Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - September 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(2/4)-(1/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(1/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(1/2/7)-(5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-3   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(5/3)-(4/2/9/3/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
SA-4   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(4/2/9/3/7) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(4/2/9/3/7)-(7/5/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/2/9/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/3/7)-(4/2/9/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/3/7)-(4/2/9/3/7)-(4/2/9/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/9/3/7)-(7/5/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9/3/7)-(7/5/4)-(10/7/8/1) 60 $0.50 $180 
SA-6   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(10/7/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(10/7/8/1)-(5/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-7   WIN (10/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/8/1)-(10/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/8/1)-(10/7/8/1)-(10/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/8/1)-(5/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (10/7/8/1)-(5/4/1)-(3/10/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-8   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(3/10/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
SA-9   WIN (3/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/10/9)-(3/10/6/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/9)-(3/10/6/1/9)-(3/10/6/1/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   09/29/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAVEN Aug27 Apr09 Mar12 Jan22 Nov26 (hanson ryan)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 4.00    
2  SUBSIDIZE Aug27 Aug03 Jul03 Jun17 May29 (koriner bri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00    
3  JAMMING EDDY Aug18 Jul30 Jul02 Sep02 Aug06 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
4  MARGOT'S BOY Nov06         (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 8.00    
5  INCH Aug27 Aug06 Jun11 May26 Mar31 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
6  GIVE ME THE LUTE Sep04 Jul23 Feb10 Jan13 Jan02 (papaprodro)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  WESTWARD LOOK Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 Jun11 May26 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00 5% 17.90    
 
SA-2   09/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POETICA Sep01 Aug05 Nov12     (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50    
2  AMERICAN LILY Apr21 Mar31 Mar02 Jan22 Dec30 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
3  ESSENTIAL BUSINESS Sep16 Aug24 Aug04 Jul08 Jun11 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 3.00    
4  SHE'S RESILIENT Aug17 Jul23 Jun17 Apr29 Mar26 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
5  KRISTI'S TIGER Aug05 Jul03 May29 Apr28 Mar26 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00    
 
SA-3   09/29/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND TIGER Aug11 May28 Apr28     (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of GRAND YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
2  TOUCHDOWN KITTLE Jun10 May19       (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 2.50 22% 3.40    
  (by TIZNOW out of WESTWOOD PRIDE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
3  BEYOND COMPARE         (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 15.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of PERFECTLY PERFECT by PERFECT MANDATE)
4  TOPPERS WAGER Aug11 Feb18       (polanco marcelo)FREY KYLE 121 20.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of TOPPERS SUNSHINE by OLD TOPPER)
5  MAN O ROSE Nov27         (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00    
  (by STANFORD out of KATHLEEN ROSE by GOOD JOURNEY)
6  ANTIBES         (gai)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 10.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  GRAZED Aug11 Jul28 Jun10 Aug18 Jun19 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
  (by GRAZEN out of ACATEGORYFIVESTORM by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
SA-4   09/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASPIRATIONAL Sep04 Aug11 May28 Apr21 Feb12 (stevens sat)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 113 12.00    
3  LIKE NO OTHER Sep09 Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 Apr30 (knapp steve)TORREALBA JG 113 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  MISS KALINE Jun17 Apr21 Feb12 Jan02 Oct23 (bell r)FREY KYLE 120 2.00    
5  SWEET HELLO Aug17 May26 Apr21 Mar19 Mar09 (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 1.60 45% 1.20    
6  POINT AND SHOOT Sep04 Jul30 Jun16 May05 Mar31 (kruljac ian)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 6.00    
SCR  MAGAZINE Aug17 Aug06 Jul07 Jun16 Mar18 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-5   09/29/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH KING         (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 113 6.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of PUBLIC HOUSE by TRIBAL RULE)
2  POTITO Sep04 Jul22       (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.50 17% 4.70    
  (by GRAZEN out of TIVAT by GEMOLOGIST)
3  BILLY JOE SHAVER         (miyadi steven)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00 8% 12.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of CARRIE ROSE by OLD TOPPER)
4  LAST CALL PAUL Sep04 Aug13 Jul29     (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 43% 1.30    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of WINEMENOW by UNUSUAL HEAT)
5  WHISKEY RYE Aug13         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 120 15.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of ROMANCE IS PASSION by IN EXCESS (IRE))
6  FLEET BROTATO         (valenzuela ma)FRESU ANTONIO 120 15.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of FLEET CAROLINE by TEJANO RUN)
7  IMMELMANN Sep04 Aug13 Jul22     (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERRYESSA by DANDY MAN)
8  ANNAN         (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 15.00    
  (by UNUSUAL HEATWAVE out of TIZALWAYSOMETHING by TIZNOW)
9  NESTUCKA Sep02         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 4.00 9% 9.80    
  (by GRAZEN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  DON'T HIT ME BASH         (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 10.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of OCTOGARIAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  KISS FOR LULU Sep08 Aug25       (brinkerhoff va)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of AKISS FORAROSE by RIO VERDE)
SCR  FACT OR FICTION Aug10 Jul29       (nunez jes)RAMIREZ S 120 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BELLA BE READY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  JUST A GUESS Jul29         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of EPISTEMOLOGY by WAR FRONT)
 
SA-6   09/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO CAN QUIT Sep03         (wallace jer)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 114 15.00    
2  ELTONSINGSANOTHER Aug13         (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 121 2.50    
3  TURQUOISE BIKINI Sep16 Aug13 Jul02 Jun02 May12 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 121 12.00    
4  ROSIE ANN RULES Sep08 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Dec11 (capestro pa)HERRERA A 121 3.50 8% 12.10    
5  JUST IS Sep22 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jun16 (alvare)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 2.00 21% 3.70    
6  SAHARA SUE Aug24         (mccarthy sea)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 121 12.00    
7  SHES JUST FLUFFY Jan02         (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
SA-7   09/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORKDAY Aug13 May28 Apr21 Feb03 Jan08 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  THEMAINPROTAGONIST (IRE) Aug31 Aug13       (d'amato phi)HERRERA A 120 10.00    
3  AURELIAN MAN Aug24 Aug12 Jul22     (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00    
SCR  LONE SCOUT Sep10 Aug13 Jun04 May01   (hess b)MALDONADO E 124 3.00    
5  DEVELOPING THE WAY Sep02 Aug13 Jun16 May19   (miyadi steven)FRESU ANTONIO 124 8.00    
6  BROTHER REID Sep04 Aug24 Aug03 Jun16 Apr29 (cerin vladimi)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00    
7  THIRTY FOUR COUPE Aug24 Jul21 Jun02 May07 Mar26 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
8  BEAR MOUNTAIN Sep09 Aug13 Aug07 Jun10   (desormeaux j )AYUSO ARMANDO 120 12.00 5% 18.10    
9  ROAD OF LOVE Sep15 Jun09 Apr22 Jul31 Jul03 (lopez george )PAYERAS EDGAR 120 20.00    
10  NUMERO DIX (GB) Aug24 Jun16 May07     (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
SA-8   09/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC12 FAST Chillingworth Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEARLY UNHINGED Aug05 Jun16 Apr08 Feb05   (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 4.00 13% 7.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SMART WIN by SMART STRIKE)
2  HOME COOKING Aug27 Jul28 Jun16 Oct08 Sep10 (baffert bob)MALDONADO E 118 12.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of OLYMPIC AVENUE by HARD SPUN)
3  KIRSTENBOSCH Aug27 Aug05 Jun10 Apr29 Apr08 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LLANDUDNO by BELONG TO ME)
4  ELM DRIVE Aug05 Jul04 May20 Apr08 Sep24 (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 3.00 21% 3.90    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of LETS DANCE CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  EDA Aug27 Jul04 Apr28 Mar06   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 126 0.80 45% 1.20    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SHOW ME by LEMON DROP KID)
6  VIOLENT RUNNER Aug27 Apr28 Mar25 Feb05 Dec31 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 30.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TOP PERFORMANCE by STATE PERFORMER)
7  LADY T Aug27 Jul27 Feb04 Dec31 Nov27 (shirreffs john)SMITH E 126 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of RED CARPET MISS by MALIBU MOON)
 
SA-9   09/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($38K) 35 ALL PT- 8:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO MAN Aug26 Jul30 Aug07     (callaghan sim)FRESU ANTONIO 118 6.00 ★    
2  SIX MAGPIES (IRE) Nov19         (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 122 4.00    
3  QUINTECENTS Sep10 Aug26 Nov19 Oct01 Sep03 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  GAELIC NATION (IRE) Aug26 Dec04 Sep30     (papaprodromou )CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00    
5  NO SECRET Aug17         (o'neill doug)FREY KYLE 118 30.00    
6  BELMONT BILL Aug26 Jul28 Jun09 May14 Apr23 (saavedra a)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 ★    
7  CHURCHMEISTER Aug26 Apr23 Mar26     (jon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 15.00    
8  CHIEFS BLANKET Aug24 Aug13 Jun24     (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
9  TOKAMAK Sep09 Aug17 Nov19 Sep30 Aug13 (harty eoin)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  AUTOLINE (IRE) Sep09         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
11  CAPTAIN CHOOCHIES Sep04 Aug04 Jul08 Jun18 May05 (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 120 12.00    
12  BOLTS DESTINY Sep10         (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.