Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Harrah'S Columbus Nebraska
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HCN-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (4/5)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HCN-1   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBERT WHO Sep08 Aug24 Jul11 Jul03 Jun26 (johnson a)DELORME L 125 4.50    
POKER PLAY Sep07 Sep01 Jul13 Jun24 May27 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
WHOOPING JAY Sep01 Aug17 Jul13 Jun22 May25 (curran randy)FACKLER CHRIS 125 2.50    
OUTRIGHT Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 May12 Apr21 (schindler)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.00 66% 0.50    
SUMMER ALL YEAR Sep01 Jul04 Jun02 Apr05 Feb02 (mcclain stanley)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HCN-2   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ BRIGHTER Sep07 May11 Apr20 Apr06 Mar02 (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 14% 6.30    
LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT Sep02 May11 Apr06 Mar23 Mar02 (thompson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 8.00    
P R WHY NOT Sep07 Sep02 May10 Apr06 Oct08 (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.00    
MR. BIG SHOT Sep07 Aug18 May04 Apr21 Apr07 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.60 33% 2.10    
MISS ADDISYN K Sep02 May04 Apr27 Apr06 Mar22 (hines hansen)KIMES C 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
HCN-3   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTY JO Aug23 Jul29 Jul14 Jun24 Jun01 (bliss d)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00    
PEACH STREET Sep01 Jul29 Jun05 Apr25 Aug07 (hines hansen)KIMES C 125 2.00    
CHIVE UP Aug30 Jun20 May25 Apr27 Mar30 (wise jason)DELORME L 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
RICHIE'S GAL Sep01 Aug16 Aug03 Jul28 Apr26 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
ZIBBY TOO Sep02 Apr27 Apr06 Mar22 Mar02 (anderson davi)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.50 25% 3.00    
CANARY NATION Aug23 Jul14 Jun09 May26 May03 (foley sea)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.00    
 
HCN-4   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTERPIECE DAY Sep01 Jul28 Jul06 Jun13 Jun02 (muckey jo)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 13% 6.70    
CORTE Sep08 Aug17 Jun30 Jun15 Jun02 (ducheneaux ja)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
BUMPER POOL Sep06 Aug10 Jul28 Jun29 Jun22 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.00 21% 3.80    
PARLAY PETE Jul28 Jul14 Jun02 May18 May03 (haar robe)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.50 29% 2.50    
CAPTAIN DON Sep06 Aug23 Jul13 Jun23 Jun16 (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50    
SCHMOOZE Sep06 Aug23 Aug17 Jul28 Jul06 (bethke a)DELORME L 125 4.50    
 
HCN-5   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($6.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRDIE MACHINE Sep02 Aug25 Aug04 Jul06 Jun27 (hines hanse)DELORME L 125 6.00    
VITALE Sep02 Jul28 Jun06 May25 May04 (ness john)BETHKE A 125 3.00    
AMERICAN SMOOTH Sep02 Jun27 May25 Apr27 Apr13 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50    
THUNDERSHOOK Sep01 Jun30 Jun10 May27 Apr13 (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.00    
EXPLOSIVE PRIDE Sep02 Aug17 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 (johnston )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.50    
VERRAZANO FIRST Sep01 Aug17 Jul20 May25 Apr20 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 2.00 35% 1.80    
TWO WORLDS Jun20 Jun05 Apr16 Apr01 Feb15 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 1.80 36% 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.