Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Harrah'S Columbus Nebraska
Friday - September 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HCN-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(6/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
HCN-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
HCN-3   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(5/3/6)-(8/2/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HCN-4   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(8/2/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
HCN-5   WIN (8/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/3)-(8/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/3)-(8/2/4/3)-(8/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HCN-1   09/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOW SUM SMOKE Aug31 Aug16 Jul14 Jun28 Jun09 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.40 56% 0.80    
QUEEN OF THE ICE Sep07 Aug18 Jul20 Jun01 May17 (ducheneaux ja)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00 9% 10.00    
LOVESAFLYIN Jul20 Jun23 Jun15 Jun04 Jun03 (fackler )SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
COZZOLANI Aug31 Aug16 Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 2.50    
GAME TO PLAY Aug31 Aug18 Aug05 Jul03 May18 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50    
 
HCN-2   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL LEGS Aug31 Aug18 May04 Apr26 Apr12 (musquiz a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 1.40 25% 3.00    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of SWAN'S WING by TENPINS)
DEVIL'S JUSTICE         (burns dale)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.50    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of DEVIL WATER by DEVIL HIS DUE)
MISS BLAZEN         (gonzalez v)DELORME L 123 4.00    
  (by WEDDING PARTY out of KELLY AND COLA by INFORMED)
EYE EYE BIRDIE May04 Mar24       (luke gar)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of P R KIPLING'S GOLD by GOLD SCHLEIGER)
DAZZLE YOU MY WAY Aug31 Apr26 Apr12 Mar22 Feb25 (mcclain stanley)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of DAZZLE YOU by DAZZLING FALLS)
CHANT NATION         (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by WEDDING PARTY out of INDIAN STAR by INDIAN TERRITORY)
 
HCN-3   09/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE FOR RANSOM Jul27 Jul20 Jul13 Jul29 Jul22 (schindler jeff)DELORME L 125 5.00    
MY BOAZ Sep02 Aug24 Aug16 May10 Mar02 (musquiz j)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
SILVER AND ACES Sep01 May10 Mar29 Mar01 Feb25 (bobier b)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHIP BOSS Aug24 Jun21 May27 May11 Apr07 (foley sea)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.00    
RANDOM AFFAIR Sep01 Aug24 May03 Apr13 Oct21 (burns dal)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 24% 3.20    
SAMI'S TROOPER Sep02 Aug17 May30 May06 Mar28 (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
HCN-4   09/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOOR IT Sep08 Aug18 Jul19 Jun02 Mar22 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50    
FREEDOM FLASH Sep02 Aug24 Aug16 Jul28 Jul20 (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00    
RING TAILED TOOTER Sep02 Aug24 May04 Apr20 Apr05 (hoffman rober)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.50 32% 2.10    
RIVERSPORT Sep07 Sep02 Aug18 Aug03 Jul03 (gonzalez )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.50    
HANGIN' TUFF Aug31 Aug17 Aug01 Jul10 Feb24 (anderson c)KIMES C 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
HUMOR ME PLEASE Sep01 Aug17 Jul18 Jun21 Jun04 (gonzalez v)DELORME L 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HCN-5   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
W F JAZZ CAT Sep06 Jul14 Jun22 Jun16 Jun02 (duchenea)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 125 12.00    
RED CHEEKS Aug10 Jun22 May06 Mar21 Feb28 (anderson c)KIMES C 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
R VOO'S TABOO Sep02 Aug11 Jul11 Jun27 Jun09 (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ R 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
NOBLE CONNECTION Aug31 Aug17 Jun30 Jun16 Jun08 (deisley gale)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.00 13% 6.80    
DO IT LIKE KEVIN Aug31 Aug23 Aug10 Jun30 May25 (compton j)MEDINA ANGEL 123 5.00    
BERRYVILLE BULLET Aug31 Aug16 Jul18 Jul03 Jun19 (dixon tim)DELORME L 123 3.50    
SCR  WATCHNTHETIDEROLL Aug23 Aug16 Jul21 May18 May04 (schindler je)BETHKE A 123 6.00    
DANCIN ROCKET Aug02 Jul12 Jun10 May25 May17 (lemburg m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 1.80 39% 1.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.