Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Thursday - September 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WO-1   WIN (2/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/3/1/4)-(4/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/4)-(4/3/5/1)-(2/6/9) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-2   WIN (4/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (4/3/5/1)-(2/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/1)-(2/6/9)-(9/3/1/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-3   WIN (2/6/9) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (2/6/9)-(2/6/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/9)-(2/6/9)-(2/6/9) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/6/9)-(9/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/9)-(9/3/1/6)-(5/2/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-4   WIN (9/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3/1/6)-(9/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/1/6)-(9/3/1/6)-(9/3/1/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (9/3/1/6)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/1/6)-(5/2/6)-(1/7/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-5   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/2/6)-(1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(1/7/6)-(4/6/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
WO-6   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/7/6)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(4/6/5)-(5/6/3/9) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-7   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/6/5)-(5/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WO-8   WIN (5/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/9)-(5/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/9)-(5/6/3/9)-(5/6/3/9) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   09/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALOMA         (pion sylvain)SALLES LEO 120 10.00 9% 10.30    
MY ASSISTANT Aug18 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 (holder tedston)FLORES ESWAN 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
CLASSICALCROSSOVER         (dunslow a)MORENO OMAR 124 4.00 10% 9.40    
SOUPER COP         (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 9% 10.30    
SWEEPING PASSION Aug26 Aug04 Jul09 Jun17 May25 (dixon patric)WALCOTT W 120 3.00    
SPEEDY BUBBLES Aug04 Jul08 Jun01 Oct20   (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 6.00    
TATOOSONMYSOUL         (rombis e)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00    
POLA STAR Sep07 Nov05       (drake m)VIVES SOFIA 113 8.00    
 
WO-2   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($32.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRYPTO GAINS Sep01 Aug04 Jun16     (parente pat)SALLES LEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROSES ARE FREE Aug24 Aug03 Jul16 Jun04 May07 (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 119 3.00    
WANT TO GO DANCING Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Dec01 Oct13 (hinckson mar)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
FEDALINE Sep07 Aug17 Jun29 Jun15 May12 (russo s)WENC C 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
MAGNETIZE         (samulak julia )JORDAN COREY 124 10.00 8% 11.00    
GENTLE SEAS Aug24 Aug10 Jul29 May26   (cole-simpson k)BYNOE DESEAN 117 15.00    
CLASSIC GLORY Sep01         (armat)DOUGLAS K 120 20.00    
SAKE AND SUSHI Aug04 Jul01 May26 May07 Dec01 (billers george)HOYTE JASON 118 20.00    
LULU'S LULLABY Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jul01   (cole-simpson)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 6.00    
 
WO-3   09/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.6K) 2 F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY PRESENCE Aug19         (carroll josie)CIVACI SAHIN 118 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of GHOSTLY PRESENCE by GHOSTZAPPER)
CREVALLE D'ORO Aug19 Jul22       (casse mar)WILSON JAYNE 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SONOMA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
EMERANCE Jul29 Jul01       (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 116 4.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ANN OF THE DANCE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  CANDID CANDACE         (doy)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of MISS EMILIA by WAR FRONT)
MORE MONEY HUNNY Jul29         (carroll josi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SEEK A STAR by MUTAKDDIM)
WHY EM SEA AY Aug13 Jul08 Jun03     (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DISCOVERY BAY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  COZY CURLIN KITTEN Sep03         (squires nathan)BYNOE DESEAN 116 20.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of KITTEN'S CATCH by KITTEN'S JOY)
INITTOWINIT Sep01         (dixon )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 20.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of GAME by MONTJEU)
BRAVO KATE Aug20         (attard c)WALCOTT W 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of KATIE O. by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
WO-4   09/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANSELMO Sep08 Jul29 Jul14 Jun16 Dec04 (gordon cle)ANDERSON JODEIEN 123 8.00 5% 18.80    
NIKKI NOOTS Aug11 Jul29 Jul07 Jun09 May25 (mcclachrie denys)SALLES LEO 120 2.50    
BET N WIN Sep10 Aug18 Jun17 May26 May06 (patton-casse)WALCOTT W 123 4.00 10% 9.50    
DEFOGGER Sep10 Aug11 Jul30 Jul07 Jun16 (samulak julia )HUSBANDS P 120 20.00    
GLENHOLME Sep08 Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 Jun17 (rombis debra)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 15.00    
PERFECT PLAY Aug11 Dec09 Nov18 Oct30 Oct08 (armat)DOUGLAS K 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
COACH ABERNATHY Sep08 Jul30 Jun09 May06 Apr07 (tharrenos will)BYNOE DESEAN 113 12.00    
GOOD SOLDIER Aug13 Jul09 Mar18 Feb25 Jan22 (bia)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 3.00    
STRONGER TOGETHER Aug11 Jul29 Jul07 Jun16 May25 (wright michael )VIVES SOFIA 118 6.00 57% 0.80    
 
WO-5   09/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($65.9K) 2 F PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXENSIS Aug26 Aug05       (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 121 20.00    
NOVEL Aug20         (vas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
RED ELEANOR Aug27 Aug05       (buntain angus)CIVACI SAHIN 118 10.00    
BLUE TANGO (GB) Aug27 Jul08       (ladauceur haro)STEIN JUSTIN 118 8.00    
SAUCY NAME Aug27         (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
POWAQA         (grant car)WILSON JAYNE 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TWISTING PISTONS Sep09 Aug19 Jul29 Jun17   (attard c)VIVES SOFIA 113 3.50    
 
WO-6   09/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKE SHORE DRIVE Sep01 Jul06 Jun11 Apr23   (mcknight norman)VIVES SOFIA 116 2.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  SMART COVERAGE Aug06 Jul14 Jul07 Mar15 Jan18 (tiller rob)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00    
WILD CONVERSATION Sep10 Aug06 Jul21 Jul08 Jun09 (mor)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 8.00    
SNOOKERED Sep01 Aug06 Jul21 Jul08 Jun16 (ranfor)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 4.00    
STUBBORN STREAK Aug18 Jul07 May26 May05 Mar15 (dunslow a)BYNOE DESEAN 115 20.00    
LUCYS CHILD Sep01 Aug18 Nov27 Nov18 Oct14 (gracey phi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
UNEXPECTED OUTCOME (IRE) Sep01 Aug06 Jul21 Jun29 Jun04 (cox d)HOYTE JASON 123 3.00 8% 11.00    
GUNGI Aug05 Jul14 Jul06 May26 Nov27 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 120 8.00    
 
WO-7   09/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIT THE POINT Sep08 Aug03 Jun17 May14 Nov26 (armata v)ELLIS S 121 20.00    
FIRST SPRING Aug25 Aug03 Jul07 Dec11 Dec02 (crook alison)JOHNSON KIRK 121 20.00    
RELIABILITY Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 May28 Dec11 (ladauceur harol)VIVES SOFIA 116 3.50    
ROCKET JOE COPPER Sep02 Aug11 Jul16 Jun26 Jun15 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 121 1.80 58% 0.70    
TIMESKIP Sep10 Aug11 Dec04 Nov25 Nov06 (kierans r)WILSON JAYNE 121 8.00 7% 12.80    
COLEYVILLE Sep02 Aug18 Jul13 Jun29 Jun17 (knight edwin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 2.50 11% 7.70    
NATIVE PRINCE Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 Jun29 Jun02 (leb)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 6.00    
 
WO-8   09/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD ROCK WARRIOR Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jul01 (marrocco jason)MORENO OMAR 124 4.00    
CASTLETON Sep01 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 May26 (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 6.00    
ELECTRIC LIGHTNING         (armata jr)MUNOZ LARRY 118 12.00 9% 9.60    
ALCOM'SOUTINTHWASH Sep01 Aug10 Jul13 Jun15 May19 (rombis e)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00    
TAYLORMOON Aug26 Aug18 Jul08 Jun11 May14 (kierans rene)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
MISS MOE Aug18         (mcclachrie denys)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
BLACKMARSH May07         (burry lisa)WENC C 120 20.00    
BRIDGE TO NOWHERE Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 May25 (coryat a)FLORES ESWAN 120 10.00    
SMART IRENE Aug10 Jul20 Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 (samulak j)SEECHARAN A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.