Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(6/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(6/1/4)-(1/3/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(1/3/4/2)-(5/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-3   WIN (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/4/2)-(5/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(3/1/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(3/1/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(3/1/8/6)-(5/6/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-5   WIN (3/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/8/6)-(5/6/3/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/6)-(5/6/3/2)-(5/9/3/1/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
LRC-6   WIN (5/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/3/2)-(5/9/3/1/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/2)-(5/9/3/1/4)-(4/2/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
LRC-7   WIN (5/9/3/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/1/4)-(5/9/3/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/1/4)-(5/9/3/1/4)-(5/9/3/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (5/9/3/1/4)-(4/2/8/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
LRC-8   WIN (4/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   09/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'ZA TEN         (raudale)RAMIREZ J 120 8.00 8% 11.70    
  (by NATASHAS EXCESS out of T. G.'S BABE by MEMO (CHI))
2  GREY POWER         (raudales jose)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 8.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of SHEZA EYEOPENER by GRAND REWARD)
3  MR. MACHUPICCHU Aug15 Jul25 Jun23 May31 May03 (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 1.00 45% 1.20    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of MISSMACHUPICCHU by GOLDENCENTS)
4  BINGING Aug11 Jul07       (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 1.80    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of KUVA by SQUARE EDDIE)
5  RUN ABBOUDY RUN         (gonzale)LOPEZ REYNOSO 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
  (by STANFORD out of SUGAR SPICE by TAVASCO)
 
LRC-2   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN WITHOUT KNOCKIN Aug02 Jul07 Jun02 Apr20   (eurton pete)HERRERA A 122 4.00 30% 2.40    
2  SMOOTH AS BUTTER Sep05 Aug01 Jul05 Jun09 May10 (papaprodrom)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 10.00    
3  DIXIE BLAZE Aug02 Jul07 Jun22 May25 Apr26 (knapp stev)ORANTES R 115 2.00    
4  STORMY GAL Aug29 Dec01 Nov02 Sep08 Jul29 (gomez ruben)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PROCEEDTOTHEROUTE Aug02         (wicker llo)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 122 20.00    
6  MIRACLE BALL Aug10         (garcia franci)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 1.20 31% 2.30    
 
LRC-3   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BIG CHEESEOLA Aug31 Aug10 Jul21 Jul06 Jun16 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 4.00 41% 1.50    
2  BILLY'S BET Aug31 Aug11 Mar08 Feb23 Jan27 (garcia franci)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 20.00 7% 13.90    
3  LETTHELIQUORTALK Aug17 Apr27 Mar29 Feb02 Dec03 (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 2.50 10% 9.10    
4  BIG SPLASH Dec30 Jun24 Jun10 May14 Apr28 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 8.00 9% 10.80    
5  TOP GUN CLASSIC Oct28 Aug04 Dec02 Jul24 Jul03 (gomez ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 126 15.00    
6  SPIRITIST Aug31 Aug10 Nov05 Oct09 Sep17 (wallace jer)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 15.00    
7  THIS IS A JOKE Jun30 Jun13       (palma hecto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 2.00    
8  POP D'ORO Aug31 Aug10 Jul21 Jul06 Jun22 (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 5.00    
 
LRC-4   09/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C'MON MAN Aug25 Aug04 May27 Sep02 Aug19 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 1.40    
2  MARKS HIP Aug25 Jun29 May26 May12 Apr11 (morfin sergio)ORTEGA CESAR 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SONIC BREES Sep01 Jul28 Dec09 Nov05 Sep24 (nunez jes)RAMIREZ S 126 8.00    
4  FACTS MATTER Jul28 Jun30 Apr13 Mar24 Mar10 (valenzuela)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 126 5.00 25% 3.10    
5  YES HE CAN Sep06 Aug25 Jul21 Jun22 Apr13 (lopez georg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  BIG CHEDDAR Jul06 Jun22 Dec17 Oct09 Sep24 (uranga )RAMIREZ J 126 4.00    
SCR  WHOA BUDDY Jul28 Jun22 Jan21 Dec31 Dec08 ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-5   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET HUMOR May04 Apr16 Mar26 Feb24 Feb11 (ortiz manuel)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  SPLASHED IN GOLD Aug16 Jul25 Jun09     (hess b)MALDONADO E 126 8.00    
3  PAT'S PADDOCK PICK Aug31 Aug10 Jun16 May27 Mar17 (knapp stev)ORANTES R 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  DEVIL AMONG US Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 Jun09 Apr26 (williams se)HERRERA A 126 2.50    
SCR  MONGOLIAN FROST Jul07 Jun16 Apr05     (williams a)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 120 15.00    
6  SMILING TONY Jan09         (raudale)RAMIREZ J 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  TAKAMAKAHARA Jul07 Jun29 Jun15 Apr05 Mar08 (flores antoni)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 10.00    
8  DAMAZIO Aug10 May04 Mar23 Nov20 Oct22 (mullins )ELLINGWOOD A 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  SIPPIN WHISKEY Aug16 May04 Apr08 Mar26 Sep11 (oviedo phil)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 10.00    
 
LRC-6   09/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SATELLITE HEART Aug15 Jul28 Jun09 May11 Apr07 (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 118 3.50    
2  FLYMETOTHEMOONBABY Aug16 Jul06 Jun23 Jun01 Apr28 (vallejo g)RAMIREZ S 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROMAN EMPRESS Aug17 Jul27 Jul06 Jun14 May19 (saavedra a)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 12.00 6% 14.90    
4  SHAMROCKIN Jul20 Jun13 May05 Mar16 Feb16 (aguirre paul)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.00    
5  ROSE DAWSON May25 Feb18 Jan13 Nov12 Oct14 (damato philip)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 2.00 32% 2.20    
6  MIZ CLUBCALI Aug29 Jul26 Jun15 May18 May03 (garcia)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 4.50 30% 2.40    
7  ACT OF SERENDIPITY Aug01 Jul06 Jun22 Sep16 Aug31 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 8.00    
 
LRC-7   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSTINCT D' ORO Aug09 Jul27 Jun07 May18 Apr26 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 4.00 8% 12.20    
2  GOSTOSO Jun22 May27 May18 Apr05 Mar01 (vallejo genar)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 15.00    
3  IMPEACHALOT Aug25 Aug04 Aug10     (koriner bri)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
4  LETSHAVEONEMORE Aug23 Aug11 Jul06 Jun14 May18 (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BEER MONEY Aug24 Aug15 Jul27 Jul07 Jun15 (stute gary)MALDONADO E 122 4.50 36% 1.70    
6  IMMELMANN Aug04 May24 May11 Apr28 Mar17 (nunez jes)RAMIREZ S 122 8.00    
7  LEADING THE PACE Aug18 Aug09 Jul21 Jul06 May27 (rodriguez f)HERRERA A 122 8.00    
8  EIGHT CLAP Aug23 Jul27 Jun07 May12 Mar29 (hobson sim)ORANTES R 115 5.00    
9  PETESOLDFASHIONED Sep01 Aug09 Jun22 Jun07 May18 (palma hector)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 5.00 14% 5.90    
 
LRC-8   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONT FIGHT THE FED Aug31 Aug03 Jun22 May19 Apr05 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of TAFFETA by SOUTHERN RHYTHM)
2  COWBOY MIKE Jun22 May04 Mar23 Mar04 Dec17 (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 9% 10.60    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of LUTESS by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  RHINO Aug22 Jul07 Jun07 May05 Apr19 (deleon rafael)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of ROCKIN DORITA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  MAN O ROSE Aug02 Jun16 May12 Apr20 Mar10 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 122 2.00 61% 0.60    
  (by STANFORD out of KATHLEEN ROSE by GOOD JOURNEY)
5  SHORTMAN Aug03 Jul05 Jun08 Apr27 Apr06 (vallejo ge)ORANTES R 122 20.00    
  (by PRINCE OF LOVE out of SHORTY JONES by SMARTY JONES)
6  EL REY DORADO Aug31 Aug03 Feb10 Jan13 Jan06 (ruis mick )GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BERRY KNOLL by VINDICATION)
7  COALINGA ROAD Aug03 Jun16 May25 May05 Mar24 (gaines)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 4.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of COCO ECOLO by JOHANNESBURG)
8  FAST DRAW MUNNINGS Aug31 Sep16 Aug12 May08 Feb19 (sadler w)BAZE C 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ZUZU'S PETALS by CARR DE NASKRA)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.