Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Legacy Downs
Friday - September 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LEG-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
LEG-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LEG-3   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(4/5/3)-(5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LEG-4   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
LEG-5   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LEG-1   09/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Nebraska HBPA Oaks Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANT NATION Sep20 Sep13       (gonzalez v)DELORME L 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEDDING PARTY out of INDIAN STAR by INDIAN TERRITORY)
TAPITURE'S LADY Sep14 Jul19 Jun22 Jun02 May03 (rosin cot)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 1.20 38% 1.60    
  (by TAPITURE out of IMPECCABLE LADY by EXCHANGE RATE)
THATTA PEPPA Sep20 Aug31 Mar24 Mar10   (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 119 12.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of GOLD 'N WHITE by ALKE)
DIAMOND GO GIRL Sep20 Sep01 Apr26 Apr07 Mar24 (donlin d)KIMES C 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
  (by SING BABY SING out of FIFTY CURLS by CURLIN)
DIAMONDSFORAYBRIE Sep01 Aug24 May04 Apr12 Mar24 (johnson m)MEDINA ANGEL 119 3.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of SAMI'S SONG by KISSIN KRIS)
 
LEG-2   09/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED CHEEKS Sep13 Aug10 Jun22 May06 Mar21 (anderson c)KIMES C 125 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  MACHO STRIKER Sep08 May25 May10 Apr27 Mar28 (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00    
SASSY B KEEN Sep20 Sep09 Aug23 Jul29 Jul10 (ramaekers eric)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
MS I SPEIGHT Sep16 Aug24 Aug11 Jul28 May02 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 119 3.00    
VYING EDGE Aug23 Jul08 Jun08 May10 Apr21 (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.50    
SCR  R VOO'S TABOO Sep13 Sep02 Aug11 Jul11 Jun27 (rivera p)DELORME L 125 12.00    
 
LEG-3   09/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE ME UP BRADY Sep20 Sep14 Sep01 Aug11 Jul26 (spencer r)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50    
LIBERTARIAN Sep15 Aug23 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.00 53% 0.90    
CASPER JUSTICE Sep20 Sep06 Sep01 Aug09 Jul13 (gonzalez )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.50    
ROCK N JUNE BUG Sep06 Aug16 Jul28 Jul13 Jun15 (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00 10% 9.20    
JAMES'S MOONSHINE Sep15 Aug23 Aug16 Jul20 Jun15 (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 2.00 16% 5.40    
MY BOAZ Sep13 Sep02 Aug24 Aug16 May10 (musquiz j)DELORME L 125 5.00    
SCR  SILVER AND ACES Sep13 Sep01 May10 Mar29 Mar01 (bobier bob)KIMES C 125 10.00    
KNIGHTED Sep14 Sep01 Aug10 Jul24 Jul07 (muckey john)MCNEIL ERIK 125 3.50    
 
LEG-4   09/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT THE SEAM Sep19 Aug24 Jul07 Jun08 Feb19 (ramaekers eric)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50    
SCR  SISAWAY NOW Sep20 Sep06 Jul14 Jun16 May18 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 5.00    
HIDE THE DEMON Sep15 Sep02 Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 6.00 8% 11.90    
VERRAZANO FIRST Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 Jul20 May25 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 41% 1.40    
MYSTERIOUS TALE Sep05 Aug17 Jun26 Jun05 May04 (black marissa)DELORME L 125 2.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  SIDETOWN Jul10 Jun02 May15 May06 Apr01 (williams f)KIMES C 125 1.60    
BLUEGRASS BREEZE Apr26 Apr14 Mar23 Feb25 Dec16 (curran randy)BETHKE A 125 8.00    
DAVIDIC LINE Sep14 Aug26 Jul08 Jun17 May20 (condon schuyler)MCNEIL ERIK 125 3.00    
 
LEG-5   09/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLUSHY Sep20 Sep09 Aug16 Jul21 Jun16 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.00    
JULIARD HONOR Sep06 Aug24 Aug17 May11 Apr13 (compton james)FACKLER CHRIS 125 2.50 18% 4.70    
PEACH STREET Sep14 Sep01 Jul29 Jun05 Apr25 (hines hansen)KIMES C 125 5.00    
TRIBAL SPIRIT Sep15 Sep07 Aug24 Aug16 Jul12 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50    
GURL YOU FINE Sep05 May07 Apr13 Jun29 May06 (black marissa)DELORME L 125 1.60 51% 0.90    
SCR  GOSPEL SISTER Jul17 Jun26 May04 Apr23 Apr01 (williams steve )MCNEIL ERIK 125 3.00    
SCR  DODGEBALL Sep13 Aug18 Jun23 Jun17 May24 (compton jess)BETHKE A 125 6.00    
TRIP TO FREEDOM Sep13 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jun23 (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.