Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - September 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-6   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(1/5)-(4/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-7   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(4/6/5)-(3/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-8   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(3/4/6)-(4/8/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-9   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(4/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(4/8/3/5)-(1/6/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-10   WIN (4/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/5)-(1/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/5)-(1/6/2/3)-(8/6/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRM-11   WIN (1/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/3)-(8/6/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-12   WIN (8/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/3)-(8/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/3)-(8/6/4/3)-(8/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-6   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.978K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAHOMES Aug30 Aug11 Jul22 Jul12 Jun14 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 119 8.00 5% 18.90    
2  JUSTICE ONCE Sep06 Aug25 Jul22 Jun28 May25 (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 123 3.50    
3  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Sep14 Aug19 Jul13 Jun21 Jun10 (donlin larry )BACON W 114 3.00 39% 1.60    
4  STAR OF MINE Sep16 Aug24 Jul29 Jun22 Jun03 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 6.00    
5  WARRIOR'S RUN Sep06 Aug24 Jul22 Jul12 Jun28 (loy dewain)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.00    
6  DISCREET INVASION Sep14 Aug31 Aug19 Aug05 Jun28 (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
PRM-7   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROME RACER Sep07 Aug19 Jul12 Jun09 May26 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  SASSY AIN'T I Sep07 Aug18 Jul28 Jul14 Jun30 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 119 3.50    
3  REBEL RISING Aug18 Jul27 Jul03 May24 Sep18 (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 4.00    
4  REINA DEL SUR Sep02 Aug16 Jul21 Jun30 Jun17 (donlin larry)JORDAN R 120 5.00 ★    
5  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Sep02 Aug04 Jul14 Jun17 May25 (clay pat)BACON W 117 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  SET THE PACE Sep07 Jul05 Jun02 Apr28 Oct17 (arnett g)TOHILL S 122 3.00    
 
PRM-8   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30.339K) 2 ALL PT- 7:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAUSE I'M ROLLIN Sep14 Sep02 Jul26     (martin willi)JORDAN R 119 6.00    
2  HOORAY Sep08 Aug26       (martin willia)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.50    
3  HELADO Sep02 Aug09 Jun29     (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 4.00    
4  DONTDRINKANDDRIVE Aug26 Aug09 Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 (mcshane david)BACON W 114 3.00 55% 0.80    
5  ALLEGRISSIMO Sep14 Aug09 Jul26     (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BRASA Sep02 Aug12       (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
PRM-9   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEAM POWERED Aug31         (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of HARKNESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  TEN BUCKS A GLASS Aug31         (arnett g)CORBETT W 119 10.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of COUP DE COEUR by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  F B I BOB Aug31 Aug10 Jul22 Jul13 Jun16 (mcfarlane da)JORDAN R 119 1.20 59% 0.70    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SHE'LL TAKE CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
4  EXCELLENT EMPIRE Aug31 Jul13       (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 119 2.00 14% 6.00    
  (by BRAVAZO out of COLONIAL EMPRESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  S C JO STEEL         (condon schuyl)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 8.00    
  (by LEA out of JOIE DE VIVRE by RUNHAPPY)
6  GOLD DOLLAR         (hemba brad)BACON W 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SUSHI GIRL by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
PRM-10   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45.831K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOKED ON DREAMS Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun30 (mcshane david )SMITH STORMY 122 8.00    
2  LIL SCREECHER Sep13 Aug25 Jul27 Jul03 Jun07 (mcshane david)BACON W 113 15.00    
3  MIDNIGHT RULES Aug31 Aug12 Jul26 Jul03 Jun14 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 4.00 8% 11.20    
4  IOWA CLUB Aug25 Aug12 Jul26 May25 Jun09 (von kelly)CORBETT W 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
5  ELIOT NESS Aug25 Aug12 Jul14 Jun22 Jun08 (arnett g)TOHILL S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DAY MONEY Sep09 Aug31 Aug05 Jul22 Jul12 (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00    
7  MC COUGAR Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun22 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 118 5.00    
8  STROLLNTOTHEMARKET Sep13 Aug16 Jul22 Jun30 Jun15 (clay pat)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
PRM-11   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($27.498K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORNINGNOONANDNITE Sep08 Aug19 Jul29 Jul07 Sep17 (wessels a)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
2  TOMMY'S CRUE Aug31 Aug16 Jul07 Jun21 May27 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 10.00 11% 7.70    
3  RISKY WHISKY Sep13 Aug26 Aug11 Jul28 Jul03 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BIZ B QUICK Aug24 Aug04 Jun28 Jun09 May19 (wellington t)JORDAN R 122 6.00    
5  SWEET STROLL Sep09 Aug11 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.50    
6  FLAT OUT ROSE Jul15 Jun24 May31 May19 Dec19 (arnett g)BACON W 117 2.50 17% 4.80    
7  INCA STROLL Sep09 Jul15 Jun21 Jun09 May31 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 118 3.00    
 
PRM-12   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23.238K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKIN BOOTS Aug30 Aug09 Jul22 Jul08 Jun21 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 3.00    
2  TEMPLE CITY RUN Sep02 Aug05 Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 (martinez )DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
3  ROWDY RAY Sep09 Aug12 Jul12 Jun30 Jun17 (hargens bob)BACON W 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CINCO DE MO Sep09 Aug25 Aug09 Jul22 Jul08 (arnett g)TOHILL S 124 12.00 12% 7.50    
5  NATIVE HELLRAISER Sep02 Aug16 Jul19 Jun30 Jun10 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
6  I AM LOWKEY Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jun22 May25 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50 12% 7.30    
7  A BRUSH OF LUCK Sep02 Aug16 Jul21 Jul12 Jun23 (arceo salvado)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 5.00    
8  DEER RUN Sep13 Aug12 Jul21 Jun30 Jun17 (wellington t)JORDAN R 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.