Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Legacy Downs
Friday - September 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LEG-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
LEG-2   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/4)-(8/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LEG-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(8/2/1/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
LEG-4   WIN (8/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/3)-(8/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/3)-(8/2/1/3)-(8/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LEG-1   09/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Nebraska HBPA Derby Purse ($20K) 3 C/G PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSION IS A GO Aug31 Aug04 Jul19 Apr27 Apr14 (hines ann)MEDINA ANGEL 119 2.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of SCAT QUEEN by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  CANDY MAN CAM Sep06         (luke l)MARTINEZ R 119 6.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of MY SHADOW by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
3  LEGEND OF GOLD Aug31 Jul20 Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 (wise jason)KIMES C 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SAFETY NET by A.P. INDY)
4  KHOZANTHEDESTROYER Aug31 Aug11 Jul14 Jul03 Jun02 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 122 5.00 7% 14.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of KISS N KAREN by UNTUTTABLE)
5  PROOF OF PURCHASE Aug29 Jul24 Jul03 Jun23 Jun08 (rushton stacy)DELORME L 119 2.50    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHOPPER by BERNSTEIN)
 
LEG-2   09/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOJITO Sep02 Aug17 Aug03 Jul08 Jun26 (compton jesse)DELORME L 125 3.00    
2  OVERTAXED Sep08 Sep02 Aug03 Jul19 May15 (gonzalez )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.50 ★    
3  SISAWAY NOW Sep06 Jul14 Jun16 May18 May04 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 2.00 30% 2.30    
4  CAPTAIN DON Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 Jul13 Jun23 (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 29% 2.50    
5  CASPER JUSTICE Sep06 Sep01 Aug09 Jul13 Jun22 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50    
6  TAKE ME UP BRADY Sep14 Sep01 Aug11 Jul26 Jul05 (pearson m)KIMES C 125 4.00    
 
LEG-3   09/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDGE JENNINGS Sep07 Aug23 Apr12 Mar30 Mar15 (johnson m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 ★    
2  P R COMIN IN HOT Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jul28 Jun22 (haar j)DELORME L 125 2.50    
SCR  GOLDIES CLAIM Sep01 Aug24 May04 Apr12 Mar24 (anderson c)KIMES C 122 3.00    
4  CHANT NATION Sep13         (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  DIAMOND GO GIRL Sep01 Apr26 Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 (donlin la)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
6  BEAUTIFUL JUDGE Sep07 Apr12 Mar30 Mar15 Mar01 (curran randy)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.50    
7  THATTA PEPPA Aug31 Mar24 Mar10     (schindle)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 122 8.00    
 
LEG-4   09/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ HOPPIN Sep01 Aug18 Apr14 Mar29 Mar01 (sorensen mike)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00 11% 8.00    
2  PRINCESSOFCHITOWN Sep07 Sep01 Aug18 Jul21 Jun22 (ramaekers eric)KIMES C 125 5.00 20% 4.00    
3  TAPIT'S LADY Sep07 Aug16 May11 Apr14 Mar29 (bobier b)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOT TUB HOTTIE Aug30 Jul10 Jun06 May07 Mar10 (black marissa)DELORME L 125 2.50    
5  BOURN Sep07 Sep01 Aug18 Aug02 Jun08 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50    
6  EXPLOSIVE SKIES Sep05 Jun29 Apr24 Dec16 Nov16 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 4.50    
7  GIRLS IN CHARGE Sep07 Aug04 Jul14 Jun09 May10 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.00    
8  APRETTYLULABY Sep15 Sep07 Aug31 Jul21 Jul03 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 27% 2.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.