Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(4/2/3)-(3/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-5   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(3/6/2)-(1/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-6   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(1/6/4)-(6/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-8   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRM-9   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOJO Jul13 Jun24 May17 Apr23 Apr01 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 125 1.60 23% 3.30    
TOFFEE Jun24 Jun07 May05 Mar21 Jan27 (peters de)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 16% 5.40    
ARRESTED Jul13 Jun24 Jul31 Jul08 Jun24 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 125 5.00    
STAY FABULOUS Jul12 Jun07 Mar24 Sep15 Aug25 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 6.00    
PRETTYWITTYANDWISE Jul07 Jun08 May20 Apr17 Mar27 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 2.00 38% 1.70    
 
PRM-5   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26.078K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKSON Jul27 Jun30 Sep30 Sep04   (jacquot gene)BACON W 114 3.00    
MADETHEDEAN'SLIST Jul03 Jun15 May27 May17 Sep30 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
DO IT LIKE KEVIN Jun30 May25 May11 Sep18 Aug27 (compton j)MEDINA ANGEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
PREACHER MAN SAM Jul27 Jul03 Jun09     (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
OXFORD OUTING Jul12 Jun21 May25 May11 Sep04 (compton jess)JORDAN R 119 6.00    
WILY WADE Jun30 May17 Aug06 Jul07 Jun18 (mcshane d)TRIANA JR 124 4.00    
 
PRM-6   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34.5K) 2 ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S TIME         (von kelly)CORBETT W 116 4.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MSBROOKLYNBRAWLER by INTO MISCHIEF)
DRAW YOUR BOW Jul22 Jun16       (swan patrick )BACON W 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUPID out of ANNOULA by AWESOME AGAIN)
MAVERAMA Jul22 Jul06 Jun28     (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SADIE BE GOOD by BIG DRAMA)
F B I BOB Jul22 Jul13 Jun16     (mcfarlane da)JORDAN R 119 3.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SHE'LL TAKE CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
COLD SECURITY         (condon sc)DE CRUZ 116 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of COLD FOREST by FORESTRY)
BIG SWAG Jul13 Jun28 Jun16     (schnell d)TRIANA JR 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of BIG BREAK by MR. BIG)
 
PRM-7   08/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINCERELY MINE Jul20 Jul03 Jun15 Jun01 May11 (fett brandi)JORDAN R 118 1.80 69% 0.50    
  (by ALTERNATION out of INSINCERELY YOURS by FLATTER)
STUMPY'S LOVE SONG Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 May27 May11 (donlin d)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00    
  (by DANZA out of LOVESMEBACK by HOLD ME BACK)
BAD BOY BRAWNY Jul29 Jul12 Jun23 Jun09 May25 (hargens bob)BACON W 119 3.50    
  (by STROLL out of GET REAL by UNBRIDLED)
CAN'T BE CAUGHT Jul27 Jul14 Jun21 May26 Aug21 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MICCOSUKEE MISS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
EDGY LOVER Jul14 Jun21 Jun10 May11 Oct28 (murphy)FLETCHER D 124 4.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of A. J.'S LOVE by LION HEART)
ORPHAN SANDY Jul27 Jul14 Jul03 Jun07   (young nicole)CORBETT W 118 8.00 9% 9.60    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of WARMHEARTED SANDY by SAY FLORIDA SANDY)
 
PRM-8   08/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cyclones Purse ($75K) 3UP C/G PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARREN L Jul20 May31 Apr21 Mar16 Sep30 (anderson l)BIRZER E 121 3.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of OUR SWEET MARY B by OFFICER)
MINECRAFT MANIAC Jul20 Jun22 Sep30 Sep04 Aug12 (anderson l)TOHILL S 117 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of OUR SWEET MARY B by OFFICER)
WEARACAP Jul13 Jun09 May18 Sep16   (wellington tom)CORBETT W 119 3.50 36% 1.70    
  (by FORMIDABLE out of ADDEDUP NICELY by ADDED EDGE)
FINISH UP Jul20 Jun22 May31 Sep30 Sep04 (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of GOLDEN ELITE by ELITE SQUADRON)
TIME GOES ON Jul20 Jun22 Sep30 Aug12 Jul22 (von ke)JORDAN R 115 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DAWNIE MACHO by MACHO UNO)
AIN'T LIFE GRAND Jul06 Jun08 May05 Mar23 Feb25 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 126 1.40 37% 1.70    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CAT D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  BIG LUKE Jul20 Jun22 May31 May10 Jul22 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 117 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of WARMHEARTED SANDY by SAY FLORIDA SANDY)
 
PRM-9   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPULANTE Jul22 May25 Mar29 Jan31 Jan19 (arnett g)BIRZER E 122 3.00    
SCR  MR CREED Aug02 May18 Apr26 Apr05 Mar23 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 20.00    
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Aug02 Jul19 Jun13 May04 Apr12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
CHARTER OAK Jul20 Jun21 Jun07 Apr12 Mar14 (martinez )DE CRUZ 124 4.50    
LIGHTNING STRUCK Jul10 Jun24 Jun07 May23 May03 (green ike)JORDAN R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
DAWSON'S STORM Jul20 Jun01 May11 Sep30 Aug26 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 117 2.50 47% 1.10    
BUGLER Jul03 Jun16 May25 Apr24 Apr08 (kenney ryan)ROMAN KEVIN 124 10.00 25% 3.00    
ROMAN GIANT Jul22 Jun30 Jun07 May25 Apr19 (mcdonald )MEDINA ANGEL 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.