.00    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of JUNGLE GIRL by FOREST CAMP)
 
LEG-6   09/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN SMOOTH Sep14 Sep02 Jun27 May25 Apr27 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 22% 3.50    
2  FLY NIGHTLY Sep05 Aug25 Aug04 Jul27 Jun09 (ramaekers eric)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50    
3  WILBERT Aug31 Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 Apr13 (black marissa)DELORME L 125 4.50    
SCR  FLOOR IT Sep13 Sep08 Aug18 Jul19 Jun02 (arceo )FLETCHER D 125 8.00    
5  BUMPER POOL Sep14 Sep06 Aug10 Jul28 Jun29 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 10.00 5% 17.40    
6  BIRDIE MACHINE Sep14 Sep02 Aug25 Aug04 Jul06 (hines han)MCNEIL ERIK 125 5.00    
7  THUNDERSHOOK Sep14 Sep01 Jun30 Jun10 May27 (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.00 27% 2.60    
8  COPANELLO BAY Sep01 Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 Jun20 (anderson c)KIMES C 125 2.50    
9  OCEAN RIDE Sep15 Aug19 Aug05 Jul27 Jun29 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 6.00 15% 5.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.