Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-5   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(5/1)-(5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-6   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(5/1)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-7   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(1/6/3)-(1/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-8   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(1/2/5)-(5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-9   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PRM-10   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-5   08/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNING BAYOU         (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  BIG SWAG Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 Jun16   (schnell don)JORDAN R 119 1.20 54% 0.80    
3  KING OF SWING Jul22 Jun28       (parsons riley)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SAMMY'S A GIVINE Jul13 Jun01       (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 4.00    
5  WAR ECHO Jul22         (schnell d)DE CRUZ 119 3.50    
 
PRM-6   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDER REX Jul28 Jun28 Jun15 Jun03 May07 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 122 5.00 5% 17.70    
2  ACTION SEEKER Jun30 Jun21 May27 Apr27 Apr07 (arnett g)JORDAN R 124 1.80    
3  KOSELIO Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 Jun02 May17 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 6.00 ★    
4  GREY STORM Jun21 Jun03 May18 Mar26 Jan25 (gonzalez r)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.00    
5  DRIFTER Jul28 Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 Apr04 (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 122 3.50 67% 0.50    
 
PRM-7   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.138K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIT A BAD NEWS Jul29 Jul08 Jun01 Sep29 Sep16 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  SONG OF PRAISE Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 May17 Sep29 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 124 8.00    
3  AMERICAN SUE Jul29 Jul08 Jun29 Jun14 May17 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50    
4  SKYLAR'S FIRE Jul29 Jul08 Jun28 Sep24 Aug13 (arnett g)TOHILL S 124 3.00 ★    
5  MY FIRING LINE Jul29 Jun29 Sep18 Sep01 Jun19 (jacquot gene)BACON W 119 2.00 66% 0.50    
SCR  BETH'SWICKEDSMACK Jun15 May31 May10 Sep15 Sep02 (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00    
 
PRM-8   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.623K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOSKA'S RULER Jul12 Jun24 May26 May10 Sep11 (martin timoth)BACON W 117 1.60 59% 0.70    
2  FRANKLY EPIC Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 Sep24 Sep11 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
3  SECRET BLARNEY Jul26 Jun24 Jun09 May26 Sep30 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 8.00 5% 18.90    
4  JAYSKER Jul26 Jun24 May20 Dec20 Dec03 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 3.50    
5  AMERICAN POSSE Aug05 Jul05 Jun15 May27 Sep30 (arnett g)TOHILL S 122 4.00    
6  SHUT UP MAN Aug03 Jun21 May19 Mar03 Jan27 (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.00 10% 9.40    
 
PRM-9   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.857K) 3UP ALL PT-10:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACE GUARD Jul14 Jun09 May19 Dec13 Nov24 (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 120 5.00 39% 1.50    
2  LATE FOR LUNCH Jun09 Sep30 Sep18 Sep04 Aug04 (jordan j)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
3  C R INSTA GATOR Jul26 Jul13 May31 May10 Sep30 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 124 1.80    
4  SUCCESSION (GB) Jul26 Jul13 Jun23 May31 May10 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 122 4.00    
5  TAP THE BRAKES Jul29 Jun17 May26 Apr22 Sep29 (arceo sal)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHIPS ON FIRE Aug04 Jul12 Jun24 Jun09 May20 (wellington t)JORDAN R 124 2.50    
 
PRM-10   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 3UP ALL PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RULING THE ROOST Sep30 Sep16 Oct01 Sep23 Jul04 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of UNIQUE STYLE by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  GO GORM GO         (martin william )CORBETT W 119 5.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of NEVERTOOSALTY by SALT LAKE)
SCR  FIVE WON FIVE Jul27 Jul03       (chleborad lyn)BACON W 119 2.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MONDATTA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  WILY WADE Aug10 Jun30 May17 Aug06 Jul07 (mcshane d)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 12% 7.30    
  (by DANZA out of SCARLETT'S SEQUEL by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  PREACHER MAN SAM Aug10 Jul27 Jul03 Jun09   (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.00 52% 0.90    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of REVERENTLY by PULPIT)
6  SAVOYA RETURN Jul27         (martin n)BIRZER E 119 3.50    
  (by SERENGETI out of ZES T CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  GETTISTOWN         (martin willi)JORDAN R 119 6.00    
  (by SERENGETI out of HOMETOWN QUEEN by PLEASANT COLONY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.