Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Qh
Sunday - December 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LA-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LA-3   WIN (9/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/1)-(9/2/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/1)-(9/2/3/5/1)-(9/2/3/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LA-2   12/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLASHY PASS Dec10 Nov11 Oct14 Oct01 Sep03 (aquino m)HARVEY B 123 1.80    
SHVERE ARBETER Oct29 Sep01 Aug24 Jul30 Jul08 (aquino)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
BLUE BUTTERFLY Oct29 Oct14 Sep17 Aug13 Jul15 (william)CAMACHO JESUS 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
FLAG SALUTE Nov26 Nov11 Sep16 Sep03 Jul02 (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 123 4.50    
GET MY POINT Nov26 Oct29 Oct15 Oct02 Sep17 (treece charles)GARCIA ERICK 120 20.00 12% 7.20    
LOUD FUSAICHI Nov11 Oct14 Sep17 Sep03 May13 (farias )LOPEZ REYNOSO 123 4.50    
GLITTER LAKE Nov26 Oct29 Oct14 Jul03 Jun17 (aqu)VALENZUELA RAUL 125 8.00    
 
LA-3   12/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAY OF THE SEA Dec03 Nov25 Sep16 Sep24 Sep09 (aquino )LOPEZ REYNOSO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
POLLO D'ORO Dec03 Nov25 Nov11 Oct22 Jul15 (morfin sergio)HARVEY B 125 4.50 12% 7.60    
DANCING BONBON Oct29 Oct15 Sep23 Aug28 Aug05 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 117 3.00    
MISSING MAURICE Dec03 Nov25 Nov11 Oct15 Sep24 (aquino angela)PAYERAS EDGAR 123 20.00    
NOT GONNA LAST Dec03 Nov11 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 (rivera sall)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 118 4.00    
WILEY'S WONDER Nov25 Oct22 Jul15 Jul01   (treece charles)GARCIA ERICK 123 12.00    
OMAHA RUTSCH Dec03 Nov11 Oct22 Sep24 Sep17 (de jesus )RAMIREZ S 123 20.00    
STORMY JOE Dec03 Nov11 Oct02 Sep16 Feb24 (rive)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
MACHO SAM Nov11 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jun18 (nunez jesu)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 125 3.50 62% 0.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.