Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Camarero Race Track (Pr)
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CMR-1   09/15/2023 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW13818 ($0K) Purse ($13.818K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESHEF         (maldonado m)MONSERRATE ERIK null      
GOLPEADOR Mar10 May27       (negron ricardo)DIAZ C null   33% 2.00    
EL SALSERO Mar10 Feb26       (gomez maximo)NAVARRO JOSHUA null   47% 1.10    
MONUMENTO         (gomez maximo)ROBLES G null      
 
CMR-2   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM4000NW19M ($4K) Purse ($5.88K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAYSERI Jun08 May27 Feb18     (baez n)VELEZ I null      
SWEET CARLI Apr01 Feb18       (cruz j)RIVERA CARLOS null   54% 0.80    
MISS CARMEN R. Jun08 May18 Aug25 Jul21   (escobar gilb)FIGUEROA NICKY null      
DANCIN DEE Apr14 Feb08 Jan13 Dec21 Dec09 (diazjr edwin)DIAZ C null   15% 5.60    
CONTROVERSIA Apr28 Mar12       (baez n)CRUZ ISMAEL null      
 
CMR-3   09/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM14000 ($14K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROMINENCIA Dec21 Nov27 Oct29 Aug19   (nunez eliasib)GARCIA JOMAR null      
DREAM OF KINGDOM Jul14 Jan22       (henriquez g)ROSARIO KEDDWIN null   38% 1.60    
HOTLINE TO HEAVEN Feb17 Jan20 Dec26 Nov27 Nov06 (encarnacion d)VELEZ I null      
MS. JONALESKA         (morales te)RODRIGUEZ C null   5% 19.00    
PAPA'S LITTLE GIRL Apr27 Apr28 Feb23 Jan19 Jan02 (santiago and)NAVARRO JOSHUA null   38% 1.60    
PITUFINA Aug19 Jul21 May27     (cruz j)CRUZ ISMAEL null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.