Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Rosa
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SR-1   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/1/5)-(6/5/3/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/5)-(6/5/3/4)-(1/2/6/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SR-2   WIN (6/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/3/4)-(1/2/6/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/4)-(1/2/6/4)-(3/1/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SR-3   WIN (1/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/6/4)-(3/1/7/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/4)-(3/1/7/6)-(6/3/2/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SR-4   WIN (3/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/7/6)-(6/3/2/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/6)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/8/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SR-5   WIN (6/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/1)-(6/8/2/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/1)-(6/8/2/3)-(2/3/4/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SR-6   WIN (6/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/3)-(6/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/3)-(6/8/2/3)-(6/8/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/2/3)-(2/3/4/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/3)-(2/3/4/7)-(9/7/10/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SR-7   WIN (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/4/7)-(9/7/10/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SR-8   WIN (9/7/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/10/3)-(9/7/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/10/3)-(9/7/10/3)-(9/7/10/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SR-1   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADDY'S HONEY Jul27 Jun29 Jun08 May18 Apr20 (sherman m)DURAN F 122 4.00 8% 10.90    
2  LOOKOUT PASS Jul13 Jun29 May10 Apr22 Apr09 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  R MARILYN LONHRO Jul26 Jun22 May24 Apr07 Mar09 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 3.50    
4  BEVERLY T Jul05         (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 122 15.00    
5  ADDY PEARL Aug11 Jul27 Feb24 Jan01 Dec08 (preciado g)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 20.00 7% 13.70    
6  MAMARANDO Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 May18 Apr12 (preciado gu)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  MISS PERU Jun29 Jun15 Jun02 May12 Apr12 (rondan f)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 8.00    
 
SR-2   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. ONE Jul20 Jun30       (rodriguez )MONROY FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
2  DRIVE BY Aug09 Jun22 May25 May04 Apr06 (rondan f)BAUTISTA L 115 6.00    
3  BOLD ENCOUNTER Jun22 May25 May04 Apr07 Mar16 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
4  CONEJO MALO Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 Jun07 May18 (ramos je)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  AUTISM INCLUSION Jul27 Jul14 Dec30 Dec10 Nov24 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
6  LEADING THE PACE Aug09 Jul21 Jul06 May27 Feb03 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 122 1.20 40% 1.50    
7  HOT CAKE Jun22 May25 Apr28 Apr07 Mar16 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 12.00    
 
SR-3   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C HER BEAUTY Jul13 Mar22 Aug13 Jun16 Apr29 (paldaniu)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 2.50 41% 1.50    
2  ZIPPIDY DU DAD Aug03 Jun29 Jul07     (taylor faith)SANGUINETTI A 125 3.00 35% 1.90    
3  STARLIT HARBOR Aug10 Jun02 May04 Apr05   (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 122 4.50    
4  RICKELLE Jun20 May18 Apr10 Mar16 Feb24 (koch a)FLORES PABLO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LEEDSTHESKY Jun29 Jun08 May18 Apr27 Apr06 (badilla ma)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
6  MAGGIE'S FAYE Aug03 Jul05 Jun14 Jun02 May11 (miller quentin )MEEKS MICAH 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LADY PROUD Jun29 May12 Apr06 Mar16   (sherman m)DURAN F 122 20.00    
8  WINNING LUCK May10 Mar15       (sherman ste)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50    
 
SR-4   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS THIEVERY Jul21 Jul05 Jun08 May27 May12 (torres arno)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 3.50 16% 5.20    
2  BLUE SILVER Aug10 May27 Nov10 Sep24 Jun10 (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 121 15.00    
3  RICH GOLD Jul20 Jun16 Apr27 Apr14 Mar22 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 1.40 52% 0.90    
4  BROTHER O' BRIEN Jul28 Jun28 Jun02 May12 Apr26 (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 6.00    
5  LET THETRUTHBETOLD Aug04 Jun30 May10     (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
6  AMANOFMYSTATURE Jul28 Jul13 Jun23 May27 May12 (lenz)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SEA DOG Aug04 Jul05 Jun09 May25 May04 (jauregui j)RIVERA SANTOS 123 5.00 8% 11.70    
8  IT AINT OVER Jul28 Jun28 Jun07 May27 Apr26 (rondan f)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 10.00    
 
SR-5   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTER SUNSET Aug03 Jun23 May25 Apr21 Mar31 (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LUSMA Aug09 Jul28 Feb02 Jan01 Nov25 (perez s)HERRERA HUGO 122 5.00 12% 7.60    
3  KRISTIN LEE Jul28 Jun21 May12 Feb02 Jan06 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
4  POKER ALICE Jul28 Jul07 Jun02 Apr26 Mar29 (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 6.00    
5  CONQUEST SECRET Aug11 Jul28 Aug28 Jul23   (perez sergio )COUTON JULIEN 122 20.00    
6  BROADWAY TIGER May12 Mar31 Mar03 Feb02 Jan13 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  WARREN'S WILD RIDE Aug03 Jul20 Jul05 Jun14 May17 (lenzini mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 4.50    
8  WHY LOOKY HERE Apr05 Mar16 Feb25     (specht steve)ALVARADO T 122 10.00    
 
SR-6   08/18/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LAYLA RAE Jul27 Jun14 May31 Apr07 Mar09 (tekos ange)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 10.00    
2  BACALAR Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 May05 Apr05 (miranda e)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 6.00 10% 8.80    
3  SHOUT IT OUT Aug10 Jun30 Jun16 May27 Apr10 (bainum kell)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIGER QUEEN Aug10 Jul28 Jul06 Jun08 Apr22 (tamayo isidro)ALVARADO T 125 0.80    
5  BLUE BREEZE May27 May05 Mar31 Mar10 Feb16 (haley gloria)COUTON JULIEN 125 15.00    
6  PRINCESS HEKAWI Jul14 Jun21 Jun07 Sep10 Aug03 (mccanna tim)DURAN F 125 8.00 55% 0.80    
7  MORO FIRST CLASS Jul27 Jul13 Jun16 Sep30 Sep18 (rubin i)HERRERA HUGO 125 15.00    
8  JULIET'S KITCHEN Aug03 Jul14 Jul05 May27 May05 (ramos jesu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.50 12% 7.10    
 
SR-7   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRONG DIRECTION Jul28 Jun07 May04 Apr26 Mar29 (rodrigue)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 4.00    
2  RULER OF ANGELS Aug04 Jul14 Jul07 Jun23 Jun02 (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Jul14 Jun23 May27 Apr27 Apr06 (rodriguez f)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
4  CROSS EXAMINE Jul25 Jul07 Jun08 May06 Apr21 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 6.00 19% 4.40    
5  BIG DIFFERENCE Aug02 Jun23 May25 Mar10 Aug13 (mcdaniel w )GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 20.00    
6  HERECOMEGEORGIEBOY Aug09 Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 Apr26 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 125 4.50    
7  STAY LIT Jul14 Jun23 Jun07 May04 Apr12 (johnson terry)FLORES P 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BIG STICK Aug09 Jul04 Jun15 May07 Apr16 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 123 15.00    
 
SR-8   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 2 F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEDOWNTOMESSAROUND Jul28         (thomas j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 15.00    
2  A CLEAR BEHEST Aug09 Jul20 Jul05 Jun08   (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 3.50    
3  PLAY MISTY CAT Jul28 Jun08       (trujillo vi)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEACHLEY Jul28 Jun22       (mathis andy)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 4.50    
SCR  RETINA VIBRATING Jul28 Jul05       (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 15.00    
6  SURF STAR Aug09 Jul20 Jul05 Jun08 May10 (franko dan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 3.00    
7  JAGER ANGEL         (jauregui o)MONROY FRANCISCO 120 12.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  CHATTY LEROYBROWN Aug09 Jul20 Jul07 Jun22 Jun15 (perez sergio )COUTON JULIEN 120 10.00    
9  DIALINGFORDIAMONDS         (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
10  THIRSTY NIC         (taylor faith)DURAN F 120 10.00 18% 4.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.