Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sacramento
Sunday - July 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAC-2   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/7) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6)-(3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6)-(3/5/1)-(4/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SAC-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(4/3/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(4/3/7/8)-(4/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAC-4   WIN (4/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/7/8)-(4/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/8)-(4/6/5)-(4/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAC-5   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(4/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(4/2/3)-(5/4/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAC-6   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/4/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(5/4/7/3)-(6/3/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAC-7   WIN (5/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/7/3)-(6/3/1/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SAC-8   WIN (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SAC-2   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUTISM MIND         (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00    
SCR  DAPITAN STAR Jun13 May18 Apr20     (bonde jeff)HERRERA HUGO 122 6.00    
BESKAR Jul06 Mar24 Nov12 Oct16   (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 2.50    
SCR  ONLY ALLEGED Jun16 May12       (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
SCR  FRANK THE CAT Jun09         (trujillo vict)OROZCO IRVING 125 10.00    
HOT GOBLIN Jun28 Jun02 May11 Apr20 Mar29 (ramirez miguel)ALVARADO T 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
MONSIEUR Jun21 Jun01 May04 Apr20 Jan28 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 5.00    
 
SAC-3   07/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAZZY BULL HORN Jun23         (ruvalcaba a)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of STRAIT JAZZ by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
IT'S A FACTOR Jun09 May26       (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of LIBERTY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
NIJINSKY HALO Jun23 Jun09 May10     (mcdaniel l)ALVARADO T 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by SURF CAT out of BLUE SKY HOLIDAY by VICTORY GALLOP)
SCR  CALIFORNIA DREAMIN Jun23         (mcdaniel l)OROZCO IRVING 120 10.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of O'BERNADETTE by BERNARDINI)
LAST CALL VRON         (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 10.00 14% 6.10    
  (by VRONSKY out of GRAY DARLING by GRAYDAR)
BIG BAD BERT May26         (perez s)HERRERA HUGO 120 4.00    
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of BAY BREEZE by HIGH BRITE)
DORIS AVENUE         (paldaniu)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 5.00    
  (by OM out of DORIS JOHNSON by LUCKY J. H.)
 
SAC-4   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARONA'S WILD BOY Jun29 May11 Apr21 Mar22 Mar02 (stortz marcia)ALVARADO T 125 10.00    
TALBOT BAY Jun29 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar22 (bautista jorg)RIVERA SANTOS 127 4.50    
GALLAND DE BESOS Jun09 Jun01 May05 May21 May04 (ramos jesus)HERRERA HUGO 125 2.50 30% 2.30    
BALLYVAUGHAN GIG Oct01 Aug28 Jul02     (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.00 35% 1.90    
SATANTA Jun30 Jun01 May05 Apr12 Mar23 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 12.00    
NOT MY RODEO Jun21 May26 Apr07 Feb18 Dec10 (delima clifford)DURAN F 125 10.00    
REGAL PATRIOT Jun30 Jun09 Feb23 Jan15   (torres arnold)OROZCO IRVING 125 5.00 8% 12.00    
IMPERIAL HORNET Jun30 May12 Apr28 Mar30 Mar09 (calvario sa)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAC-5   07/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRUIDIC Jun09 May18 May04 Apr13 Mar24 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 3.50    
TRINIDAD Jun22 Jun01 Apr12 Mar10 Feb09 (hansen roger)ALVARADO T 125 6.00    
DOO WOP DON Jun16 Jun01 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 4.00    
WE CAN May11 Apr21 Mar29 Mar03 Feb10 (meier mont)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
ENOS SLAUGHTER Jul07 Jun16 Nov18 Oct30 Oct07 (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 5.00 7% 13.80    
NO SECRET Jun16 May25 Apr16 Mar24 Mar09 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  ECOLOGIST Jun29 Jun07 May18 Mar31 Mar16 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 10.00    
 
SAC-6   07/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-10:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STONE'S RIVER Jul13 Jun22 May27 Feb10 Jan13 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 3.00    
LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) Jul13 Jun30 Jun07 May12 Apr21 (ramos jesu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.00 12% 7.10    
ITS THIEVERY Jul05 Jun08 May27 May12 Apr21 (torre)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
HEAT N REHEAT Jun07 May18 Apr09 Jan26 Jan13 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
ESTABLISHED Jun28 Jun09 May05 Apr07 Mar03 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
UNION WAVE Jun30 Jun16 May25 May04 Apr13 (bellasis tim)HERRERA HUGO 121 6.00    
 
SAC-7   07/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-10:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROSS PROFIT Jul06 Jun09 May05 Mar17 Mar02 (torres arnold)OROZCO IRVING 121 4.00    
HAY JUAN Jul06 Jun15 May18 Apr28 Mar30 (ramos jesus)HERRERA HUGO 123 6.00    
MR. T'S THIRSTY Jun22 May05 Apr13 Mar22 Feb11 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
ALMANERA (IRE) Jun15 May27 Aug12 Jul23 Jun10 (thomas jame)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 5.00 30% 2.30    
MY DOMINATOR Jul06 Jun28 Jun15 May18 May05 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
OUR BOLD PRINCE Jun28 Jun09 May05 Apr12 Mar22 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.50    
YES HE CAN Jun22 Apr13 Mar24 Feb10 Jan21 (rivera le)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 121 10.00 17% 4.90    
 
SAC-8   07/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-11:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTCHA LOOKIN Jun30 Jun15 Jun01 May25 May04 (rivera le)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 5.00 7% 13.60    
GOLF DRAMA Jul04 Jun15 Apr06 Mar09 Feb10 (greiner )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 4.00    
STRENGTH OF AUTISM Oct28 Oct13 Sep17 Jun30 May06 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 125 4.50 27% 2.70    
ELCONDOR Jul04 Jun14 Jun08 Mar29 Mar08 (ramos jesu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MR BIG BUCKS Jun22 Jun14 May25 May10 Mar23 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50    
ALPHABETICAL ORDER Jun14 May10 Apr14 Mar17 Feb25 (palda)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 2.50 38% 1.70    
HALF THROTTLE Jun28 Jun07 May25 May04 Apr22 (miller quen)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.