Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Saturday - September 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RUI-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
RUI-5   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
RUI-7   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-3   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY TOBY Aug20 Jul08 Sep16 Aug28 Aug14 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.00 42% 1.40    
OKIE FREEZE Aug04 May06 Apr02 Mar14 Jan10 (rojero )FUENTES T 123 8.00    
LEATHERNECK Jul23 Jun04 May20 Apr22 Apr08 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 6.00 19% 4.40    
MASK OFF Jul08 Apr23 Apr09 Mar14 Feb07 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.00 19% 4.20    
STELLARSBLUERIBBON Jul14 Jun24 Mar28 Mar12 Feb12 (riddle jackie )CEBALLOS F 123 12.00    
CLUE Aug18 Jul08 Jun17 May13 Apr29 (g)DE CRUZ 121 4.50    
 
RUI-5   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.8K) 3 F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAP YEAR NIGHT Aug18 Jun11 May13 Apr15 Jul29 (acosta carl)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00    
  (by RULE BY NIGHT out of HURRICANE HUSH by ATTILA'S STORM)
SCR  PERFECTLY PUNCTUAL Aug05 Apr02       (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 4.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of SEAL by ON THE SAUCE)
PRETTY PEPPY Aug05 Mar19 Mar05 Feb14 Jan22 (collier jimm)MACIAS J 116 1.80 21% 3.70    
  (by INDESTRUCTIBLE out of ALWAYS A CHANCE by REDATTORE (BRZ))
COUNCIL'S JAZEL Aug05 Mar05 Feb19     (mcqueen la)RODRIGUEZ H 121 6.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of COUNCIL TALK by COUNCIL MEMBER)
GIVE N RECEIVE         (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of I LIKE TRICKS by TRICKY FUN)
MS JAZZ Jul09 Jun11       (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 8.00    
  (by MONTEREY JAZZ out of MJDONTLOSEMYNUMBER by ABAJO)
 
RUI-7   09/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL ME Apr30 Mar28 Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 (gonzalez andres)HEBERT J 120 4.50    
ALL YOUR JAZZ Jul16 Mar05 Jan17     (gutierrez)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 5.00 5% 18.50    
JUVAL Aug19 Jul16 Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 (meraz jua)AMAYA RUIZ 123 3.50    
INFINITE CROWN Jul22 Mar12 Feb21 Feb07 Jan10 (danley )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00 19% 4.40    
D C GUN RUNNER Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 Jun03 Mar19 (saucedo rene)MEDELLIN A 123 1.80 46% 1.20    
SCR  REEL EM IN Aug18 Jul22 Mar21 Sep30 Aug26 (lello )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 10.00    
MICKEYS GOLD Aug19 Jul22 Dec20 Dec12 Oct17 (lambert case)MACIAS J 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.