Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Harrah'S Columbus Nebraska
Saturday - August 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HCN-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HCN-1   08/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLARA SMILES Apr26 Mar24 Feb25     (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.00    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of LIGHT DEELITES by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
ALL LEGS Aug18 May04 Apr26 Apr12 Mar24 (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of SWAN'S WING by TENPINS)
THATTA PEPPA Mar24 Mar10       (thomsen paula)RAMOS B 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of GOLD 'N WHITE by ALKE)
DAZZLE YOU MY WAY Apr26 Apr12 Mar22 Feb25   (mcclain stanley)MARTINEZ R 125 2.50    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of DAZZLE YOU by DAZZLING FALLS)
 
HCN-2   08/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.2K) 3 ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS VANELLOPE Aug25 Jul28 Jul11 Apr05   (ness john)KIMES C 117 2.00 56% 0.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of AVA RAE by SOARING EMPIRE)
OXFORD OUTING Aug23 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 May25 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 122 2.50    
  (by STROLL out of LADY BAN SHEE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  BUBBUBZ Aug03         (gonzalez )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 5.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of FINIAL by FIRST SAMURAI)
POND Aug16 Jul21 Jun08 May18 May04 (thompson )KELLENBERGER KODY 122 6.00 7% 14.20    
  (by FROSTED out of DIVINE RULE by EMPIRE MAKER)
DO IT LIKE KEVIN Aug23 Aug10 Jun30 May25 May11 (compton j)MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.50    
  (by STROLL out of DO IT LIKE KELA by KELA)
 
HCN-3   08/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE CONNECTION Aug17 Jun30 Jun16 Jun08 May27 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 125 3.00 41% 1.50    
HANGIN' TUFF Aug17 Aug01 Jul10 Feb24 Feb09 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
BERRYVILLE BULLET Aug16 Jul18 Jul03 Jun19 May14 (dixon tim)KIMES C 121 2.50    
COPPER SKY Jun30 Jun15 May18 Apr23 Apr08 (rushton templ)FACKLER CHRIS 121 6.00 8% 12.30    
TAKING ENERGY Aug23 Jul17 Jul10 Jun27 Jun20 (blatchford g)BETHKE A 125 4.50    
 
HCN-4   08/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEBRASKA RED Apr21 Apr06 Mar24 Mar10 Jun04 (bobier bob)BETHKE A 125 8.00 7% 14.00    
APRETTYLULABY Jul21 Jul03 May17 May04 Apr16 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00    
GAME TO PLAY Aug18 Aug05 Jul03 May18 Mar17 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50    
BLOW SUM SMOKE Aug16 Jul14 Jun28 Jun09 May18 (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
UNPLUCKED GEM Aug01 Jun30 Apr12 Mar10 Nov30 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 15% 5.70    
COZZOLANI Aug16 Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 May13 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 2.00    
 
HCN-5   08/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Columbus Breeders' Special Purse ($15K) 3 C/G PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKETSHIP RUN Apr27 Apr14 Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 (anderson c)KIMES C 118 3.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of SHESALUCKYFLAG by LUCKY LIONEL)
BEST UP May03 Apr13       (rivera p)RAMOS B 118 4.50 22% 3.50    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of BETTER AND BETTER by BODEMEISTER)
ROPE BURN May03 Apr13 Mar17 Mar03   (musquiz a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 116 6.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of CHANTILLY LILLY by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR)
MISSION IS A GO Aug04 Jul19 Apr27 Apr14 Mar30 (hines ann)MEDINA ANGEL 120 2.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of SCAT QUEEN by SCAT DADDY)
ONE LUCKY BOY Jul25 Jul07 Jun09 Apr27 Apr14 (wise jason)MCNEIL BRYAN 118 3.50    
  (by ONE GO ALL GO out of LEMONSRGOODONGRASS by LEMON DROP KID)
KHOZANTHEDESTROYER Aug11 Jul14 Jul03 Jun02 May17 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 118 2.50 13% 6.80    
  (by KHOZAN out of KISS N KAREN by UNTUTTABLE)
LEGEND OF GOLD Jul20 Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 Mar17 (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 124 1.80 35% 1.80    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SAFETY NET by A.P. INDY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.