Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Qh
Sunday - April 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LA-1   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LA-5   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (1/6)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LA-6   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LA-1   04/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME IS GONE Mar25 Dec18 Dec03 Nov19 Oct28 (crotts jame)RAMIREZ RICARDO 125 5.00 12% 7.50    
SHARP WARNING Mar12 Feb04 Jan07 Dec17 Nov18 (monascal jair)PAYERAS EDGAR 123 6.00    
STREET BEHAVIOR Mar19 Mar04 Dec18 Dec11 Nov12 (farias adan)GARCIA ERICK 123 20.00    
RESTLESS RAMBLER Mar18 Mar04 Feb04 Jan21 Dec11 (hedia oscar)SANCHEZ E 125 1.80 39% 1.50    
SURPLUS Mar25 Mar12 Feb18 Jan07 Dec10 (aquino ang)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
RUN KING STUD RUN Dec11 Nov12 Oct16 Sep04 Aug13 (nunez jes)ALEGRIA V 123 10.00    
BOB'S SNIPER Mar25 Jan07 Dec17 Sep17 Jul29 (pine)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 123 2.50    
JAY BOY Mar12 Feb19 Jan07 Nov27 Oct16 (nunez jesus)HARVEY B 123 20.00    
 
LA-5   04/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIET FOREST Mar25 Jan22 May01     (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 123 1.20 41% 1.40    
NASHIRA'S FIRE Feb19 Feb04 Dec03 Nov27 Nov12 (aquino ang)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 123 12.00    
QUEEN VERRAZANO Mar12 Feb19 Feb04 Nov19 Oct22 (mendoza)LOPEZ REYNOSO 123 6.00    
SCR  DORITA'S LEMON Jan29 Dec17 Nov06 Oct22 Oct02 (nunez jesus)GARCIA ERICK 123 8.00 14% 6.00    
PAWNEE Mar25 Sep23 Aug18 Jul10   (ruiz loren)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 123 4.00    
LA CROIX Mar25 Feb18 Jan22 Jan01 Nov19 (aquino ange)HERRERA A 125 6.00 18% 4.70    
NAP TIME Mar25 Mar11 Feb19 Dec17 Sep18 (nunez jesus)PAYERAS EDGAR 125 6.00    
 
LA-6   04/16/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAKUNUI Mar18 Dec11 Nov12 Aug26 Aug20 (de pa)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 5.00    
NOT GONNA LAST Jan28 Dec18 Nov26 Aug13 Jun26 (will)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
HOLYJAZZ Apr02 Mar18 Mar12 Feb19 Jan28 (aquino angela )ORTEGA CESAR 123 4.00 14% 6.20    
WATER'S FOR FIGHTN Feb06 Jan23       (treece charles)GARCIA ERICK 123 3.00 9% 10.00    
MACHO SAM Feb19 Jan07 Oct14 Sep10 Jul28 (saldana re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 123 1.40 56% 0.80    
OMAHA RUTSCH Nov20 Aug26 Aug19 Aug14 Jul23 (de pablo)HARVEY B 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.