Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Sunday - September 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(3/1/4)-(3/2/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-5   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(3/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(3/2/7/6)-(3/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (3/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/6)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/6)-(3/5/1)-(4/7/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-7   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(4/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(4/7/2/3)-(7/1/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-8   WIN (4/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/3)-(7/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-9   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   09/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UXMAL Aug26 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 May20 (guillory )DE CRUZ 124 1.80    
2  ACTION SEEKER Aug17 Jun30 Jun21 May27 Apr27 (arnett g)TOHILL S 122 6.00    
3  RONIC Aug19 Jul26 Jul06 Jun03 May05 (arnett g)BIRZER E 124 5.00 20% 4.10    
4  COMMANDER REX Sep14 Aug17 Jul28 Jun28 Jun15 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  SHIPS ON FIRE Sep06 Aug17 Aug04 Jul12 Jun24 (wellington t)JORDAN R 121 2.00    
 
PRM-5   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODE BY YOU Sep02 Sep10 Jul23 May19 Mar26 (arnett g)TOHILL S 123 4.00 18% 4.50    
2  NORTHERN GEM Sep07 Aug23 Jul12 Jun22 May26 (compton jesse)BACON W 114 6.00    
3  HOUSE WRECKER Sep09 Aug16 Jul21 Jun02 May18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Sep07 Dec28 Nov30 Nov07 Sep08 (martinez )DE CRUZ 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ATHENAS SONG Aug23 Aug05 Jul21 Dec10 Jul03 (arnett g)BIRZER E 116 3.50    
6  SABRIA Sep07 Aug18 Jul21 Jul03 Jun16 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 3.00    
 
PRM-6   09/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYE LOVE GOTTA GO Sep07 Aug18 Aug05 Jul12 Jul03 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 121 5.00    
2  KAYLA Sep09 Aug18 Jul19 Jun15 May20 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 3.50 14% 5.90    
3  SIMMERING (GB) Aug30 Aug11 Jun28 Jun09 Sep29 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 119 1.40 55% 0.80    
4  SING LUCY SING Sep13 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 Jun24 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 121 8.00    
5  MILLIGANMIKEANDME Sep07 Aug23 Jul28 Jul14 Jun22 (donlin larry )BACON W 119 6.00    
6  BAYLEYWICK Sep09 Aug18 Jul28 Jul03 Jun15 (foley sea)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MUMBLEBEE Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 Jul14 Jun03 (birzer bonnie)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 10.00 5% 18.90    
 
PRM-7   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND DESIGN Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 Jul14 Jul08 (anderson )DE CRUZ 121 6.00 8% 11.70    
2  LODE OF BLARNEY Sep08 Aug09 Jun21 Jun08 May19 (donlin d)BIRZER E 121 4.00    
3  HUNTERS GHOST Sep08 Aug19 Jun07 May12 Apr06 (arnett g)TOHILL S 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
4  BIG SWEDE Sep08 Aug19 Jul08 Jun02 May19 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 121 3.50    
5  DRILL'S LI'L MAN Sep06 Aug19 Jul08 Jun10 Apr14 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SAILOR CHOW Sep08 Aug26 Jul13 Jun30 Jun21 (arceo salvado)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 8.00    
 
PRM-8   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25.433K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNIEWAY U WANT IT Sep13 Sep01 Aug05 Jul26 Jul07 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 124 15.00    
2  SAMIRA (GER) Sep01 Aug05 Jul03 Jun16 May31 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
3  SORCERER'S GIRL Aug26 Jul29 Jul08 Jun09 May10 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  DREAMINONTHENILE Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 Jun16 (martin timot)JORDAN R 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
5  HOP AWAY HOTTIE Sep01 Aug11 Jul15 Jul05 Jun14 (arnett g)TOHILL S 124 5.00    
6  KASA Aug11 Jul05 Jun21 May31 Sep29 (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.00    
7  LUCKYHOTSTUFF Aug19 Aug05 Jul21 Jul03 Jun16 (martin timoth)BACON W 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
PRM-9   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30.339K) 2 F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAYUCAN         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 6.00 19% 4.40    
2  LILLY OF PRINCE         (johnston lan)JORDAN R 119 8.00 19% 4.40    
3  LUCKIE GOLDIE Aug25 Aug04 Jul06     (fett brandi)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 20.00    
4  GOLDEN BONITA Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jul06 Jun23 (guillory )DE CRUZ 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANNIETIME Sep08 Aug18 Aug04     (martin e)BIRZER E 119 2.50    
6  BORN FEARLESS Sep08 Aug04       (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.00    
7  DARK BEAUTY Sep01 Jul06       (hicklin chris)BACON W 114 3.50 23% 3.40    
8  PROMISED OATH Sep01 Aug18 Jul06 Jun15 May26 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.