Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Camarero Race Track (Pr)
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CMR-1   04/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY ALW10340 ($0K) Purse ($10.34K) 4UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHALEUR (GB) Mar11         (almedina jose)VELEZ I null      
SHES ALL WOMAN Feb24 Dec11 Nov12 Oct09 Aug12 (diazjr edwin)DIAZ C null   41% 1.40    
MEDIA LUNA         (morales raymo)RAMIREZ ERICK null   32% 2.10    
KEEP DANCING (IRE) Jun11 May27       (almedina jose)GARCIA JOMAR null      
SCR  SHE'S CLASSY Apr06 Mar15 Feb16 Jan19 Dec23 (texidor edwi)NAVARRO JOSHUA null      
 
CMR-2   04/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY CLM8000 ($8K) Purse ($6.37K) 4UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON NICA Aug25 Feb25 Feb13     (gomez max)MONSERRATE STEVEN null      
AY PA         (vazquez kelvin)CRUZ ISMAEL null   25% 3.00    
EL KID CASAS         (merced giovan)ADORNO Y null   29% 2.40    
MY FAVORITE J C         (ramirez chri)ROBLES G null   25% 3.00    
GUANAJIBO May28         (mercado marc)SANCHEZ JAYSON null      
 
CMR-3   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY CLM27000 ($27K) Purse ($9.2K) 4UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONA MONIN Mar24         (diaz luis)GARCIA JOMAR null      
LATIN MAMBO Mar24 Jul14 Feb18     (escobar gilbe)RAMIREZ ERICK null   50% 1.00    
REPORTERA Jul14 Feb26       (texidor edwi)NAVARRO JOSHUA null   27% 2.70    
PRETTY AND PROUD Aug11 Jan06       (diaz samuel)DIAZ JR null      
CREADORA DE SUENOS         (santiago and)ROBLES G null      
DERRUMBE Mar24         (mora jo)DIAZ C null      
 
CMR-4   04/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY CLM4000NW2Y ($4K) Purse ($6K) 4UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY'S BEAUTY         (encarnaci)MONSERRATE STEVEN null   47% 1.10    
JOST DREAMY         (rivera alexis)GARCIA JOMAR null      
ANOTHERSONGNDANCE Mar17 Jul21 Feb25     (calderon a)GONZALEZ L null      
STYLISH KITTEN         (negron ricar)FIGUEROA NICKY null   19% 4.30    
ABSOLUT MERICAN Feb26         (diazgarcia moises)GARCIA F null      
DULCE MELODIA Apr01 Feb18       (cruz r)RAMIREZ ERICK null      
MALIBU LIFE Apr02 Aug19 Jan14     (figueroa be)MONSERRATE ERIK null   5% 19.00    
 
CMR-5   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY CLM14000 ($14K) Purse ($7.5K) 3 M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC BLUE Mar12         (gomez maximo)GARCIA F null      
DREAM V.         (lisboa jason)RAMIREZ ERICK null      
VINCENZA M         (nunez eliasib)DIAZ C null      
LOVE IS AWESOME Feb05 Dec30 Dec16 Nov27 Nov06 (betancourt )SANTIAGO JAVIER null   16% 5.40    
OMARIS MY LOVE         (lisboa ja)MONSERRATE STEVEN null      
CONTROVERSIA Mar12         (negron ricar)FIGUEROA NICKY null      
ALACENA         (nunez eliasib)GARCIA JOMAR null      
MEDEGO         (gomez maximo)VELEZ I null      
MYSTERE C Mar12         (ramos edwin)NAVARRO JOSHUA null   63% 0.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.